Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the city’s overall result across 2004–2024, on current city boundaries.
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
HarrisDemocratic25.9%361TrumpRepublican73.4%1,022OtherAll other candidates0.6%9
R+47.5
Lead
661
Total
1,392
vs nation
R+46.0
BidenDemocratic29.4%461TrumpRepublican69.6%1,093OtherAll other candidates1.0%16
R+40.3
Lead
632
Total
1,570
vs nation
R+44.7
ClintonDemocratic28.4%335TrumpRepublican68.0%803OtherAll other candidates3.6%43
R+39.6
Lead
468
Total
1,181
vs nation
R+41.7
ObamaDemocratic38.1%432RomneyRepublican59.2%671OtherAll other candidates2.7%31
R+21.1
Lead
239
Total
1,134
vs nation
R+24.9
ObamaDemocratic46.5%602McCainRepublican51.2%663OtherAll other candidates2.3%30
R+4.7
Lead
61
Total
1,295
vs nation
R+12.0
KerryDemocratic45.8%567BushRepublican51.9%642OtherAll other candidates2.3%29
R+6.1
Lead
75
Total
1,238
vs nation
R+3.6
Key facts
2024 presidential margin
R+47.5MIT Election Lab
Population
2,5162024 5-year
Population density
359 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area
7 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income
$86,0192024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
96.9%2024 5-year
Black
0.0%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
0.0%2024 5-year
Peak Republican margin
R+47.5 in 2024MIT Election Lab
Participation
Turnout and midterm durability
Participation measured against the same-year citizen voting-age population. Audited cycles count total general-election participants — ballots or participating voters, not presidential candidate votes. Cycles before 2016 predate that series and are derived from the certified presidential returns instead; they are marked everywhere they appear and are excluded from the figures below.
2012–20246 cycles · 4 audited
2024 turnout
93.3%1,781 participants ÷ 1,908 CVAP
2016→2018 drop-off
+14.3 ptsVolatile
Drop-off vs state
+5.0 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Participation by cycle
Presidential Midterm Derived, pre-2016
0%20%40%60%80%100%
50.9%
64.3%
201220162018202020222024
Select a presidential cycle to show it on the map and results ledger above.
Cycle
Participants
CVAP
Turnout
Series
Quality
1,781
1,908 ± 390
93.3%
Audited
E/D
2022Mid
1,316
2,047 ± 450
64.3%
Audited
E/D
1,570
2,083
75.4%
Derived
—
2018Mid
1,068
2,098 ± 269
50.9%
Audited
E/D
1,200
1,840 ± 198
65.2%
Audited
E/D
1,134
1,716
66.1%
Derived
—
Sources and methods
Audited cycles (2016, 2018, 2022, 2024) count total general-election participants against the same-year CVAP special tabulation, each cell carrying its own numerator and denominator quality grade. Derived cycles (2012, 2020) come from the certified presidential returns on this page over the ACS 5-year CVAP series, so they measure presidential votes cast rather than ballots — a floor on participation. Where a derived cycle predates the ACS its denominator is extrapolated rather than read, and says so on its own line below. They are shown for the longer arc and are excluded from the drop-off, excess-drop-off, and 2026 scenario figures above.
2024: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 323/229.
2022: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 322/184.
2018: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 320/139.
2016: numerator source 160, denominator source 157; estimated total ballots; preferred-county:block-reference-presidential-or-cvap-weight:v2; allocation share 100.0%; series 319/133.
2020 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
2012 (derived): Certified presidential returns · ACS 5-year CVAP (B05003); presidential votes cast — a floor on participation, not a ballot count.
presidential history
Party record book
Terre du Lac, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
2004–2024 · 6 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
46.5%
602 votes · R+4.7
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 45.8%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
73.4%
1,022 votes · R+47.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 69.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
602votes
46.5% of the vote · R+4.7
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 567 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
1,093votes
69.6% of the vote · R+40.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 1,022 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John Kerry2004
−3.6pts D vs U.S.
Place R+6.1 · U.S. R+2.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2008 · −12.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2024
+46.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.5 · U.S. R+1.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · +44.7 pts
presidential primaries
Nominating contests
Terre du Lac · how this place’s counties split between candidates in each party’s presidential nominating contest, cycle by cycle. A primary is a contest inside one party, so it has no Democratic–Republican margin and is not part of the general-election record above.
Akashic reports votes cast, not delegates awarded. The two can disagree: Clinton led the 2008 national primary popular vote by less than half a point and did not win the nomination.
Primary returns are published at county grain and there is no roll-up above it. Each cell counts how many of this place’s counties a candidate led — a count of records, not a vote total. Who led the place as a whole is not knowable from these returns, because county rows carry a leader and a lead but no per-candidate votes.
Presidential nominating contests in Terre du Lac, by party and cycle.
○no contest record — Akashic holds no result for that party and cycle here. It is not a claim that no contest was held. Telling apart a contest that was cancelled, one that went uncontested, and one simply not yet ingested needs a nominating-contest calendar, which is a separate ingest from results and does not exist yet.
Republican presidential primaries are not yet ingested — the Republican series runs from 1856 and is in scope. The row is kept so its absence is visible: a Democratic-only panel would otherwise read as though no one else held a contest.
Akashic carries 10 states for 2012 and 3 states for 2024. Cycles in which an incumbent president seeks renomination are thin by nature — few states run a contested primary — so a sparse column is politics, not a hole in the record.
County returns carry a leader and a lead over the runner-up, and nothing more. The full candidate field with vote shares is published at state grain — follow a cycle above to the state contest for it.
Terre du Lac sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 47.5 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 7.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.5 points.
A population of 2,516, a 97% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $86,019 describe the city.
In 2024, Terre du Lac, Missouri voted Republican by 47.5 points (R+47.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 1,392 votes cast, 361 went Democratic and 1,022 went Republican.
How many people live in Terre du Lac, Missouri?
Terre du Lac, Missouri has a population of 2,516 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Terre du Lac, Missouri?
Median household income in Terre du Lac, Missouri is $86,019 — above the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Terre du Lac, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 6 presidential elections in Terre du Lac, Missouri from 2004 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 6 went Republican.
