- Lead
- 1,656
- Total
- 5,263
- vs nation
- D+32.9
- Turnout
- 67.1%
Wilcox County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.1% of 7,883 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 2,215
- Total
- 5,903
- vs nation
- D+33.1
- Turnout
- 74.2%
- Lead
- 2,597
- Total
- 6,103
- vs nation
- D+40.5
- Turnout
- 71.6%
- Lead
- 3,189
- Total
- 6,551
- vs nation
- D+44.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,744
- Total
- 6,494
- vs nation
- D+35.0
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,004
- Total
- 5,682
- vs nation
- D+37.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,783
- Total
- 5,126
- vs nation
- D+34.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,849
- Total
- 4,847
- vs nation
- D+29.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+31.5MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 10,1722024 5-year
- Population density
- 11 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 888 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $40,6402024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 27.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 70.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 0.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.8 in 1916MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+91.9 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Bamberg County, SC · twin score 99.1
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.1%5,287 participants ÷ 7,883 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +25.5 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -0.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 41.6%–47.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,103 | 8,521 | 71.6% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 4,762 | 8,137 | 58.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 5,935 | 8,002 | 74.2% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 3,903 | 8,013 | 48.7% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 5,287 | 7,883 | 67.1% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Wilcox County, AL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Woodrow Wilson1916
99.9%
866 votes · D+99.8
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · 99.8%
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
91.9%
1,789 votes · R+91.9
Runner-up · Rutherford B. Hayes, 1876 · 70.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1980
4,951votes
68.2% of the vote · D+36.8
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 4,868 votes
Republican
Rutherford B. Hayes1876
3,599votes
70.7% of the vote · R+41.4
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 2,641 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+125.7pts D vs U.S.
Place D+99.5 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +122.4 pts
Republican
Barry Goldwater1964
+114.5pts R vs U.S.
Place R+91.9 · U.S. D+22.6
Runner-up · Thomas E. Dewey, 1948 · +5.7 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 9,407 |
| 2020 | 9,192 |
| 2022 | 8,665 |
| 2024 | 8,555 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−173 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,748 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $39,994 in average income, against $47,546 for residents who stayed — 16% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+17.0 on average — 49 points more Republican-leaning than Wilcox County, AL itself (D+31.5).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Clarke County, AL31R+17.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Clarke County, AL32
- Marengo County, AL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −122 |
| 2012 | −131 |
| 2013 | −149 |
| 2014 | −168 |
| 2015 | −22 |
| 2016 | −47 |
| 2017 | −165 |
| 2018 | −81 |
| 2019 | −197 |
| 2021 | −71 |
| 2022 | −227 |
| 2023 | −161 |
| 2024 | −34 |
| 2025 | −173 |
Wilcox County's electorate is roughly 70% Black, a demographic reality that has anchored its consistent double-digit Democratic presidential margins for decades despite the surrounding region trending sharply Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.8 points in 1916 and a Republican high of 91.9 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.5 points.
A population of 10,172, a 28% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $40,640 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Bamberg County and Allendale County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Wilcox County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01131/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.