Missouri 4th Congressional District (MO) — Elections 1876–2024

Missouri 4th Congressional District, Missouri: Republican loyalist district. In 2024, voted R+31%. Republican peak: R+31 in 1972.

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+31MIT Election Lab
Political archetype: Republican loyalistAkashic typology
Population: 921,5922024 5-year
Median household income: $66,9982024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 81.1%2024 5-year
Black: 7.5%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 6.2%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+28 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+31 in 1972MIT Election Lab

ALFORD, MarkCongress 119 · Republican

−1 liberal

+1 conservative

Predecessors: HARTZLER, Vicky (2021–2023), HARTZLER, Vicky (2019–2021), HARTZLER, Vicky (2017–2019), HARTZLER, Vicky (2015–2017)

Source · Voteview / Lewis, Poole, Rosenthal et al. (CC-BY).

2024 results by constituent county

24 counties · 2 D · 22 R

R+60

D+60

One cell per constituent county. Ordered by 2024 D-vs-R margin (bluest first). Hover for county-level numbers.

38 presidential elections

Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
Year	Won	Margin	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	−30.5%	147,592	280,228	434,810
2020	R	−27.5%	152,157	271,282	432,734
2016	R	−29.4%	128,984	246,089	398,532
2012	R	−18.2%	154,941	225,772	389,655
2008	R	−8.5%	185,764	220,839	412,638
2004	R	−16.0%	159,320	220,399	382,214
2000	R	−8.5%	145,553	173,396	327,663
1996	D	+3.3%	133,343	123,591	292,752
1992	D	+7.9%	131,791	106,626	316,892
1988	R	−6.0%	128,232	144,604	273,679
1984	R	−21.5%	109,089	168,953	278,042
1980	R	−6.4%	119,772	136,812	268,326
1976	D	+6.2%	130,957	115,455	248,952
1972	R	−31.0%	80,379	152,712	233,092
1968	R	−7.6%	92,186	109,203	225,374
1964	D	+22.2%	139,022	88,507	227,529
1960	R	−10.5%	112,021	138,278	250,300
1956	R	−7.0%	112,605	129,482	242,087
1952	R	−12.8%	110,007	142,362	252,846
1948	D	+9.4%	119,225	98,753	218,528
1944	R	−6.7%	103,330	118,227	221,914
1940	R	−1.8%	127,329	131,907	259,781
1936	D	+17.1%	156,415	110,577	268,060
1932	D	+27.8%	150,432	84,622	236,733
1928	R	−19.4%	90,323	133,817	224,686
1924	R	−1.3%	92,779	95,271	196,594
1920	R	−5.9%	98,140	110,523	211,366
1916	D	+8.9%	66,828	55,613	125,312
1912	D	+23.7%	57,955	30,557	115,663
1908	D	+5.1%	60,677	54,676	118,288
1904	R	−1.3%	53,021	54,449	111,793
1900	D	+9.8%	63,342	51,708	118,629
1896	D	+17.7%	73,484	51,169	125,769
1892	D	+9.5%	50,829	40,806	105,380
1888	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	No data	—	—	—

Congressional elections · 18 Senate races

U.S. Senate

Source · MIT Election Lab (MEDSL), Senate. CC-BY 4.0.
Year	Won	D %	R %	Total
2024	R	41.8%	55.6%	2,972,559
2022	R	43.2%	56.8%	2,012,511
2018	R	45.6%	51.4%	2,442,289
2016	R	46.4%	49.2%	2,802,637
2012	D	54.8%	39.1%	2,725,793
2010	R	40.6%	54.2%	1,943,899
2006	D	49.6%	47.3%	2,128,459
2004	R	42.8%	56.1%	2,706,402
2002	R	48.7%	49.8%	1,877,620
2000	D	50.5%	48.4%	2,361,586
1998	R	43.8%	52.7%	1,576,857
1994	R	35.7%	59.7%	1,775,116
1992	R	44.9%	51.9%	2,354,916
1988	R	31.8%	67.7%	2,078,875
1986	R	47.4%	52.6%	1,477,327
1982	R	49.1%	50.8%	1,543,521
1980	D	52.0%	47.7%	2,066,965
1976	R	42.5%	56.9%	1,914,460

Demographics

Race, ethnicity, and ancestry

Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.

German

19.6%

English

13.3%

Irish

11.0%

American

7.4%

Italian

2.4%

Scottish

1.7%

French

1.6%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Hispanic/Latino is an ethnicity that overlaps the race categories, so these shares can total more than 100%. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.

Age distribution by sex

Median age: 38.6 in this county, 39.1 nationally

Male

Age

Female

0.8%

85+

1.2%

2.4%

75–84

2.9%

5.0%

65–74

5.5%

6.4%

55–64

6.5%

5.4%

45–54

5.5%

6.1%

35–44

6.1%

6.5%

25–34

6.4%

5.7%

18–24

5.1%

8.5%

5–17

8.0%

3.0%

2.9%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Median household income

2024 inflation-adjusted dollars

$66,998

Congressional District 4 ranks near the middle of US counties.

Congressional District 4$66,998

Missouri$70,702

United States$80,734

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Poverty rate

All persons below federal poverty line

14.0%

Children face moderate poverty.

Children under 1817.2%

Working age (18–64)13.1%

Seniors (65+)12.1%

Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release.

Language at home

Population aged 5 and older

93.2%

speak English only

Spanish3.4%

Other Indo-European2.0%

Asian & Pacific Islander1.0%

Other languages0.4%

Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.

Religious adherents

Adherents per capita by tradition

Baptist

15.4%

Other Christian

10.9%

Catholic & Orthodox

5.1%

Mainline Protestant

4.4%

Methodist

3.9%

Pentecostal & Holiness

2.6%

Non-Christian

0.9%

Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 56.9% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Stretching across rural west-central Missouri, this district returned a 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a predominantly rural, low-density electorate that has moved steadily rightward over the past two decades.

The Republican margin in Missouri 4th Congressional District reached its widest at thirty-one points in 1972. The margin in 2024 was thirty-one points, in line with the district's deep historical pattern.

Its loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $66,998, a 81% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 921,592 together describe a district whose political habits are deeply settled.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Congressional District 4, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2904/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Frequently asked questions

How did Congressional District 4, Missouri vote in 2024?

In 2024, Congressional District 4, Missouri voted Republican by 30.5 points (R+31), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 434,810 votes cast, 147,592 went Democratic and 280,228 went Republican.

What is Congressional District 4, Missouri's political archetype?

Akashic classifies Congressional District 4, Missouri as a "Republican loyalist" district based on its long-arc presidential voting pattern. Across 38 elections in the dataset, the district has voted Democratic 13 times, Republican 21 times, and other 0 times.

When did Congressional District 4, Missouri last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Congressional District 4, Missouri voted Democratic was 1996.

How many people live in Congressional District 4, Missouri?

Congressional District 4, Missouri has a population of 921,592 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Congressional District 4, Missouri?

Median household income in Congressional District 4, Missouri is $66,998 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Congressional District 4, Missouri?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Congressional District 4, Missouri from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 13 went Democratic and 21 went Republican. The district's archetype — "Republican loyalist" — captures the overall trajectory of that voting record.

Missouri 4th Congressional District has voted Republican in seven straight presidential cycles.

Key facts

U.S. Senate

Demographics

Compare two places, side by side

Frequently asked questions