Missouri 2nd Congressional District (MO) — Elections 1876–2024

Missouri 2nd Congressional District, Missouri: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted D+6%. Republican peak: R+41 in 1920.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: D+6MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: BellwetherAkashic typology
Population: 921,2812024 5-year
Median household income: $85,4792024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 69.8%2024 5-year
Black: 17.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.8%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+22 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+41 in 1920MIT Election Lab

WAGNER, AnnCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: AKIN, W. Todd (2011–2013), AKIN, W. Todd (2009–2011), AKIN, W. Todd (2007–2009), AKIN, W. Todd (2005–2007)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

4 counties · 1 D · 3 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	D	+5.6%	246,761	219,989	475,355
2020	D	+7.5%	259,692	223,069	491,572
2016	D	+1.0%	222,665	218,126	468,289
2012	D	+3.2%	235,458	220,568	464,102
2008	D	+11.5%	268,970	213,115	486,776
2004	D	+2.4%	234,812	223,736	460,981
2000	D	+0.7%	198,524	195,883	404,109
1996	D	+4.3%	174,835	158,694	371,416
1992	D	+7.5%	179,093	147,463	421,251
1988	R	−11.7%	162,155	205,147	368,370
1984	R	−30.3%	125,976	235,280	361,256
1980	R	−15.8%	141,848	198,841	361,206
1976	R	−10.4%	146,222	180,763	333,148
1972	R	−25.7%	114,251	193,233	307,484
1968	R	−5.0%	117,107	131,025	277,514
1964	D	+22.3%	155,514	98,838	254,352
1960	D	+1.4%	121,183	117,881	239,064
1956	R	−8.0%	89,264	104,693	193,957
1952	R	−11.3%	72,275	90,707	163,150
1948	R	−4.9%	50,568	55,810	107,143
1944	R	−9.9%	44,963	54,853	100,109
1940	R	−14.8%	43,077	58,144	101,585
1936	D	+10.9%	50,755	40,475	94,386
1932	D	+22.5%	49,589	30,948	82,876
1928	R	−13.6%	29,493	38,793	68,519
1924	R	−25.8%	14,937	26,925	46,465
1920	R	−40.9%	12,033	29,731	43,264
1916	R	−27.4%	8,364	14,894	23,829
1912	R	−7.3%	6,669	8,037	18,795
1908	R	−33.3%	6,404	13,115	20,160
1904	R	−34.8%	5,104	10,792	16,345
1900	R	−22.8%	6,427	10,304	16,979
1896	R	−22.0%	6,514	10,212	16,815
1892	R	−12.9%	5,936	7,745	13,996
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 18 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	R	41.8%	55.6%	2,972,559
2022	R	43.2%	56.8%	2,012,511
2018	R	45.6%	51.4%	2,442,289
2016	R	46.4%	49.2%	2,802,637
2012	D	54.8%	39.1%	2,725,793
2010	R	40.6%	54.2%	1,943,899
2006	D	49.6%	47.3%	2,128,459
2004	R	42.8%	56.1%	2,706,402
2002	R	48.7%	49.8%	1,877,620
2000	D	50.5%	48.4%	2,361,586
1998	R	43.8%	52.7%	1,576,857
1994	R	35.7%	59.7%	1,775,116
1992	R	44.9%	51.9%	2,354,916
1988	R	31.8%	67.7%	2,078,875
1986	R	47.4%	52.6%	1,477,327
1982	R	49.1%	50.8%	1,543,521
1980	D	52.0%	47.7%	2,066,965
1976	R	42.5%	56.9%	1,914,460

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

25.6%

Irish

13.1%

English

10.0%

American

5.8%

Italian

4.6%

French

2.6%

Polish

2.4%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 40.4 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.5%

2.4%

75–84

3.2%

5.0%

65–74

5.9%

6.5%

55–64

7.0%

5.8%

45–54

6.1%

6.4%

35–44

6.6%

6.2%

25–34

6.3%

4.1%

18–24

4.1%

8.5%

5–17

8.1%

2.9%

2.7%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$85,479

Congressional District 2 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 2$85,479

Missouri$70,702

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

8.8%

Child poverty is below the national average.

Children under 1811.4%

Working age (18–64)8.0%

Seniors (65+)8.5%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

91.5%

speak English only

Other Indo-European3.0%

Asian & Pacific Islander2.4%

Spanish2.3%

Other languages0.8%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Catholic & Orthodox

25.3%

Other Christian

9.4%

Baptist

5.3%

Mainline Protestant

4.2%

Methodist

2.5%

Non-Christian

1.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

1.6%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 49.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Missouri's 2nd stretches across affluent St. Louis County communities where college-educated suburban voters have steadily reoriented the district, producing a 1.1-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024 after years as reliably Republican territory.

The Democratic margin in Missouri 2nd Congressional District has rarely exceeded twenty-two points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded forty-one points. 2024 delivered the district to the Democratic candidate by six points.

Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 70% non-Hispanic-white share, a 9% poverty rate, and a median household income of $85,479 — all within the broad national range.

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Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 2, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2902/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 2, Missouri vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 2, Missouri voted Democratic by 5.6 points (D+6), carried by the Democratic candidate. Out of 475,355 votes cast, 246,761 went Democratic and 219,989 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 2, Missouri's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 2, Missouri as a "Bellwether" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 2, Missouri last vote Republican?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 2, Missouri voted Republican was 1988.

How many people live in Congressional District 2, Missouri?

Congressional District 2, Missouri has a population of 921,281 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 2, Missouri?

Median household income in Congressional District 2, Missouri is $85,479 — above the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Congressional District 2, Missouri?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 2, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Bellwether" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Missouri 2nd Congressional District votes the way the country votes.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions