- Lead
- 9,307
- Total
- 11,149
- vs nation
- R+82.0
- Turnout
- 60.6%
Winston County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 60.6% of 18,453 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 9,221
- Total
- 11,284
- vs nation
- R+86.2
- Turnout
- 60.8%
- Lead
- 8,356
- Total
- 10,231
- vs nation
- R+83.8
- Turnout
- 55.3%
- Lead
- 7,026
- Total
- 9,714
- vs nation
- R+76.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,346
- Total
- 10,031
- vs nation
- R+70.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 5,894
- Total
- 10,423
- vs nation
- R+54.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 3,721
- Total
- 9,318
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,608
- Total
- 8,627
- vs nation
- R+27.2
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+83.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 23,6822024 5-year
- Median household income
- $57,2562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 90.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+47.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+83.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Geneva County, AL · twin score 96.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 60.6%11,188 participants ÷ 18,453 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +22.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 38.0%–42.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 10,383 | 18,770 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,707 | 18,698 | 41.2% | C/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 11,313 | 18,603 | 60.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,094 | 18,555 | 38.2% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 11,188 | 18,453 | 60.6% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 150/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
18 precincts · 11,149 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -HALEYVILLE SR_ CTR_HALEYVILLE SR_ CTR_ | 124 | 1,588 | 16 | 1,728 | 7.2% | 91.9% | R+84.7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -ARLEY FIRE DEPT_ARLEY FIRE DEPT_ | 148 | 1,421 | 12 | 1,581 | 9.4% | 89.9% | R+80.5 |
| Precinct -DOUBLE SPRINGS MUN_ BLDGDOUBLE SPRINGS MUN_ BLDG | 110 | 1,164 | 8 | 1,282 | 8.6% | 90.8% | R+82.2 |
| Precinct -ADDISON COMM_ CTR_ADDISON COMM_ CTR_ | 51 | 929 | 2 | 982 | 5.2% | 94.6% | R+89.4 |
| Precinct -NEIGHBORHOOD FCLTYNEIGHBORHOOD FCLTY | 102 | 685 | 7 | 794 | 12.8% | 86.3% | R+73.4 |
| Precinct -LYNN COMM CENTERLYNN COMM CENTER | 40 | 680 | 5 | 725 | 5.5% | 93.8% | R+88.3 |
| Precinct -ASHRIDGE FIRE DEPT_ASHRIDGE FIRE DEPT_ | 41 | 616 | 3 | 660 | 6.2% | 93.3% | R+87.1 |
| Precinct -HELICON FIRE DEPT_HELICON FIRE DEPT_ | 49 | 545 | 1 | 595 | 8.2% | 91.6% | R+83.4 |
| Precinct -HOUSTON METHODIST CHHOUSTON METHODIST CH | 63 | 460 | 3 | 526 | 12.0% | 87.5% | R+75.5 |
| Precinct -BLACK POND FIRE DEPT_BLACK POND FIRE DEPT_ | 48 | 442 | 3 | 493 | 9.7% | 89.7% | R+79.9 |
| Precinct -NEEDMORE WALDROP CHNEEDMORE WALDROP CH | 28 | 391 | 1 | 420 | 6.7% | 93.1% | R+86.4 |
| Precinct -UPSHAW FIRE DEPT_UPSHAW FIRE DEPT_ | 20 | 242 | 7 | 269 | 7.4% | 90.0% | R+82.5 |
| Precinct -DELMAR FIRE DEPT_DELMAR FIRE DEPT_ | 15 | 224 | 1 | 240 | 6.3% | 93.3% | R+87.1 |
| Precinct -PEBBLE COMM_ CTR_PEBBLE COMM_ CTR_ | 5 | 230 | 3 | 238 | 2.1% | 96.6% | R+94.5 |
| Precinct -NESMITH CHURCHNESMITH CHURCH | 14 | 194 | 1 | 209 | 6.7% | 92.8% | R+86.1 |
| Precinct -MORELAND FIRE DEPT_MORELAND FIRE DEPT_ | 10 | 184 | 0 | 194 | 5.2% | 94.8% | R+89.7 |
| Precinct -NATURAL BRIDGE COMM CENTERNATURAL BRIDGE COMM CENTER | 11 | 114 | 1 | 126 | 8.7% | 90.5% | R+81.7 |
| Precinct -OLD UNION CHURCHOLD UNION CHURCH | 5 | 82 | 0 | 87 | 5.7% | 94.3% | R+88.5 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | −31.4% |
| 1880 | +8.4% |
| 1884 | −16.8% |
| 1888 | −19.0% |
| 1892 | +47.8% |
| 1896 | −25.3% |
| 1900 | +1.8% |
| 1904 | −13.1% |
| 1908 | −36.0% |
| 1912 | +12.7% |
| 1916 | −20.6% |
| 1920 | −38.0% |
| 1924 | −24.8% |
| 1928 | −51.9% |
| 1932 | +0.0% |
| 1936 | −5.7% |
| 1940 | −9.4% |
| 1944 | −25.4% |
| 1948 | −64.3% |
| 1952 | −18.4% |
| 1956 | −31.2% |
| 1960 | −34.1% |
| 1964 | −71.2% |
| 1968 | −34.7% |
| 1972 | −72.6% |
| 1976 | +5.4% |
| 1980 | −19.1% |
| 1984 | −44.5% |
| 1988 | −35.6% |
| 1992 | −21.2% |
| 1996 | −18.6% |
| 2000 | −39.9% |
| 2004 | −56.5% |
| 2008 | −63.3% |
| 2012 | −72.3% |
| 2016 | −81.7% |
| 2020 | −81.7% |
| 2024 | −83.5% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 16,176 |
| 2020 | 17,155 |
| 2022 | 17,216 |
| 2024 | 17,826 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+51 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +718 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $58,388 in average income, against $70,480 for residents who stayed — 17% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+68.5 on average — 15 points more Democratic-leaning than Winston County, AL itself (R+83.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Marion County, AL97R+81.6
- Walker County, AL82R+71.7
- Cullman County, AL52R+80.3
- Franklin County, AL32R+73.2
- Jefferson County, AL25D+10.4
- Morgan County, AL21R+52.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Walker County, AL98
- Marion County, AL82
- Cullman County, AL61
- Franklin County, AL28
- Jefferson County, AL26
- Madison County, AL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +18 |
| 2012 | −95 |
| 2013 | +67 |
| 2014 | +4 |
| 2015 | −162 |
| 2016 | +50 |
| 2017 | −74 |
| 2018 | +13 |
| 2019 | +17 |
| 2021 | +348 |
| 2022 | +243 |
| 2023 | −7 |
| 2024 | +245 |
| 2025 | +51 |
Winston's heavily rural, largely white population in the Appalachian foothills has produced some of the widest presidential margins in the state, with Republicans clearing 90% of the two-party vote in recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 47.8 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 83.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 83.5 points.
A population of 23,682, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $57,256 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Geneva County and Blount County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Winston County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01133/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.