Haines City, Florida
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +14.8% |
| 2008 | +26.7% |
| 2012 | +33.3% |
| 2016 | +30.3% |
| 2020 | +20.8% |
| 2024 | +5.3% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 52.0%Harris6,305 | 46.7%Trump5,664 | 1.2% | D+5.3 | R+15.5 | D+6.8 | 12,119 | |
| D | 59.8%Biden6,399 | 39.1%Trump4,180 | 1.1% | D+20.8 | R+9.5 | D+16.3 | 10,693 | |
| D | 63.5%Clinton5,430 | 33.2%Trump2,839 | 3.4% | D+30.3 | R+3.0 | D+28.2 | 8,557 | |
| D | 66.1%Obama3,449 | 32.9%Romney1,714 | 1.0% | D+33.3 | D+6.6 | D+29.4 | 5,215 | |
| D | 62.6%Obama4,074 | 35.9%McCain2,336 | 1.5% | D+26.7 | D+11.9 | D+19.4 | 6,506 | |
| D | 57.2%Kerry3,064 | 42.4%Bush2,272 | 0.4% | D+14.8 | — | D+17.2 | 5,355 |
Haines City sits in the Interstate 4 corridor between Orlando and Tampa, a stretch that has seen some of Florida's sharpest population growth. The city's expanding Latino community and steady influx of out-of-state migrants make its voter composition a moving target cycle to cycle.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 33.3 points in 2012. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 15.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.3 points.
A population of 34,234, a 26% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,975 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Kissimmee and Buenaventura Lakes.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Haines City, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1228400/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.