- Lead
- 52,562
- Total
- 134,381
- vs nation
- R+37.6
Florida 52nd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 44,481
- Total
- 121,191
- vs nation
- R+41.2
- Lead
- 38,870
- Total
- 101,073
- vs nation
- R+40.5
- Lead
- 24,724
- Total
- 82,274
- vs nation
- R+33.9
- Lead
- 15,851
- Total
- 71,728
- vs nation
- R+29.4
- Lead
- 11,268
- Total
- 52,542
- vs nation
- R+19.0
- Lead
- 3,305
- Total
- 38,974
- vs nation
- R+9.0
- Lead
- 1,701
- Total
- 30,193
- vs nation
- R+2.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+39.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 182,7262024 5-year
- Population density
- 215 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 849 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $73,8692024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 81.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 6.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 7.4%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+73.7 in 1940MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.8 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 31, FL · twin score 94.8
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 52nd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
44.2%
17,229 votes · R+8.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 38.5%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
69.2%
93,058 votes · R+39.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · 68.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
40,496votes
30.1% of the vote · R+39.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 38,003 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
93,058votes
69.2% of the vote · R+39.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 82,484 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−9.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+8.5 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −19.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+41.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +40.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+39, this district sits at the far end of Florida's partisan geography, suggesting a heavily rural or exurban population base where statewide competitive races rarely hinge on local returns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 73.7 points in 1940 and a Republican high of 54.8 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.1 points.
A population of 182,726, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $73,869 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 31 and State House District 80.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 52nd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12052/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.