Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL Metro Area — Elections 1892–2024

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How it voted

Share of the 2024 vote

Donald Trump ✓Republican	59.9%	209,044
Kamala HarrisDemocratic	39.2%	136,879
Jill SteinGreen	0.9%	3,008

D+60

R+60

A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.

County-level results (1 county) — table

2024 presidential result by county for Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, FL — winner and D-vs-R margin.
County	Winner	Margin
Polk County, FL	Republican	R+20.7

34 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Total
2024	R	39.2%Harris136,879	59.9%Trump209,044	0.9%Stein3,008	−20.7%	348,931
2020	R	42.3%Biden145,049	56.7%Trump194,586	1.1%Jorgensen3,621	−14.4%	343,256
2016	R	41.3%Clinton117,433	55.4%Trump157,430	3.3%Johnson9,451	−14.1%	284,314
2012	R	46.1%Obama114,622	52.9%Romney131,577	1.0%Johnson2,484	−6.8%	248,683
2008	R	46.5%Obama113,865	52.6%McCain128,878	0.9%Nader2,090	−6.1%	244,833
2004	R	40.8%Kerry86,009	58.6%Bush123,559	0.6%Nader1,262	−17.8%	210,830
2000	R	44.6%Gore75,207	53.6%Bush90,310	1.8%Nader3,112	−9.0%	168,629
1996	R	44.4%Clinton66,747	45.3%Dole67,962	10.3%Perot15,464	−0.8%	150,173
1992	R	35.3%Clinton51,450	45.2%Bush65,963	19.5%Perot28,487	−9.9%	145,900
1988	R	33.0%Dukakis38,249	66.4%Bush77,104	0.6%Paul687	−33.5%	116,040
1984	R	29.7%Mondale35,516	70.3%Reagan84,246	0.0%Other22	−40.7%	119,784
1980	R	40.8%Carter43,327	56.1%Reagan59,651	3.1%Anderson3,337	−15.4%	106,315
1976	D	51.0%Carter47,286	47.7%Ford44,238	1.3%McCarthy1,182	+3.3%	92,706
1972	R	21.2%McGovern16,419	78.4%Nixon60,748	0.4%Schmitz293	−57.2%	77,460
1968	O	21.1%Humphrey15,898	37.0%Nixon27,839	41.9%Wallace31,540	Wallace +4.9	75,277
1964	R	45.0%Johnson29,355	55.0%Goldwater35,906	0.0%	−10.0%	65,261
1960	R	42.7%Kennedy23,546	57.3%Nixon31,618	0.0%	−14.6%	55,164
1956	R	44.0%Stevenson18,626	56.0%Eisenhower23,682	0.0%	−12.0%	42,308
1952	R	48.4%Stevenson19,556	51.6%Eisenhower20,874	0.0%	−3.3%	40,430
1948	D	52.6%Truman12,034	33.6%Dewey7,692	13.8%Thurmond3,166	+19.0%	22,892
1944	D	71.9%Roosevelt13,152	28.1%Dewey5,150	0.0%	+43.7%	18,302
1940	D	76.1%Roosevelt17,690	23.9%Willkie5,564	0.0%	+52.1%	23,254
1936	D	71.5%Roosevelt10,441	28.5%Landon4,164	0.0%	+43.0%	14,605
1932	D	73.1%Roosevelt9,463	26.9%Hoover3,490	0.0%	+46.1%	12,953
1928	R	36.9%Smith4,576	60.2%Hoover7,460	2.8%Thomas350	−23.3%	12,386
1924	D	58.0%Davis3,070	28.9%Coolidge1,530	13.1%La Follette696	+29.1%	5,296
1920	D	65.9%Cox3,918	30.0%Harding1,782	4.2%Debs249	+35.9%	5,949
1916	D	76.1%Wilson2,574	17.1%Hughes578	6.8%Benson229	+59.0%	3,381
1912	D	71.4%Wilson1,520	5.0%Taft106	23.6%Roosevelt502	+66.4%	2,128
1908	D	69.6%Bryan1,251	16.1%Taft290	14.2%Debs256	+53.5%	1,797
1904	D	81.4%Parker869	11.7%Roosevelt125	6.8%Debs73	+69.7%	1,067
1900	D	79.6%Bryan983	10.8%McKinley133	9.6%Woolley119	+68.8%	1,235
1896	D	76.2%Bryan1,155	18.4%McKinley279	5.3%Palmer81	+57.8%	1,515
1892	D	81.9%Cleveland869	0.0%Harrison0	18.1%Weaver192	+81.9%	1,061

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	+81.9%
1896	+57.8%
1900	+68.8%
1904	+69.7%
1908	+53.5%
1912	+66.4%
1916	+59.0%
1920	+35.9%
1924	+29.1%
1928	−23.3%
1932	+46.1%
1936	+43.0%
1940	+52.1%
1944	+43.7%
1948	+19.0%
1952	−3.3%
1956	−12.0%
1960	−14.6%
1964	−10.0%
1968	−15.9%
1972	−57.2%
1976	+3.3%
1980	−15.4%
1984	−40.7%
1988	−33.5%
1992	−9.9%
1996	−0.8%
2000	−9.0%
2004	−17.8%
2008	−6.1%
2012	−6.8%
2016	−14.1%
2020	−14.4%
2024	−20.7%

DemocraticRepublican

voter registration

Registered voters

By party of registration, over time

DemocraticRepublicanUnaffiliatedOther parties

Voter registration in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
Year	Total registered	Democratic	Republican	Unaffiliated	Other
2017	400,710	143,492	143,801	111,519	1,898
2018	420,816	148,241	150,308	119,157	3,110
2019	443,783	153,445	157,199	128,582	4,557
2020	476,015	162,891	174,746	131,277	7,101
2021	464,375	155,647	170,929	129,736	8,063
2023	430,611	132,013	172,953	115,059	10,586
2024	468,295	140,190	191,492	122,295	14,318

Source: Florida Division of Elections

Once anchored by agricultural employment, the Lakeland-Winter Haven metro has urbanized rapidly, drawing working-class and retiree migrants who have tilted its competitive margins toward double-digit Republican advantages in recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 81.9 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 57.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.7 points.

A population of 790,694, a 51% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,978 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL and Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

79.4twin score

Puerto Rican ancestry% Latino% White≠ college share

Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL

72.7twin score

Puerto Rican ancestry% Whiteelasticity≠ % Catholic

Ocala, FL

70.2twin score

Puerto Rican ancestrypopulation scale% unaffiliated≠ median age

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/29460/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

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Places within Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL

counties1

Polk County

Frequently asked questions

How did Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida vote in 2024?

In 2024, Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida voted Republican by 20.7 points (R+20.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 348,931 votes cast, 136,879 went Democratic and 209,044 went Republican.

When did Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida voted Democratic was 1976.

How many people live in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida?

Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida has a population of 790,694 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida?

Median household income in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida is $65,978 — below the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.

What is the political history of Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida?

Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL, Florida from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 15 went Democratic and 18 went Republican.