Florida 14th Congressional District, Florida: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+4%. Democratic peak: D+96 in 1892.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+4MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 504,6862024 5-year
- Median household income
- $77,4322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 57.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+96 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+40 in 1972MIT Election Lab
D
CASTOR, Kathy
−1 liberal+1 conservative
Predecessors: MACK, Connie, IV (2011–2013), MACK, Connie, IV (2009–2011), MACK, Connie, IV (2007–2009), MACK, Connie, IV (2005–2007)
Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).
Constituent county margins for Congressional District 14, FLOne cell per constituent county, colored by 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), ordered bluest first.
R+60D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
38 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 112,762 | 121,840 | 237,387 | ||
| D | 131,038 | 119,573 | 253,490 | ||
| D | 108,276 | 99,718 | 216,386 | ||
| D | 104,212 | 91,724 | 198,045 | ||
| D | 102,578 | 88,030 | 192,315 | ||
| R | 85,384 | 92,654 | 179,521 | ||
| R | 71,159 | 71,208 | 146,750 | ||
| D | 62,788 | 55,816 | 131,202 | ||
| R | 52,239 | 55,548 | 139,178 | ||
| R | 47,198 | 68,355 | 116,214 | ||
| R | 40,436 | 74,880 | 115,338 | ||
| R | 42,485 | 54,178 | 102,506 | ||
| D | 44,491 | 42,092 | 87,646 | ||
| R | 22,790 | 53,370 | 76,278 | ||
| R | 21,475 | 28,874 | 66,560 | ||
| D | 32,162 | 24,528 | 56,690 | ||
| R | 23,620 | 27,552 | 51,172 | ||
| R | 13,387 | 21,542 | 34,929 | ||
| R | 11,233 | 17,277 | 28,510 | ||
| R | 6,857 | 7,102 | 16,631 | ||
| D | 10,301 | 4,656 | 14,957 | ||
| D | 10,106 | 3,931 | 14,037 | ||
| D | 6,582 | 2,544 | 9,126 | ||
| D | 5,953 | 2,209 | 8,162 | ||
| R | 2,850 | 4,382 | 7,349 | ||
| D | 1,450 | 825 | 2,620 | ||
| D | 2,061 | 1,273 | 3,773 | ||
| D | 1,305 | 248 | 1,911 | ||
| D | 744 | 51 | 1,126 | ||
| D | 622 | 84 | 850 | ||
| D | 455 | 119 | 725 | ||
| D | 519 | 80 | 747 | ||
| D | 487 | 134 | 667 | ||
| D | 625 | 0 | 654 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| D | 289 | 81 | 370 | ||
| — | — | — | — | ||
| — | — | — | — |
Congressional elections · 17 Senate races
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | D % | R % | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 42.8% | 55.6% | 10,757,428 |
| 2022 | R | 41.3% | 57.7% | 7,758,014 |
| 2018 | R | 49.9% | 50.1% | 8,190,005 |
| 2016 | R | 44.3% | 52.0% | 9,301,820 |
| 2012 | D | 55.2% | 42.2% | 8,189,946 |
| 2010 | R | 20.2% | 48.9% | 5,411,106 |
| 2006 | D | 60.3% | 38.1% | 4,793,534 |
| 2004 | R | 48.3% | 49.4% | 7,429,894 |
| 2000 | D | 51.0% | 46.2% | 5,856,731 |
| 1998 | D | 62.5% | 37.5% | 3,900,162 |
| 1994 | R | 29.5% | 70.5% | 4,106,816 |
| 1992 | D | 65.4% | 34.6% | 4,962,290 |
| 1988 | R | 49.6% | 50.4% | 4,068,209 |
| 1986 | D | 54.7% | 45.3% | 3,429,996 |
| 1982 | D | 61.7% | 38.3% | 2,653,419 |
| 1980 | R | 48.3% | 51.7% | 3,528,028 |
| 1976 | D | 63.0% | 37.0% | 2,857,534 |
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
10.0%
Irish
8.9%
English
8.7%
American
6.5%
Italian
6.3%
Polish
2.5%
French
1.9%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Age distribution by sex
Median age: 41.3 in this county, 39.1 nationally
Male
Age
Female
85+
75–84
65–74
55–64
45–54
35–44
25–34
18–24
5–17
<5
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Median household income
2024 inflation-adjusted dollars
$77,432
Congressional District 14 ranks near the middle of US counties.
Congressional District 14$77,432
Florida$74,568
United States$80,734
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Poverty rate
All persons below federal poverty line
12.3%
Child poverty is below the national average.
Children under 1814.9%
Working age (18–64)11.5%
Seniors (65+)13.8%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
73.8%
speak English only
Spanish18.2%
Other Indo-European4.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander2.5%
Other languages1.1%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 43.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.
Florida's 14th covers much of Hillsborough County and has delivered presidential margins within single digits in recent cycles, reflecting the broader demographic and suburban shifts reshaping the Tampa Bay region.
The Democratic margin in Florida 14th Congressional District has rarely exceeded ninety-six points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by four points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 58% non-Hispanic-white share, a 12% poverty rate, and a median household income of $77,432 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 14, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/1214/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Frequently asked questions
How did Congressional District 14, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 14, Florida voted Republican by 3.8 points (R+4), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 237,387 votes cast, 112,762 went Democratic and 121,840 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 14, Florida's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 14, Florida as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 21 times, Republican 14 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 14, Florida last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 14, Florida voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in Congressional District 14, Florida?
Congressional District 14, Florida has a population of 504,686 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 14, Florida?
Median household income in Congressional District 14, Florida is $77,432 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Congressional District 14, Florida?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 14, Florida from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 21 went Democratic and 14 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.