- Lead
- 3,543
- Total
- 6,486
- vs nation
- R+53.2
- Turnout
- 65.0%
Crenshaw County, AL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 65.0% of 10,026 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 3,164
- Total
- 6,617
- vs nation
- R+52.3
- Turnout
- 62.8%
- Lead
- 2,849
- Total
- 6,242
- vs nation
- R+47.7
- Turnout
- 59.9%
- Lead
- 2,281
- Total
- 6,418
- vs nation
- R+39.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,381
- Total
- 6,291
- vs nation
- R+45.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,079
- Total
- 5,500
- vs nation
- R+35.3
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 859
- Total
- 4,795
- vs nation
- R+18.4
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 233
- Total
- 4,447
- vs nation
- R+3.3
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,1222024 5-year
- Median household income
- $48,5602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 69.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 23.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+93.6 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+78.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Union Parish, LA · twin score 95.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 65.0%6,516 participants ÷ 10,026 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.7%–52.8%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 6,309 | 10,536 | 59.9% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 5,462 | 10,557 | 51.7% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 6,645 | 10,583 | 62.8% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 4,638 | 9,982 | 46.5% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 6,516 | 10,026 | 65.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
15 precincts · 6,486 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -COUNTY COURTHOUSECOUNTY COURTHOUSE | 138 | 812 | 5 | 955 | 14.5% | 85.0% | R+70.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -BRANTLEY COMM_ CTRBRANTLEY COMM_ CTR | 203 | 520 | 2 | 725 | 28.0% | 71.7% | R+43.7 |
| Precinct -PETREY COMM_ CTRPETREY COMM_ CTR | 328 | 353 | 5 | 686 | 47.8% | 51.5% | R+3.6 |
| Precinct -HIGHLAND HOME FDHIGHLAND HOME FD | 52 | 529 | 2 | 583 | 8.9% | 90.7% | R+81.8 |
| Precinct -RUTLEDGE COMM_ CTRRUTLEDGE COMM_ CTR | 113 | 416 | 3 | 532 | 21.2% | 78.2% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -HARBIN FARM CTRHARBIN FARM CTR | 286 | 202 | 2 | 490 | 58.4% | 41.2% | D+17.1 |
| Precinct -CHAPEL HILL COMM_CHAPEL HILL COMM_ | 22 | 413 | 1 | 436 | 5.0% | 94.7% | R+89.7 |
| Precinct -DANIELVILLE SCHDANIELVILLE SCH | 27 | 314 | 0 | 341 | 7.9% | 92.1% | R+84.2 |
| Precinct -SPRINGHILL FDSPRINGHILL FD | 30 | 301 | 0 | 331 | 9.1% | 90.9% | R+81.9 |
| Precinct -PANOLA COMM_ CTRPANOLA COMM_ CTR | 84 | 230 | 3 | 317 | 26.5% | 72.6% | R+46.1 |
| Precinct -DOZIER CITY HALLDOZIER CITY HALL | 88 | 217 | 1 | 306 | 28.8% | 70.9% | R+42.2 |
| Precinct -WEEDS STORE BRANTLEYWEEDS STORE BRANTLEY | 11 | 274 | 3 | 288 | 3.8% | 95.1% | R+91.3 |
| Precinct -VFD HONORAVILLEVFD HONORAVILLE | 14 | 176 | 2 | 192 | 7.3% | 91.7% | R+84.4 |
| Precinct -GLENWOOD CITY HALLGLENWOOD CITY HALL | 33 | 139 | 0 | 172 | 19.2% | 80.8% | R+61.6 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT HOME SCHPLEASANT HOME SCH | 28 | 104 | 0 | 132 | 21.2% | 78.8% | R+57.6 |
Presidential margin, 1876–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1876 | +78.3% |
| 1880 | +77.0% |
| 1884 | +73.3% |
| 1888 | +81.4% |
| 1892 | +48.0% |
| 1896 | +63.4% |
| 1900 | +29.9% |
| 1904 | +66.0% |
| 1908 | +53.1% |
| 1912 | +80.5% |
| 1916 | +81.6% |
| 1920 | +63.7% |
| 1924 | +79.6% |
| 1928 | +14.7% |
| 1932 | +87.9% |
| 1936 | +92.1% |
| 1940 | +93.6% |
| 1944 | +88.5% |
| 1948 | −2.7% |
| 1952 | +64.0% |
| 1956 | +56.6% |
| 1960 | +67.1% |
| 1964 | −78.7% |
| 1968 | +9.4% |
| 1972 | −47.6% |
| 1976 | +29.8% |
| 1980 | +4.3% |
| 1984 | −25.7% |
| 1988 | −17.4% |
| 1992 | +1.2% |
| 1996 | +5.2% |
| 2000 | −17.9% |
| 2004 | −37.8% |
| 2008 | −37.8% |
| 2012 | −35.5% |
| 2016 | −45.6% |
| 2020 | −47.8% |
| 2024 | −54.6% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2018 | 10,340 |
| 2020 | 10,619 |
| 2022 | 10,521 |
| 2024 | 10,851 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+26 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +248 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $42,313 in average income, against $60,513 for residents who stayed — 30% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+13.4 on average — 41 points more Democratic-leaning than Crenshaw County, AL itself (R+54.6).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Montgomery County, AL55D+30.6
- Pike County, AL36R+25.1
- Covington County, AL30R+72.3
- Butler County, AL25R+22.7
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Pike County, AL53
- Montgomery County, AL41
- Coffee County, AL26
- Covington County, AL26
- Butler County, AL22
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | +10 |
| 2012 | +28 |
| 2013 | −53 |
| 2014 | +31 |
| 2015 | +56 |
| 2016 | +71 |
| 2017 | −16 |
| 2018 | +5 |
| 2019 | −14 |
| 2021 | −34 |
| 2022 | +76 |
| 2023 | +95 |
| 2024 | −33 |
| 2025 | +26 |
Crenshaw sits at the southern fringe of Alabama's Black Belt, and its roughly 13,000 residents have delivered some of the state's widest presidential margins over the past decade, reflecting a predominantly rural, low-density electorate with deep Republican alignment.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 93.6 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 78.7 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 6.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.6 points.
A population of 13,122, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,560 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Union Parish and Miller County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Crenshaw County, Alabama. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/01041/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.