Virginia 33rd State House District, Virginia: Populist district. In 2024, voted R+43%. Republican peak: R+46 in 1984.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+43MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- PopulistAkashic typology
- Population
- 105,4442024 5-year
- Median household income
- $70,0522024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 86.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+28 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+46 in 1984MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 16,248 | 41,365 | 58,459 | ||
| R | 15,406 | 38,673 | 54,998 | ||
| R | 11,983 | 32,867 | 47,295 | ||
| R | 14,947 | 28,768 | 44,527 | ||
| R | 16,165 | 27,151 | 43,925 | ||
| R | 12,103 | 26,852 | 39,276 | ||
| R | 10,057 | 21,652 | 32,630 | ||
| R | 9,877 | 16,760 | 29,847 | ||
| R | 9,543 | 16,997 | 31,386 | ||
| R | 7,933 | 18,844 | 27,075 | ||
| R | 7,159 | 19,445 | 26,795 | ||
| R | 8,027 | 16,255 | 25,539 | ||
| R | 9,234 | 13,794 | 23,639 | ||
| R | 6,705 | 14,494 | 21,589 | ||
| R | 4,819 | 12,067 | 20,408 | ||
| D | 9,424 | 8,972 | 18,434 | ||
| R | 4,768 | 8,789 | 13,587 | ||
| R | 3,964 | 8,367 | 12,519 | ||
| R | 4,019 | 8,740 | 12,782 | ||
| R | 4,065 | 6,818 | 11,451 | ||
| R | 4,522 | 7,401 | 11,944 | ||
| R | 5,174 | 6,158 | 11,374 | ||
| D | 5,935 | 5,661 | 11,633 | ||
| D | 5,602 | 4,526 | 10,293 | ||
| R | 3,224 | 6,289 | 9,513 | ||
| D | 3,998 | 3,728 | 8,063 | ||
| R | 3,734 | 4,621 | 8,414 | ||
| D | 2,931 | 2,489 | 5,518 | ||
| D | 2,718 | 1,358 | 4,924 | ||
| R | 2,767 | 2,777 | 5,629 | ||
| D | 2,463 | 2,462 | 5,015 | ||
| D | 4,145 | 3,966 | 8,218 | ||
| R | 4,429 | 4,760 | 9,387 | ||
| D | 4,996 | 3,548 | 8,991 | ||
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Demographics
Virginia 33rd State House District sits in the Mid-Atlantic and Appalachia. For most of the post-war period it was a Democratic district — its working-class profile gave it the same political habits as much of its region. That identity has shifted decisively in the last twenty years.
The Democratic margin in Virginia 33rd State House District peaked at twenty-eight points in 1912. By 1968 the district had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was forty-three points, the most Republican-leaning result in the district's modern history.
The economic context is the key. The median household income of $70,052 sits well below state and national norms, and 11% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
State House District 33, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51033/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.