HarrisDemocratic39.0%2,770TrumpRepublican57.8%4,104OtherAll other candidates3.2%225
R+18.8- Lead
- 1,334
- Total
- 7,099
- vs nation
- R+17.3
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Thonotosassa, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic43.7%3,083TrumpRepublican55.0%3,879OtherAll other candidates1.3%94
R+11.3- Lead
- 796
- Total
- 7,056
- vs nation
- R+15.7
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic40.9%2,270TrumpRepublican54.7%3,035OtherAll other candidates4.4%242
R+13.8- Lead
- 765
- Total
- 5,547
- vs nation
- R+15.9
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.8%2,401RomneyRepublican50.2%2,472OtherAll other candidates1.0%49
R+1.4- Lead
- 71
- Total
- 4,922
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic48.7%2,223McCainRepublican50.3%2,297OtherAll other candidates1.1%49
R+1.6- Lead
- 74
- Total
- 4,569
- vs nation
- R+8.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic41.6%1,899BushRepublican57.5%2,627OtherAll other candidates0.9%42
R+15.9- Lead
- 728
- Total
- 4,568
- vs nation
- R+13.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+18.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 15,7642024 5-year
- Median household income
- $71,2722024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 16.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+18.8 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Holiday, FL · twin score 84.8
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −15.9% |
| 2008 | −1.6% |
| 2012 | −1.4% |
| 2016 | −13.8% |
| 2020 | −11.3% |
| 2024 | −18.8% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 39.0%Harris2,770 | 57.8%Trump4,104 | 3.2% | R+18.8 | R+7.5 | R+17.3 | 7,099 | |
| R | 43.7%Biden3,083 | 55.0%Trump3,879 | 1.3% | R+11.3 | D+2.5 | R+15.7 | 7,056 | |
| R | 40.9%Clinton2,270 | 54.7%Trump3,035 | 4.4% | R+13.8 | R+12.3 | R+15.9 | 5,547 | |
| R | 48.8%Obama2,401 | 50.2%Romney2,472 | 1.0% | R+1.4 | D+0.2 | R+5.3 | 4,922 | |
| R | 48.7%Obama2,223 | 50.3%McCain2,297 | 1.1% | R+1.6 | — | R+8.9 | 4,569 | |
| R | 41.6%Kerry1,899 | 57.5%Bush2,627 | 0.9% | R+15.9 | — | R+13.5 | 4,568 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 43.9%2,785 | 56.1%3,560 | 6,345 |
| 2020 | R | 44.0%3,040 | 56.0%3,873 | 6,913 |
Thonotosassa sits on Hillsborough County's northeastern fringe, where an influx of new residents has layered suburban growth onto an older agricultural and lakeside community, making it a bellwether for exurban demographic shifts.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 18.8 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 18.8 points.
A population of 15,764, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,272 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Holiday and Elfers.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Holiday
Florida
84.8twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ American ancestry
Elfers
Florida
84.3twin score
2016–2024 trajectory12-yr trend≠ American ancestry
Vero Lake Estates
Florida
84.3twin score
12-yr trend2016–2024 trajectoryelasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Thonotosassa, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1271725/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Thonotosassa, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Thonotosassa, Florida voted Republican by 18.8 points (R+18.8), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,099 votes cast, 2,770 went Democratic and 4,104 went Republican.
How many people live in Thonotosassa, Florida?
Thonotosassa, Florida has a population of 15,764 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Thonotosassa, Florida?
Median household income in Thonotosassa, Florida is $71,272 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Thonotosassa, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Thonotosassa, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.