- Lead
- 12,776
- Total
- 93,723
- vs nation
- R+12.2
Florida 51st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 5,352
- Total
- 84,958
- vs nation
- R+10.8
- Lead
- 4,859
- Total
- 62,857
- vs nation
- R+9.8
- Lead
- 52
- Total
- 55,229
- vs nation
- R+3.9
- Lead
- 293
- Total
- 54,494
- vs nation
- R+6.7
- Lead
- 5,319
- Total
- 46,417
- vs nation
- R+9.0
- Lead
- 932
- Total
- 37,225
- vs nation
- R+3.0
- Lead
- 1,764
- Total
- 33,172
- vs nation
- R+3.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+13.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 182,3592024 5-year
- Population density
- 394 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 463 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $69,7172024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 50.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 11.4%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 32.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+98.1 in 1880MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+53.3 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 50, FL · twin score 91.4
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 51st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
49.8%
27,158 votes · D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 49.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
56.3%
52,788 votes · R+13.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2004 · 55.5%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
40,012votes
42.7% of the vote · R+13.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 39,360 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
52,788votes
56.3% of the vote · R+13.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 44,712 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−3.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+2.5 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · −3.9 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+12.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+13.6 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +10.8 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 51 recorded an R+13.6 presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most one-sided legislative seats. That kind of consistent advantage reshapes how both parties allocate resources across the broader Florida map.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 98.1 points in 1880 and a Republican high of 53.3 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 7.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 13.6 points.
A population of 182,359, a 50% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $69,717 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 50 and State House District 48.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 51st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12051/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.