- Lead
- 6,973
- Total
- 19,325
- vs nation
- R+34.6
Missouri 130th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 7,064
- Total
- 19,003
- vs nation
- R+41.6
- Lead
- 7,073
- Total
- 16,230
- vs nation
- R+45.7
- Lead
- 6,631
- Total
- 15,482
- vs nation
- R+46.7
- Lead
- 5,769
- Total
- 16,537
- vs nation
- R+42.2
- Lead
- 6,710
- Total
- 15,523
- vs nation
- R+40.8
- Lead
- 4,516
- Total
- 12,542
- vs nation
- R+36.5
- Lead
- 3,125
- Total
- 11,670
- vs nation
- R+35.3
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 38,0332024 5-year
- Population density
- 703 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 54.1 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $67,6992024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 84.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 4.8%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+56.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 162, MO · twin score 96.9
presidential history
Party record book
Missouri 130th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
45.6%
2,840 votes · R+8.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 45.2%
Republican
Richard Nixon1972
78.0%
6,861 votes · R+56.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · 76.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
6,053votes
31.3% of the vote · R+36.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 5,781 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
13,026votes
67.4% of the vote · R+36.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 12,845 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+4.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+20.5 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · −6.9 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+46.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+42.8 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1960 · +46.2 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+36.1, this district ranks among the state's most one-sided, reflecting the rural and small-town demographic patterns common across southern Missouri.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 56.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.1 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.1 points.
A population of 38,033, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,699 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 162 and State House District 156.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 130th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29130/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.