akashic
1876–2024
St. Francois County, Missouri
St. Francois County·Missouri

St. Francois County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

Once a Democratic mining stronghold, now among Missouri's most Republican counties

18762024·38 elections
St. Francois County, Missouri · Kbh3rd · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+51
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
66,999
2024 ACS
Most similar
Jersey County
IL · similarity 1.00
21 precincts · 28,698 votes cast
Trump · R+51
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−51.3%
6,81121,52128,698
2020R
−48.0%
7,04420,51128,065
2016R
−45.0%
6,25017,46824,920
2012R
−19.5%
8,82913,24822,705
2008R
−4.6%
11,54012,66024,550
2004R
−5.8%
10,74812,08722,933
2000R
−1.3%
9,0759,32718,841
1996D
+16.0%
9,0346,20017,726
1992D
+18.4%
9,3675,88918,947
1988D
+1.5%
8,1587,92316,127
1984R
−15.7%
7,1379,79216,929
1980R
−8.4%
7,4958,91416,916
1976D
+11.6%
8,8527,00215,911
1972R
−30.8%
4,6588,81213,470
1968R
−7.1%
6,3797,49215,738
1964D
+30.0%
10,5675,69016,257
1960R
−16.9%
7,20510,13117,336
1956R
−13.7%
7,5669,96817,534
1952R
−9.2%
8,0409,67217,729
1948D
+7.7%
7,2766,23413,542
1944R
−4.1%
6,7457,32014,076
1940R
−3.3%
8,1328,68716,851
1936D
+4.0%
7,8767,27115,213
1932D
+11.6%
7,6136,01713,804
1928R
−36.8%
4,1719,04013,228
1924R
−4.8%
5,5426,11711,956
1920R
−1.8%
5,3005,50411,039
1916D
+9.6%
3,6753,0156,885
1912D
+7.7%
2,7862,3056,225
1908R
−4.7%
2,9423,2606,713
1904R
−4.9%
2,6152,8945,647
1900D
+8.1%
2,7072,2955,066
1896D
+14.8%
2,2451,6643,927
1892D
+25.9%
2,1411,2533,430
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
African American
2.2%
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Baptist
17.3%
Other Christian
5.2%
Catholic & Orthodox
5.0%
Pentecostal & Holiness
4.0%
Mainline Protestant
3.4%
Methodist
2.9%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 62.2% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

St. Francois County's Ozark foothills economy traces back to lead mining, and its working-class white electorate has shifted sharply rightward over two decades — the 2024 presidential margin of R+51 reflects one of the steepest partisan realignments in the state.

The Democratic margin in St. Francois County peaked at thirty points in 1964. By 2000 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. St. Francois County's median household income of $57,477 sits well below state and national norms, and 16% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Jersey County and Randolph County.