Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic26.9%608TrumpRepublican70.9%1,604OtherAll other candidates2.3%51
R+44.0
Lead
996
Total
2,263
vs nation
R+42.5
BidenDemocratic26.3%538TrumpRepublican71.4%1,459OtherAll other candidates2.3%47
R+45.1
Lead
921
Total
2,044
vs nation
R+49.5
ClintonDemocratic22.6%385TrumpRepublican71.2%1,216OtherAll other candidates6.2%106
R+48.7
Lead
831
Total
1,707
vs nation
R+50.8
ObamaDemocratic35.3%535RomneyRepublican62.5%948OtherAll other candidates2.2%34
R+27.2
Lead
413
Total
1,517
vs nation
R+31.1
ObamaDemocratic39.7%559McCainRepublican57.7%813OtherAll other candidates2.6%36
R+18.0
Lead
254
Total
1,408
vs nation
R+25.3
KerryDemocratic34.1%423BushRepublican63.4%787OtherAll other candidates2.6%32
R+29.3
Lead
364
Total
1,242
vs nation
R+26.8
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+44.0MIT Election Lab
Population
4,1792024 5-year
Population density
321 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
13 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$98,7502024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
94.8%2024 5-year
Black
2.1%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
1.9%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+48.7 in 2016MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 5 audited
2024 turnout
81.7%2,275 participants ÷ 2,784 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off
+27.6 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off vs state
+3.8 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026
54.1%–61.6%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
50.0%
49.8%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
2,275
2,784 ± 426
81.7%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,394
2,799 ± 432
49.8%
Audited
E/D
2,070
2,674 ± 411
77.4%
Audited
E/D
2018Mid
1,365
2,728 ± 324
50.0%
Audited
E/D
1,717
2,744 ± 265
62.6%
Audited
E/A
1,517
2,145
70.7%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2020, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2020: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 321/4.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Shenandoah Farms, VA · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
39.7%
559 votes · R+18.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 35.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2020
71.4%
1,459 votes · R+45.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 71.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
608votes
26.9% of the vote · R+44.0
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 559 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
1,604votes
70.9% of the vote · R+44.0
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 1,459 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
−25.3pts D vs U.S.
Place R+18.0 · U.S. D+7.3
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −26.8 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+50.8pts R vs U.S.
Place R+48.7 · U.S. D+2.1
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +49.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 1 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Shenandoah Farms · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Shenandoah Farms, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Shenandoah Farms sits in Virginia's Warren County along the Shenandoah Valley fringe, where exurban growth from the Northern Virginia metro has gradually shifted the demographic and electoral profile of once-static rural precincts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 48.7 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 44.0 points.
A population of 4,179, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $98,750 describe the city.
In 2024, Shenandoah Farms, Virginia voted Republican by 44.0 points (R+44.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,263 votes cast, 608 went Democratic and 1,604 went Republican.
How many people live in Shenandoah Farms, Virginia?
Shenandoah Farms, Virginia has a population of 4,179 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Shenandoah Farms, Virginia?
Median household income in Shenandoah Farms, Virginia is $98,750 — above the national median of $80,734. The Virginia state median is $93,170.
What is the political history of Shenandoah Farms, Virginia?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Shenandoah Farms, Virginia from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
