Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Missouri 3rd Congressional District
presidential margin
2008R+5.72012R+17.82016R+24.32020R+18.42024R+20.0
full record · 20082024
R+20.0
2024
median income$82,946U.S. $80,734 · MO $70,702
median age39.9U.S. 39.1 · MO 39.2
poverty rate9.7%U.S. 12.5% · MO 12.6%
bachelor’s+ (25+)36.9%U.S. 35.6% · MO 32.4%
non-english5.3%U.S. 22.3% · MO 6.7%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German28.4%
Irish14.4%
English12.3%
African American5.2%
African0.2%
Mexican2.2%
Puerto Rican0.3%
Asian Indian0.8%
Chinese0.4%
Filipino0.3%
religion

Religious adherence is published only at the county level (U.S. Religion Census). See Audrain County.

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024.

Missouri 3rd Congressional District

Akashic
2024 presidential electionMissouri 3rd Congressional DistrictTrumpR+20.0
Missouri 3rd Congressional District premium atlas map: Trump R+20.0, 274 precincts, 7 city labels.
2024
274 precincts by 2024 margin · 7 cities, own margin · ◎ bluest & reddest city
presidential history
Presidential margin, 2008–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 2008 to 2024. Most recent: −20.0% in 2024.−20.0%DR20082024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
2008−5.7%
2012−17.8%
2016−24.3%
2020−18.4%
2024−20.0%
DemocraticRepublican
current representation
Current officeholders
RRobert Onder Jr.U.S. House · MO-03+0.69
RJosh HawleyU.S. Senate+0.82
REric SchmittU.S. Senate+0.89

Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.

U.S. House

Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), House. CC-BY 4.0.
YearDistrictWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
20243R
35.3%138,532
61.3%240,620
392,463
20223R
34.9%96,851
65.1%180,746
277,597
20203R
28.5%116,095
69.4%282,866
407,348
20183R
32.8%106,589
65.1%211,243
324,608
20163R
27.9%102,891
67.8%249,865
368,333
20143R
27.1%52,021
68.3%130,940
191,620
20123R
32.9%111,189
63.5%214,843
338,385
20103D
48.9%99,398
46.7%94,757
203,085
20083D
66.4%202,470
30.4%92,759
305,071
20063D
65.6%145,219
31.7%70,189
221,448
20043D
52.9%146,894
45.1%125,422
277,916
20023D
59.1%122,181
38.9%80,551
206,878
20003D
57.8%147,222
39.7%100,967
254,539
19983D
55.8%98,287
42.0%74,005
176,099
19963D
59.0%137,300
38.8%90,202
232,755
19943D
57.7%117,601
39.7%80,977
203,940
19923D
64.0%174,000
33.1%90,006
271,834
19903D
56.8%88,950
43.2%67,659
156,609
19883D
62.8%150,205
36.3%86,763
239,203
19863D
69.0%116,403
31.0%52,382
168,785
19843D
100.0%193,537
0.0%0
193,537
19823D
77.9%131,566
22.1%37,388
168,954
19803D
77.6%143,132
22.4%41,277
184,409
19783D
81.9%121,565
18.1%26,881
148,446
19763D
63.7%115,109
36.3%65,623
180,732

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
41.8%1,243,728
55.6%1,651,907
2,972,559
2022R
43.2%868,875
56.8%1,143,636
2,012,511
2018R
45.6%1,112,935
51.4%1,254,927
2,442,282
2016R
46.4%1,300,200
49.2%1,378,458
2,802,547
2012D
54.8%1,494,125
39.1%1,066,159
2,725,752
2010R
40.6%789,736
54.2%1,054,160
1,943,872
2006D
49.6%1,055,255
47.3%1,006,941
2,128,371
2004R
42.8%1,158,261
56.1%1,518,089
2,706,402
2002R
48.7%913,778
49.8%935,032
1,877,620
2000D
50.5%1,191,812
48.4%1,142,852
2,361,573
1998R
43.8%690,208
52.7%830,625
1,576,857
1994R
35.7%633,697
59.7%1,060,149
1,775,116
1992R
44.9%1,057,967
51.9%1,221,901
2,354,916
1988R
31.8%660,045
67.7%1,407,416
2,078,871
1986R
47.4%699,624
52.6%777,612
1,477,327
1982R
49.1%758,629
50.9%784,876
1,543,505
1980D
52.0%1,074,859
47.7%985,399
2,066,965
1976R
42.5%813,571
56.9%1,090,067
1,914,460

Missouri's 3rd stretches across the Ozark Plateau and surrounding rural counties, where Republican presidential candidates have carried the district by margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, reflecting a broadly conservative, small-town electorate.

Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 24.3 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 1.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 20.0 points.

A population of 768,784, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,946 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 6 and Congressional District 15.

The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

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Missouri 3rd Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2903/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Missouri 3rd Congressional District

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 3rd Congressional District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Missouri 3rd Congressional District voted Republican by 20.0 points (R+20.0), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 406,955 votes cast, 159,764 went Democratic and 240,976 went Republican.
How many people live in Missouri 3rd Congressional District?
Missouri 3rd Congressional District has a population of 768,784 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Missouri 3rd Congressional District?
Median household income in Missouri 3rd Congressional District is $82,946 — above the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Missouri 3rd Congressional District?
Akashic tracks 5 presidential elections in Missouri 3rd Congressional District from 2008 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 5 went Republican.