- Lead
- 39,828
- Total
- 255,294
- vs nation
- R+14.1
Florida 12th State Senate District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 22,807
- Total
- 250,350
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Lead
- 18,107
- Total
- 204,403
- vs nation
- R+10.9
- Lead
- 2,590
- Total
- 180,061
- vs nation
- R+5.3
- Lead
- 1,317
- Total
- 177,453
- vs nation
- R+8.0
- Lead
- 18,844
- Total
- 151,267
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Lead
- 4,454
- Total
- 121,502
- vs nation
- R+4.2
- Lead
- 4,303
- Total
- 108,610
- vs nation
- R+4.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+15.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 536,4742024 5-year
- Population density
- 589 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 911 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $64,5602024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 51.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 15.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.3 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State Senate District 23, FL · twin score 83.2
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 12th State Senate District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
49.0%
86,966 votes · R+0.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 48.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
57.3%
146,310 votes · R+15.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 55.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
112,453votes
44.9% of the vote · R+9.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 106,482 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
146,310votes
57.3% of the vote · R+15.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 135,260 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−4.2pts D vs U.S.
Place R+3.7 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −5.3 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+14.1pts R vs U.S.
Place R+15.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +13.6 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
The district recorded a Republican presidential margin of R+15.6 in 2024, compared with R+0.7 in 2008. The district had about 393,000 residents, 55.5% White alone in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.3 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 53.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 15.6 points.
A population of 536,474, a 52% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $64,560 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State Senate District 23 and State Senate District 13.
The state-senate districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 12th State Senate District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/12012/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.