Missouri 4th Congressional District
Akashic| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2008 | −8.4% |
| 2012 | −17.3% |
| 2016 | −23.8% |
| 2020 | −18.6% |
| 2024 | −21.3% |
Federal officeholders only. State and local officeholders are planned for the next data pass.
U.S. House
Each result reflects the U.S. House district as it was drawn for that election; redistricting has redrawn these lines over time, so they can differ from the current 120th-Congress district shown on the map above.
| Year | District | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4 | R | 26.4%96,568 | 71.1%259,886 | 365,696 |
| 2022 | 4 | R | 26.3%67,069 | 71.3%181,890 | 255,079 |
| 2020 | 4 | R | 29.7%107,635 | 67.6%245,247 | 362,836 |
| 2018 | 4 | R | 32.7%95,968 | 64.8%190,138 | 293,316 |
| 2016 | 4 | R | 27.8%92,510 | 67.8%225,348 | 332,234 |
| 2014 | 4 | R | 26.4%46,464 | 68.1%120,014 | 176,286 |
| 2012 | 4 | R | 35.5%113,120 | 60.3%192,237 | 318,723 |
| 2010 | 4 | R | 45.1%101,532 | 50.4%113,489 | 225,056 |
| 2008 | 4 | D | 65.9%200,009 | 34.1%103,446 | 303,455 |
| 2006 | 4 | D | 67.6%159,303 | 29.4%69,254 | 235,525 |
| 2004 | 4 | D | 66.2%190,800 | 32.4%93,334 | 288,226 |
| 2002 | 4 | D | 67.6%142,204 | 30.7%64,451 | 210,238 |
| 2000 | 4 | D | 66.9%180,634 | 31.3%84,406 | 269,889 |
| 1998 | 4 | D | 71.0%133,173 | 27.2%51,005 | 187,616 |
| 1996 | 4 | D | 63.8%153,566 | 33.9%81,650 | 240,789 |
| 1994 | 4 | D | 67.8%137,876 | 32.2%65,616 | 203,492 |
| 1992 | 4 | D | 70.4%176,977 | 29.6%74,475 | 251,452 |
| 1990 | 4 | D | 61.8%105,527 | 38.2%65,095 | 170,622 |
| 1988 | 4 | D | 71.8%166,480 | 28.2%65,393 | 231,873 |
| 1986 | 4 | D | 100.0%129,471 | 0.0%0 | 129,471 |
| 1984 | 4 | D | 66.9%150,624 | 33.1%74,434 | 225,058 |
| 1982 | 4 | D | 54.8%96,388 | 45.2%79,565 | 175,953 |
| 1980 | 4 | D | 67.8%151,459 | 32.2%71,869 | 223,328 |
| 1978 | 4 | D | 72.8%120,748 | 27.2%45,116 | 165,864 |
| 1976 | 4 | D | 55.9%115,955 | 44.1%91,605 | 207,560 |
U.S. Senate
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 41.8%1,243,728 | 55.6%1,651,907 | 2,972,559 |
| 2022 | R | 43.2%868,875 | 56.8%1,143,636 | 2,012,511 |
| 2018 | R | 45.6%1,112,935 | 51.4%1,254,927 | 2,442,282 |
| 2016 | R | 46.4%1,300,200 | 49.2%1,378,458 | 2,802,547 |
| 2012 | D | 54.8%1,494,125 | 39.1%1,066,159 | 2,725,752 |
| 2010 | R | 40.6%789,736 | 54.2%1,054,160 | 1,943,872 |
| 2006 | D | 49.6%1,055,255 | 47.3%1,006,941 | 2,128,371 |
| 2004 | R | 42.8%1,158,261 | 56.1%1,518,089 | 2,706,402 |
| 2002 | R | 48.7%913,778 | 49.8%935,032 | 1,877,620 |
| 2000 | D | 50.5%1,191,812 | 48.4%1,142,852 | 2,361,573 |
| 1998 | R | 43.8%690,208 | 52.7%830,625 | 1,576,857 |
| 1994 | R | 35.7%633,697 | 59.7%1,060,149 | 1,775,116 |
| 1992 | R | 44.9%1,057,967 | 51.9%1,221,901 | 2,354,916 |
| 1988 | R | 31.8%660,045 | 67.7%1,407,416 | 2,078,871 |
| 1986 | R | 47.4%699,624 | 52.6%777,612 | 1,477,327 |
| 1982 | R | 49.1%758,629 | 50.9%784,876 | 1,543,505 |
| 1980 | D | 52.0%1,074,859 | 47.7%985,399 | 2,066,965 |
| 1976 | R | 42.5%813,571 | 56.9%1,090,067 | 1,914,460 |
Stretching across rural west-central Missouri, this district returned a 36-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, reflecting a predominantly rural, low-density electorate that has moved steadily rightward over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 23.8 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 21.3 points.
A population of 769,348, a 82% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $67,488 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Congressional District 6 and Congressional District 7.
The congressional districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Missouri 4th Congressional District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cd/2904/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.