HarrisDemocratic44.2%3,045TrumpRepublican54.3%3,746OtherAll other candidates1.5%104
R+10.2- Lead
- 701
- Total
- 6,895
- vs nation
- R+8.7
- Turnout
- —
Akashiccity
Cheval, FL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic47.4%3,428TrumpRepublican51.3%3,707OtherAll other candidates1.3%96
R+3.9- Lead
- 279
- Total
- 7,231
- vs nation
- R+8.3
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.7%2,598TrumpRepublican51.6%3,069OtherAll other candidates4.7%278
R+7.9- Lead
- 471
- Total
- 5,945
- vs nation
- R+10.0
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic40.8%2,354RomneyRepublican58.2%3,357OtherAll other candidates1.0%58
R+17.4- Lead
- 1,003
- Total
- 5,769
- vs nation
- R+21.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.5%2,346McCainRepublican53.8%2,775OtherAll other candidates0.7%34
R+8.3- Lead
- 429
- Total
- 5,155
- vs nation
- R+15.6
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic38.5%2,004BushRepublican61.0%3,179OtherAll other candidates0.5%27
R+22.6- Lead
- 1,175
- Total
- 5,210
- vs nation
- R+20.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 13,9692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $101,9072024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 54.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 5.5%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 22.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+22.6 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Westchase, FL · twin score 79.6
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −22.6% |
| 2008 | −8.3% |
| 2012 | −17.4% |
| 2016 | −7.9% |
| 2020 | −3.9% |
| 2024 | −10.2% |
DemocraticRepublican
6 presidential elections
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 44.2%Harris3,045 | 54.3%Trump3,746 | 1.5% | R+10.2 | R+6.3 | R+8.7 | 6,895 | |
| R | 47.4%Biden3,428 | 51.3%Trump3,707 | 1.3% | R+3.9 | D+4.1 | R+8.3 | 7,231 | |
| R | 43.7%Clinton2,598 | 51.6%Trump3,069 | 4.7% | R+7.9 | D+9.5 | R+10.0 | 5,945 | |
| R | 40.8%Obama2,354 | 58.2%Romney3,357 | 1.0% | R+17.4 | R+9.1 | R+21.2 | 5,769 | |
| R | 45.5%Obama2,346 | 53.8%McCain2,775 | 0.7% | R+8.3 | — | R+15.6 | 5,155 | |
| R | 38.5%Kerry2,004 | 61.0%Bush3,179 | 0.5% | R+22.6 | — | R+20.1 | 5,210 |
Federal and statewide elections · 2 House
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 46.6%3,273 | 53.4%3,745 | 7,018 |
| 2020 | R | 48.0%3,414 | 52.0%3,695 | 7,109 |
Cheval is a gated CDP in northwestern Hillsborough County where high household incomes and rapid residential expansion have made it a closely watched precinct in competitive statewide races.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 22.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 6.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.2 points.
A population of 13,969, a 54% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $101,907 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Westchase and Tega Cay.
Political twins — cities
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Westchase
Florida
79.6twin score
12-yr trend2008–2012 trajectoryPuerto Rican ancestry
Tega Cay
South Carolina
74.5twin score
12-yr trend2012–2024 trajectoryAsian Indian ancestry≠ median income
Sunnyvale
Texas
72.6twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2012 margin≠ median income
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Cheval, Florida. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/1211912/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Florida at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Cheval, Florida vote in 2024?
In 2024, Cheval, Florida voted Republican by 10.2 points (R+10.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 6,895 votes cast, 3,045 went Democratic and 3,746 went Republican.
How many people live in Cheval, Florida?
Cheval, Florida has a population of 13,969 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Cheval, Florida?
Median household income in Cheval, Florida is $101,907 — above the national median of $80,734. The Florida state median is $74,568.
What is the political history of Cheval, Florida?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Cheval, Florida from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.