Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic45.0%249TrumpRepublican54.8%303OtherAll other candidates0.2%1
R+9.8
Lead
54
Total
553
vs nation
R+8.3
Turnout
—
BidenDemocratic58.0%303TrumpRepublican41.6%217OtherAll other candidates0.4%2
D+16.5
Lead
86
Total
522
vs nation
D+12.0
Turnout
—
ClintonDemocratic73.0%262TrumpRepublican24.2%87OtherAll other candidates2.8%10
D+48.7
Lead
175
Total
359
vs nation
D+46.7
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic76.5%169RomneyRepublican22.6%50OtherAll other candidates0.9%2
D+53.8
Lead
119
Total
221
vs nation
D+50.0
Turnout
—
ObamaDemocratic77.3%126McCainRepublican22.1%36OtherAll other candidates0.6%1
D+55.2
Lead
90
Total
163
vs nation
D+47.9
Turnout
—
KerryDemocratic59.3%64BushRepublican38.9%42OtherAll other candidates1.9%2
D+20.4
Lead
22
Total
108
vs nation
D+22.8
Turnout
—
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+9.8MIT Election Lab
Population
3,6782024 5-year
Median household income
$49,1322024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
1.6%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
98.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+55.2 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+9.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over time
Year
Margin (D minus R)
2004
+20.4%
2008
+55.2%
2012
+53.8%
2016
+48.7%
2020
+16.5%
2024
−9.8%
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year. Third-party votes in 2012 are allocated from certified county totals by this place's share of each county's two-party vote — that cycle's precinct source records two-party splits.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Other
Margin
Swing
vs U.S.
Total
R
45.0%Harris249
54.8%Trump303
0.2%
R+9.8
R+26.2
R+8.3
553
D
58.0%Biden303
41.6%Trump217
0.4%
D+16.5
R+32.3
D+12.0
522
D
73.0%Clinton262
24.2%Trump87
2.8%
D+48.7
R+5.1
D+46.7
359
D
76.5%Obama169
22.6%Romney50
0.9%
D+53.8
R+1.4
D+50.0
221
D
77.3%Obama126
22.1%McCain36
0.6%
D+55.2
D+34.8
D+47.9
163
D
59.3%Kerry64
38.9%Bush42
1.9%
D+20.4
—
D+22.8
108
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House · 2 Senate
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC BY 4.0.
Year
Won
Democratic
Republican
Total
2024
D
50.2%271
47.2%255
540
2020
D
58.8%281
41.2%197
478
San Carlos sits in the Gulf South and Southern Plains. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 55.2 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 9.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 26.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.8 points.
A population of 3,678, a 2% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $49,132 describe the city.
In 2024, San Carlos, Texas voted Republican by 9.8 points (R+9.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 553 votes cast, 249 went Democratic and 303 went Republican.
When did San Carlos, Texas last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which San Carlos, Texas voted Democratic was 2020.
How many people live in San Carlos, Texas?
San Carlos, Texas has a population of 3,678 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in San Carlos, Texas?
Median household income in San Carlos, Texas is $49,132 — below the national median of $80,734. The Texas state median is $78,476.
What is the political history of San Carlos, Texas?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in San Carlos, Texas from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 5 went Democratic and 1 went Republican.