HarrisDemocratic38.9%55,971TrumpRepublican59.7%85,956OliverLibertarian0.9%1,254
R+20.8- Lead
- 29,985
- Total
- 144,037
- vs nation
- R+19.3
- Turnout
- 62.0%
Akashiccounty
Greene County, MO
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 62.0% of 235,251 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic38.7%55,068TrumpRepublican58.8%83,630JorgensenLibertarian1.7%2,454
R+20.1- Lead
- 28,562
- Total
- 142,272
- vs nation
- R+24.5
- Turnout
- 62.5%
ClintonDemocratic32.7%42,728TrumpRepublican59.8%78,035JohnsonLibertarian4.4%5,754
R+27.1- Lead
- 35,307
- Total
- 130,523
- vs nation
- R+29.1
- Turnout
- 64.3%
ObamaDemocratic36.6%46,219RomneyRepublican60.8%76,900GrayLibertarian1.9%2,362
R+24.3- Lead
- 30,681
- Total
- 126,419
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.4%56,181McCainRepublican57.2%77,683OtherAll other candidates1.3%1,831
R+15.8- Lead
- 21,502
- Total
- 135,695
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.2%46,657BushRepublican62.2%77,885OtherAll other candidates0.6%724
R+24.9- Lead
- 31,228
- Total
- 125,266
- vs nation
- R+22.5
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic39.9%41,091BushRepublican57.5%59,178NaderGreen1.7%1,760
R+17.6- Lead
- 18,087
- Total
- 102,926
- vs nation
- R+18.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.4%39,300DoleRepublican49.6%48,193PerotReform8.8%8,569
R+9.2- Lead
- 8,893
- Total
- 97,164
- vs nation
- R+17.7
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+20.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 303,3752024 5-year
- Population density
- 449 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 675 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $61,4792024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 5.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+13.1 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+41.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Knox County, TN · twin score 87.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 62.0%145,848 participants ÷ 235,251 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +13.9 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.1%–51.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 142,159 | 221,026 | 64.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 125,622 | 223,764 | 56.1% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 141,800 | 226,722 | 62.5% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 113,089 | 232,278 | 48.7% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 145,848 | 235,251 | 62.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Greene County, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
55.7%
30,130 votes · D+11.3
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 55.7%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
70.6%
48,348 votes · R+41.2
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 67.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
56,181votes
41.4% of the vote · R+15.8
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 55,971 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
85,956votes
59.7% of the vote · R+20.8
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 83,630 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+23.4pts D vs U.S.
Place R+1.8 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +11.1 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+29.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+27.1 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +28.9 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 194,678 |
| 2018 | 187,576 |
| 2020 | 204,335 |
| 2022 | 201,312 |
| 2024 | 217,150 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+1,727 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net +16,808 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $50,996 in average income, against $78,580 for residents who stayed — 35% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+41.9 on average — 21 points more Republican-leaning than Greene County, MO itself (R+20.8).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Christian County, MO1,370R+52.2
- Webster County, MO506R+62.2
- Taney County, MO302R+59.3
- Polk County, MO291R+61.6
- Lawrence County, MO251R+63.8
- Stone County, MO176R+61.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Christian County, MO1,342
- Webster County, MO520
- Jackson County, MO300
- Polk County, MO281
- Lawrence County, MO266
- St. Louis County, MO179
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +833 |
| 2012 | +1,862 |
| 2013 | +1,933 |
| 2014 | +498 |
| 2015 | +815 |
| 2016 | −416 |
| 2017 | +835 |
| 2018 | +936 |
| 2019 | +1,310 |
| 2021 | +1,894 |
| 2022 | +2,076 |
| 2023 | +1,001 |
| 2024 | +1,504 |
| 2025 | +1,727 |
Home to Missouri State University and a large Assemblies of God presence, Greene County has shifted steadily rightward over the past two decades, delivering double-digit Republican presidential margins even as its urban core continues to grow.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 13.1 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 41.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.8 points.
A population of 303,375, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,479 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Knox County and Cleveland County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Knox County
Tennessee
87.4twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scale2024 margin≠ American ancestry
Cleveland County
Oklahoma
84.1twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scalemedian age
Madison County
Kentucky
79.0twin score
12-yr trendmedian agecollege share≠ American ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Greene County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29077/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Greene County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Greene County, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Greene County, Missouri voted Republican by 20.8 points (R+20.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 144,037 votes cast, 55,971 went Democratic and 85,956 went Republican.
When did Greene County, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Greene County, Missouri voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Greene County, Missouri?
Greene County, Missouri has a population of 303,375 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Greene County, Missouri?
Median household income in Greene County, Missouri is $61,479 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Greene County, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Greene County, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 7 went Democratic and 27 went Republican.