- Lead
- 12,363
- Total
- 17,095
- vs nation
- R+70.8
- Turnout
- 59.0%
Covington County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 59.0% of 29,072 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 11,865
- Total
- 17,430
- vs nation
- R+72.5
- Turnout
- 60.7%
- Lead
- 10,880
- Total
- 15,837
- vs nation
- R+70.8
- Turnout
- 54.8%
- Lead
- 8,995
- Total
- 15,423
- vs nation
- R+62.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 9,204
- Total
- 15,787
- vs nation
- R+65.6
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 7,696
- Total
- 14,627
- vs nation
- R+50.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,521
- Total
- 13,613
- vs nation
- R+33.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,492
- Total
- 11,913
- vs nation
- R+21.0
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+72.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 37,6282024 5-year
- Median household income
- $52,4562024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 82.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+94.7 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+82.3 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Pierce County, GA · twin score 97.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 59.0%17,165 participants ÷ 29,072 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +21.4 ptsPresidential-dependent
- Drop-off versus state
- -4.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 37.6%–41.7%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 16,066 | 29,297 | 54.8% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 12,076 | 29,030 | 41.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 17,525 | 28,887 | 60.7% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 11,403 | 29,041 | 39.3% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 17,165 | 29,072 | 59.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
25 precincts · 17,092 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -ANDALUSIA KIWANIS FAIRANDALUSIA KIWANIS FAIR | 994 | 3,060 | 38 | 4,092 | 24.3% | 74.8% | R+50.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -OPP SR_ ACTIVITY CTR_OPP SR_ ACTIVITY CTR_ | 457 | 2,490 | 17 | 2,964 | 15.4% | 84.0% | R+68.6 |
| Precinct -EVANS MEMORIAL CIVIC CTREVANS MEMORIAL CIVIC CTR | 137 | 727 | 5 | 869 | 15.8% | 83.7% | R+67.9 |
| Precinct -STRAUGHN HIGH SCH GYMSTRAUGHN HIGH SCH GYM | 49 | 716 | 2 | 767 | 6.4% | 93.4% | R+87.0 |
| Precinct -GANTT CITY HALLGANTT CITY HALL | 63 | 669 | 5 | 737 | 8.5% | 90.8% | R+82.2 |
| Precinct -SANFORD CITY HALLSANFORD CITY HALL | 21 | 574 | 3 | 598 | 3.5% | 96.0% | R+92.5 |
| Precinct -RIVER FALLS CITY HALLRIVER FALLS CITY HALL | 131 | 393 | 2 | 526 | 24.9% | 74.7% | R+49.8 |
| Precinct -BABBIE FIREBABBIE FIRE | 25 | 491 | 2 | 518 | 4.8% | 94.8% | R+90.0 |
| Precinct -CAROLINA CITY HALLCAROLINA CITY HALL | 30 | 482 | 1 | 513 | 5.8% | 94.0% | R+88.1 |
| Precinct -LOCKHART CITY HALLLOCKHART CITY HALL | 69 | 430 | 3 | 502 | 13.7% | 85.7% | R+71.9 |
| Precinct -HEATH CITY HALLHEATH CITY HALL | 56 | 435 | 2 | 493 | 11.4% | 88.2% | R+76.9 |
| Precinct -HARMONYHARMONY | 28 | 408 | 0 | 436 | 6.4% | 93.6% | R+87.2 |
| Precinct -ROSE HILL COMM_ CTR_ROSE HILL COMM_ CTR_ | 30 | 399 | 3 | 432 | 6.9% | 92.4% | R+85.4 |
| Precinct -BUCK CREEK FIREBUCK CREEK FIRE | 18 | 399 | 2 | 419 | 4.3% | 95.2% | R+90.9 |
| Precinct -BEULAH VTG HOUSEBEULAH VTG HOUSE | 10 | 393 | 2 | 405 | 2.5% | 97.0% | R+94.6 |
