Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Lancaster, PA
presidential margin
2008R+11.82012R+18.92016R+19.12020R+15.82024R+16.0
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+16.0
2024
median income$86,959U.S. $80,734 · PA $77,971
median age39.4U.S. 39.1 · PA 41.2
poverty rate8.2%U.S. 12.5% · PA 11.7%
bachelor’s+ (25+)32.4%U.S. 35.6% · PA 35.2%
non-english16.8%U.S. 22.3% · PA 12.4%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German30.7%
Irish10.6%
English9.1%
Puerto Rican6.8%
Dominican1.3%
Mexican1.0%
African American†2.3%
African0.3%
Ethiopian0.3%
Vietnamese0.5%
Asian Indian0.3%
Chinese0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline11.0%
Other Christian0.9%
Latter-day Saints0.6%
Muslim0.4%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania

Akashic
Lancaster, PATrumpR+16.0
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Lancaster, PA, PAA map of the single county of Lancaster, PA, PA, outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Lancaster County, PA · R+16.0
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican57.5%166,261
Kamala HarrisDemocratic41.5%120,119
Jill SteinGreen1.0%2,877
D+60
R+60
A single county, filled by its 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover it for the full result.
County-level results (1 county) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Lancaster, PA, PA — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Lancaster County, PARepublicanR+16.0
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
41.5%Harris120,119
57.5%Trump166,261
1.0%Stein2,877
−16.0%
289,257
R
41.3%Biden115,847
57.2%Trump160,209
1.5%Jorgensen4,183
−15.8%
280,239
R
37.2%Clinton91,093
56.3%Trump137,914
6.5%Johnson15,825
−19.1%
244,832
R
39.6%Obama88,481
58.5%Romney130,669
1.9%Johnson4,201
−18.9%
223,351
R
43.7%Obama99,586
55.5%McCain126,568
0.9%Nader1,983
−11.8%
228,137
R
33.6%Kerry74,328
65.8%Bush145,591
0.7%Badnarik1,453
−32.2%
221,372
R
31.3%Gore54,968
66.1%Bush115,900
2.6%Nader4,499
−34.7%
175,367
R
31.6%Clinton49,120
59.8%Dole92,875
8.6%Perot13,291
−28.2%
155,286
R
27.6%Clinton44,255
55.2%Bush88,447
17.2%Perot27,478
−27.6%
160,180
R
28.4%Dukakis38,982
70.8%Bush96,979
0.8%McCarthy1,068
−42.3%
137,029
R
23.9%Mondale31,308
75.6%Reagan99,090
0.5%Johnson618
−51.7%
131,016
R
25.3%Carter30,026
67.3%Reagan79,963
7.5%Anderson8,908
−42.0%
118,897
R
32.4%Carter35,533
65.7%Ford72,106
1.9%McCarthy2,037
−33.3%
109,676
R
22.6%McGovern24,223
75.6%Nixon81,036
1.8%Schmitz1,879
−53.0%
107,138
R
27.6%Humphrey29,870
64.6%Nixon69,953
7.8%Wallace8,484
−37.0%
108,307
D
50.3%Johnson53,041
49.5%Goldwater52,243
0.2%Hass224
+0.8%
105,508
R
29.7%Kennedy33,233
70.1%Nixon78,390
0.2%Byrd266
−40.4%
111,889
R
27.7%Stevenson26,538
72.1%Eisenhower69,026
0.2%Andrews237
−44.4%
95,801
R
30.4%Stevenson28,146
69.2%Eisenhower64,193
0.4%Hallinan382
−38.9%
92,721
R
31.1%Truman21,308
67.6%Dewey46,306
1.3%Thurmond885
−36.5%
68,499
R
37.6%Roosevelt27,353
61.8%Dewey44,888
0.6%Thomas432
−24.1%
72,673
R
41.6%Roosevelt32,210
58.0%Willkie44,939
0.3%Thomas269
−16.4%
77,418
R
46.7%Roosevelt38,454
51.4%Landon42,272
1.9%Lemke1,547
−4.6%
82,273
R
40.0%Roosevelt24,406
56.5%Hoover34,502
3.5%Thomas2,111
−16.5%
61,019
R
17.8%Smith12,146
81.4%Hoover55,530
0.8%Thomas516
−63.6%
68,192
R
20.8%Davis12,091
73.7%Coolidge42,787
5.4%La Follette3,156
−52.9%
58,034
R
23.5%Cox9,521
72.9%Harding29,549
3.6%Debs1,472
−49.4%
40,542
R
31.3%Wilson10,016
63.4%Hughes20,292
5.3%Benson1,688
−32.1%
31,996
O
25.0%Wilson8,574
37.0%Taft12,668
38.0%Roosevelt13,040
Roosevelt +1.1
34,282
R
24.6%Bryan8,109
71.4%Taft23,523
3.9%Debs1,299
−46.8%
32,931
R
20.8%Parker7,092
76.5%Roosevelt26,083
2.6%Debs902
−55.7%
34,077
R
26.1%Bryan8,437
71.8%McKinley23,230
2.2%Woolley701
−45.7%
32,368
R
24.3%Bryan8,145
72.7%McKinley24,337
3.0%Palmer1,008
−48.3%
33,490
R
33.1%Cleveland10,326
64.5%Harrison20,126
2.5%Weaver770
−31.4%
31,222
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −16.0% in 2024.flipped R · 1968−16.0%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−31.4%
1896−48.3%
1900−45.7%
1904−55.7%
1908−46.8%
1912−11.9%
1916−32.1%
1920−49.4%
1924−52.9%
1928−63.6%
1932−16.5%
1936−4.6%
1940−16.4%
1944−24.1%
1948−36.5%
1952−38.9%
1956−44.4%
1960−40.4%
1964+0.8%
1968−37.0%
1972−53.0%
1976−33.3%
1980−42.0%
1984−51.7%
1988−42.3%
1992−27.6%
1996−28.2%
2000−34.7%
2004−32.2%
2008−11.8%
2012−18.9%
2016−19.1%
2020−15.8%
2024−16.0%
DemocraticRepublican

Lancaster's political profile has shifted noticeably as its Latino population—now roughly 10% of city residents—has grown, while the surrounding county's rural precincts continue to anchor reliably conservative margins in statewide races.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 0.8 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 63.6 points in 1928. The 2024 margin was 16.0 points.

A population of 557,931, a 79% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,959 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of York-Hanover, PA and Lebanon, PA.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

York-Hanover, PA
84.6twin score
population scalemedian incomeelasticity≠ % Evangelical
Lebanon, PA
78.8twin score
Puerto Rican ancestryelasticity2000–2004 trajectory≠ population scale
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
75.3twin score
12-yr trendpopulation scalemedian income≠ % Evangelical

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/29540/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Lancaster, PA

counties1
Lancaster County

Frequently asked questions

How did Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania vote in 2024?
In 2024, Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania voted Republican by 16.0 points (R+16.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 289,257 votes cast, 120,119 went Democratic and 166,261 went Republican.
When did Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania?
Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania has a population of 557,931 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania?
Median household income in Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania is $86,959 — above the national median of $80,734. The Pennsylvania state median is $77,971.
What is the political history of Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Lancaster, PA, Pennsylvania from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.