- Lead
- 27,443
- Total
- 104,948
- vs nation
- R+24.7
Florida 31st State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 23,810
- Total
- 108,356
- vs nation
- R+26.4
- Lead
- 23,876
- Total
- 97,510
- vs nation
- R+26.6
- Lead
- 15,637
- Total
- 88,498
- vs nation
- R+21.5
- Lead
- 13,692
- Total
- 89,210
- vs nation
- R+22.6
- Lead
- 17,313
- Total
- 82,119
- vs nation
- R+18.6
- Lead
- 8,853
- Total
- 67,630
- vs nation
- R+13.6
- Lead
- 5,029
- Total
- 60,264
- vs nation
- R+16.9
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+26.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 179,2522024 5-year
- Population density
- 656 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 273 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,0052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 7.3%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 9.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+87.8 in 1892MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.0 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 32, FL · twin score 95.3
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 31st State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
41.8%
28,295 votes · R+13.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 41.6%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
62.5%
65,602 votes · R+26.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 60.4%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
41,618votes
38.4% of the vote · R+22.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 38,159 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
65,602votes
62.5% of the vote · R+26.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 65,428 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
−13.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+13.1 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −18.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2016
+26.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+24.5 · U.S. D+2.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +26.4 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+26.1, against R+15.3 in 2008. About 205,000 residents lived here, with White alone at 73.4% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 87.8 points in 1892 and a Republican high of 61.0 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 26.1 points.
A population of 179,252, a 76% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,005 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 32 and State House District 52.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 31st State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12031/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.