- Lead
- 2,525
- Total
- 38,469
- vs nation
- R+5.1
Virginia 34th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 1,411
- Total
- 36,056
- vs nation
- R+8.4
- Lead
- 2,586
- Total
- 33,995
- vs nation
- R+9.7
- Lead
- 3,363
- Total
- 30,591
- vs nation
- R+14.8
- Lead
- 2,169
- Total
- 28,999
- vs nation
- R+14.8
- Lead
- 7,147
- Total
- 23,541
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Lead
- 6,879
- Total
- 20,266
- vs nation
- R+34.5
- Lead
- 4,765
- Total
- 18,262
- vs nation
- R+34.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+6.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 86,3742024 5-year
- Population density
- 264 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 327 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $72,1642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 70.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 17.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+75.6 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+58.7 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 45, OK · twin score 82.5
presidential history
Party record book
Virginia 34th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
46.9%
16,906 votes · R+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 46.0%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
64.7%
15,227 votes · R+30.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 54.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
17,696votes
46.0% of the vote · R+6.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 16,906 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
20,221votes
52.6% of the vote · R+6.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,317 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
−5.1pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · −8.4 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2004
+27.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+30.4 · U.S. R+2.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · +14.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Its 2024 presidential margin of R+6.5 ranked among Virginia's closest, against R+7.5 in 2008. The district had about 82,500 residents, 72.5% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.6 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 58.7 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 6.6 points.
A population of 86,374, a 70% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $72,164 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 45 and State House District 34.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Virginia 34th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/51034/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.