- Lead
- 4,671
- Total
- 8,441
- vs nation
- R+53.9
- Turnout
- 70.3%
Washington County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 70.3% of 12,083 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,306
- Total
- 8,876
- vs nation
- R+53.0
- Turnout
- 69.5%
- Lead
- 3,668
- Total
- 8,489
- vs nation
- R+45.3
- Turnout
- 66.9%
- Lead
- 2,785
- Total
- 8,778
- vs nation
- R+35.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,587
- Total
- 8,775
- vs nation
- R+36.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,915
- Total
- 8,247
- vs nation
- R+20.8
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 731
- Total
- 7,596
- vs nation
- R+10.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,035
- Total
- 7,697
- vs nation
- D+4.9
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+55.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,1432024 5-year
- Median household income
- $61,0422024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 65.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 24.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+91.6 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+70.2 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Dodge County, GA · twin score 92.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 70.3%8,489 participants ÷ 12,083 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +20.7 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 49.6%–53.5%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,609 | 12,863 | 66.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,976 | 12,879 | 54.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,918 | 12,831 | 69.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 5,974 | 12,238 | 48.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 8,489 | 12,083 | 70.3% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
19 precincts · 8,441 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -CHATOM COURTHOUSECHATOM COURTHOUSE | 126 | 632 | 8 | 766 | 16.4% | 82.5% | R+66.1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MILLRY FIRE HOUSEMILLRY FIRE HOUSE | 189 | 513 | 0 | 702 | 26.9% | 73.1% | R+46.2 |
| Precinct -DEER PARK FIRE HOUSEDEER PARK FIRE HOUSE | 142 | 512 | 3 | 657 | 21.6% | 77.9% | R+56.3 |
| Precinct -MOWA CHOCTAW COMM_ CTR_MOWA CHOCTAW COMM_ CTR_ | 192 | 438 | 1 | 631 | 30.4% | 69.4% | R+39.0 |
| Precinct -LEROY FIRE HOUSELEROY FIRE HOUSE | 149 | 422 | 1 | 572 | 26.0% | 73.8% | R+47.7 |
| Precinct -WAGARVILLE FIRE HOUSEWAGARVILLE FIRE HOUSE | 161 | 390 | 8 | 559 | 28.8% | 69.8% | R+41.0 |
| Precinct -TIBBIE FIRE HOUSETIBBIE FIRE HOUSE | 24 | 476 | 6 | 506 | 4.7% | 94.1% | R+89.3 |
| Precinct -McINTOSH COMM_McINTOSH COMM_ | 372 | 65 | 1 | 438 | 84.9% | 14.8% | D+70.1 |
| Precinct -FRUITDALE FIRE HOUSEFRUITDALE FIRE HOUSE | 49 | 384 | 0 | 433 | 11.3% | 88.7% | R+77.4 |
| Precinct -FAIRFORD FIRE HOUSEFAIRFORD FIRE HOUSE | 58 | 351 | 3 | 412 | 14.1% | 85.2% | R+71.1 |
| Precinct -ST_ STEPHENS NUTRITION CTR_ST_ STEPHENS NUTRITION CTR_ | 96 | 290 | 1 | 387 | 24.8% | 74.9% | R+50.1 |
| Precinct -RED CREEK FIRE HOUSERED CREEK FIRE HOUSE | 12 | 352 | 1 | 365 | 3.3% | 96.4% | R+93.2 |
| Precinct -YARBO FIRE HOUSEYARBO FIRE HOUSE | 46 | 289 | 4 | 339 | 13.6% | 85.3% | R+71.7 |
| Precinct -COPELAND ASSEMBLY OF GODCOPELAND ASSEMBLY OF GOD | 5 | 326 | 0 | 331 | 1.5% | 98.5% | R+97.0 |
| Precinct -FRANKVILLE FIRE HOUSEFRANKVILLE FIRE HOUSE | 81 | 243 | 6 | 330 | 24.5% | 73.6% | R+49.1 |
| Precinct -LATON HILL FIRE HOUSELATON HILL FIRE HOUSE | 6 | 274 | 1 | 281 | 2.1% | 97.5% | R+95.4 |
| Precinct -CHARITY CHAPEL FIRE HOUSECHARITY CHAPEL FIRE HOUSE | 11 | 255 | 0 | 266 | 4.1% | 95.9% | R+91.7 |
| Precinct -MALCOLM CTR_MALCOLM CTR_ | 132 | 119 | 0 | 251 | 52.6% | 47.4% | D+5.2 |
| Precinct -HOBSON FIRE HOUSEHOBSON FIRE HOUSE | 12 | 203 | 0 | 215 | 5.6% | 94.4% | R+88.8 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +70.4% |
| 1880 | +56.3% |
| 1884 | +53.3% |
| 1888 | +40.1% |
| 1892 | +69.5% |
| 1896 | +45.3% |
| 1900 | +27.9% |
| 1904 | +76.1% |
| 1908 | +79.7% |
| 1912 | +87.1% |
| 1916 | +87.0% |
| 1920 | +73.9% |
| 1924 | +81.9% |
| 1928 | +16.5% |
| 1932 | +88.3% |
| 1936 | +91.3% |
| 1940 | +91.6% |
| 1944 | +84.9% |
| 1948 | −2.3% |
| 1952 | +51.9% |
| 1956 | +36.1% |
| 1960 | +41.0% |
| 1964 | −70.2% |
| 1968 | +12.4% |
| 1972 | −49.8% |
| 1976 | +22.9% |
| 1980 | +7.2% |
| 1984 | −17.9% |
| 1988 | −4.7% |
| 1992 | +9.5% |
| 1996 | +13.4% |
| 2000 | −9.6% |
| 2004 | −23.2% |
| 2008 | −29.5% |
| 2012 | −31.7% |
| 2016 | −43.2% |
| 2020 | −48.5% |
| 2024 | −55.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 13,462 |
| 2020 | 13,784 |
| 2022 | 13,484 |
| 2024 | 13,785 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−95 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −1,455 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,300 in average income, against $64,221 for residents who stayed — 25% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+16.6 on average — 39 points more Democratic-leaning than Washington County, AL itself (R+55.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Mobile County, AL129R+16.4
- Clarke County, AL45R+17.0
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Mobile County, AL129
- Clarke County, AL43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −259 |
| 2012 | −224 |
| 2013 | −196 |
| 2014 | −5 |
| 2015 | −9 |
| 2016 | −177 |
| 2017 | −101 |
| 2018 | −140 |
| 2019 | −65 |
| 2021 | −66 |
| 2022 | −71 |
| 2023 | −35 |
| 2024 | −12 |
| 2025 | −95 |
Washington County's piney-woods interior and sparse population have produced some of the widest Republican margins in the state, with the 2024 presidential result landing at R+55.3 in a county of fewer than 20,000 residents.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 91.6 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 70.2 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 55.3 points.
A population of 15,143, a 65% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,042 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Dodge County and Catahoula Parish.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Washington County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01129/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.