- Lead
- 36,439
- Total
- 100,081
- vs nation
- R+34.9
Florida 53rd State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 29,324
- Total
- 99,294
- vs nation
- R+34.0
- Lead
- 24,317
- Total
- 85,316
- vs nation
- R+30.6
- Lead
- 6,769
- Total
- 76,048
- vs nation
- R+12.8
- Lead
- 3,357
- Total
- 79,398
- vs nation
- R+11.5
- Lead
- 5,670
- Total
- 72,285
- vs nation
- R+5.4
- Lead
- 1,317
- Total
- 57,616
- vs nation
- D+1.8
- Lead
- 5,716
- Total
- 51,448
- vs nation
- D+2.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+36.4MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 174,5442024 5-year
- Population density
- 737 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 237 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $65,1092024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 75.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 14.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+80.5 in 1900MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+50.2 in 1972MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 56, FL · twin score 95.2
presidential history
Party record book
Florida 53rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2000–2024 · 7 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
49.9%
28,735 votes · D+2.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · 47.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
67.9%
67,926 votes · R+36.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 64.3%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
37,564votes
47.3% of the vote · R+4.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 34,570 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
67,926votes
67.9% of the vote · R+36.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 63,894 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Al Gore2000
+1.8pts D vs U.S.
Place D+2.3 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · −5.4 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+34.9pts R vs U.S.
Place R+36.4 · U.S. R+1.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +34.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+37, District 53 sits well outside competitive territory, making it a reliable bellwether for the strength of Republican coalitions in its corner of the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 80.5 points in 1900 and a Republican high of 50.2 points in 1972. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 6.9 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 36.4 points.
A population of 174,544, a 75% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,109 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 56 and State House District 79.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Florida 53rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/12053/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.