akashic
1876–2024
Congressional District 3·Missouri

Missouri 3rd Congressional District has voted Republican in eight straight presidential cycles.

One of Missouri's most Republican-leaning districts, anchored in the rural Ozarks

18762024·38 elections
MO
Latest
R+30
in 2024
Archetype
Republican loyalist
since the recent cycles
Population
737,700
2024 ACS

Missouri 3rd Congressional District, Missouri: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+30%. Republican peak: R+38 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin
R+30MIT Election Lab
Political archetype
Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population
737,7002024 5-year
Median household income
$83,7472024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic)
85.9%2024 5-year
Black
4.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino
3.4%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin
D+27 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin
R+38 in 1972MIT Election Lab
R
ONDER, Robert F., Jr.Congress 119 · Republican

Predecessors: LUETKEMEYER, Blaine (2023–2025), LUETKEMEYER, Blaine (2021–2023), LUETKEMEYER, Blaine (2019–2021), LUETKEMEYER, Blaine (2017–2019)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

16 counties · 1 D · 15 R
R+60
D+60
One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.
Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
R
−30.3%
130,674247,411384,690
R
−29.1%
130,048240,191377,986
R
−33.1%
106,136221,343348,194
R
−23.1%
121,857197,298326,289
R
−11.4%
148,779187,620340,809
R
−18.8%
123,782181,627307,261
R
−13.1%
108,528142,065256,553
R
−2.2%
93,98198,768221,021
D
+1.5%
90,71287,241237,087
R
−19.0%
77,873114,533192,939
R
−37.4%
57,949127,288185,237
R
−18.7%
68,667102,003178,161
R
−6.5%
70,89280,803153,237
R
−38.3%
43,21096,812140,022
R
−17.0%
44,47865,832125,914
D
+12.5%
66,59751,805118,402
R
−5.9%
58,01165,229123,240
R
−8.7%
51,03260,797111,829
R
−10.8%
49,70161,806111,661
D
+6.7%
50,14543,80294,201
R
−7.8%
44,51252,01896,726
R
−4.1%
53,78358,421112,430
D
+9.7%
57,47747,206105,881
D
+27.0%
61,26735,05196,957
R
−7.8%
41,77548,83890,811
R
−5.2%
38,19442,61484,571
R
−16.4%
35,73949,90586,379
R
−2.4%
25,56926,85653,086
D
+9.0%
22,93218,70047,252
R
−2.3%
24,90326,09751,767
R
−2.3%
23,45724,56349,121
D
+2.9%
25,74224,26850,857
D
+6.4%
27,16423,85551,407
D
+6.7%
22,52519,56244,203
No data
No data
No data
No data

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
YearWonD %R %Total
2024R41.8%55.6%2,972,559
2022R43.2%56.8%2,012,511
2018R45.6%51.4%2,442,289
2016R46.4%49.2%2,802,637
2012D54.8%39.1%2,725,793
2010R40.6%54.2%1,943,899
2006D49.6%47.3%2,128,459
2004R42.8%56.1%2,706,402
2002R48.7%49.8%1,877,620
2000D50.5%48.4%2,361,586
1998R43.8%52.7%1,576,857
1994R35.7%59.7%1,775,116
1992R44.9%51.9%2,354,916
1988R31.8%67.7%2,078,875
1986R47.4%52.6%1,477,327
1982R49.1%50.8%1,543,521
1980D52.0%47.7%2,066,965
1976R42.5%56.9%1,914,460

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
German
28.5%
Irish
13.2%
English
12.1%
American
7.0%
Italian
4.0%
French
3.0%
Polish
1.5%
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
95.4%
speak English only
Spanish1.7%
Other Indo-European1.4%
Asian & Pacific Islander1.2%
Other languages0.4%
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Catholic & Orthodox
18.2%
Baptist
9.6%
Other Christian
6.5%
Mainline Protestant
5.2%
Methodist
3.1%
Pentecostal & Holiness
1.7%
Non-Christian
0.5%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.1% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Missouri's 3rd stretches across the Ozark Plateau and surrounding rural counties, where Republican presidential candidates have carried the district by margins exceeding 35 points in recent cycles, reflecting a broadly conservative, small-town electorate.

The Republican margin in Missouri 3rd Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-eight points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was thirty points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $83,747, a 86% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 737,700 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Congressional District 3, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2903/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 3, Missouri vote in 2024?
In 2024, Congressional District 3, Missouri voted Republican by 30.3 points (R+30), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 384,690 votes cast, 130,674 went Democratic and 247,411 went Republican.
What is Congressional District 3, Missouri's political archetype?
Akashic classifies Congressional District 3, Missouri as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 9 times, Republican 25 times, and other 0 times.
When did Congressional District 3, Missouri last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 3, Missouri voted Democratic was 1992.
How many people live in Congressional District 3, Missouri?
Congressional District 3, Missouri has a population of 737,700 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Congressional District 3, Missouri?
Median household income in Congressional District 3, Missouri is $83,747 — above the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.
What is the political history of Congressional District 3, Missouri?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 3, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.