| Precinct -UNION GROVE FIREUNION GROVE FIRE | 32 | 369 | 2 | 403 | 7.9% | 91.6% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -RED LEVEL FIRE DEPT_RED LEVEL FIRE DEPT_ | 25 | 327 | 2 | 354 | 7.1% | 92.4% | R+85.3 |
| Precinct -BLUE SPRGS HORN HILLBLUE SPRGS HORN HILL | 13 | 313 | 4 | 330 | 3.9% | 94.8% | R+90.9 |
| Precinct -RED OAKRED OAK | 26 | 296 | 1 | 323 | 8.0% | 91.6% | R+83.6 |
| Precinct -HOPEWELLHOPEWELL | 22 | 279 | 3 | 304 | 7.2% | 91.8% | R+84.5 |
| Precinct -LOANGO FIRE DEPT_LOANGO FIRE DEPT_ | 37 | 254 | 0 | 291 | 12.7% | 87.3% | R+74.6 |
| Precinct -LIBERTYVILLE CITY HALLLIBERTYVILLE CITY HALL | 12 | 244 | 0 | 256 | 4.7% | 95.3% | R+90.6 |
| Precinct -WING FIRE DEPT_WING FIRE DEPT_ | 12 | 236 | 0 | 248 | 4.8% | 95.2% | R+90.3 |
| Precinct -MARVIN ODOMS PLACEMARVIN ODOMS PLACE | 14 | 176 | 2 | 192 | 7.3% | 91.7% | R+84.4 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT HOME/CATOE'SPLEASANT HOME/CATOE'S | 3 | 117 | 0 | 120 | 2.5% | 97.5% | R+95.0 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +92.7% |
| 1880 | +86.2% |
| 1884 | +78.4% |
| 1888 | +91.0% |
| 1892 | +59.1% |
| 1896 | +85.8% |
| 1900 | +44.8% |
| 1904 | +44.8% |
| 1908 | +49.7% |
| 1912 | +67.1% |
| 1916 | +65.9% |
| 1920 | +56.2% |
| 1924 | +78.3% |
| 1928 | +8.7% |
| 1932 | +94.7% |
| 1936 | +92.2% |
| 1940 | +92.2% |
| 1944 | +84.1% |
| 1948 | −5.2% |
| 1952 | +51.5% |
| 1956 | +35.1% |
| 1960 | +47.3% |
| 1964 | −82.3% |
| 1968 | −0.3% |
| 1972 | −71.1% |
| 1976 | +17.2% |
| 1980 | −5.2% |
| 1984 | −44.2% |
| 1988 | −35.5% |
| 1992 | −13.1% |
| 1996 | −12.5% |
| 2000 | −33.2% |
| 2004 | −52.6% |
| 2008 | −58.3% |
| 2012 | −58.3% |
| 2016 | −68.7% |
| 2020 | −68.1% |
| 2024 | −72.3% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 26,829 |
| 2020 | 28,338 |
| 2022 | 27,976 |
| 2024 | 29,306 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+134 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +1,421 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,034 in average income, against $65,744 for residents who stayed — 27% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+49.2 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Covington County, AL itself (R+72.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Coffee County, AL77R+57.8
- Okaloosa County, FL59R+42.4
- Walton County, FL37R+57.8
- Butler County, AL27R+22.7
- Crenshaw County, AL26R+54.6
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Coffee County, AL81
- Okaloosa County, FL52
- Crenshaw County, AL30
- Pike County, AL24
- Walton County, FL24
- Geneva County, AL20
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +234 |
| 2012 | −141 |
| 2013 | +56 |
| 2014 | +19 |
| 2015 | −69 |
| 2016 | −120 |
| 2017 | −221 |
| 2018 | +23 |
| 2019 | +235 |
| 2021 | +242 |
| 2022 | +328 |
| 2023 | +576 |
| 2024 | +125 |
| 2025 | +134 |
Covington's R+72.3 margin in 2024 places it among the most skewed rural counties in the Deep South, where a predominantly white, small-town population has shifted steadily away from competitive two-party contests over the past three decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 94.7 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 82.3 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 72.3 points.
A population of 37,628, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $52,456 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Pierce County and Geneva County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Covington County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01039/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.