Rio Rico, Arizona
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +16.9% |
| 2008 | +28.7% |
| 2012 | +36.9% |
| 2016 | +48.1% |
| 2020 | +34.0% |
| 2024 | +12.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 55.8%Harris4,612 | 43.2%Trump3,568 | 0.9% | D+12.6 | R+21.4 | D+14.1 | 8,258 | |
| D | 66.5%Biden5,299 | 32.4%Trump2,587 | 1.1% | D+34.0 | R+14.1 | D+29.6 | 7,973 | |
| D | 71.1%Clinton4,475 | 23.0%Trump1,447 | 5.9% | D+48.1 | D+11.2 | D+46.0 | 6,296 | |
| D | 67.8%Obama3,387 | 30.9%Romney1,542 | 1.4% | D+36.9 | D+8.2 | D+33.1 | 4,997 | |
| D | 63.7%Obama2,898 | 34.9%McCain1,590 | 1.4% | D+28.7 | D+11.9 | D+21.5 | 4,552 | |
| D | 57.9%Kerry2,316 | 41.0%Bush1,642 | 1.1% | D+16.9 | — | D+19.3 | 4,000 |
Rio Rico sits roughly 12 miles north of the Nogales port of entry, and its population is over 90% Hispanic or Latino — a demographic concentration that consistently produces lopsided margins in federal and statewide contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 48.1 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 21.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 12.6 points.
A population of 22,017, a 12% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $61,348 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Montclair and Lindsay.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Rio Rico, Arizona. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/0460180/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.