- Lead
- 13,873
- Total
- 25,548
- vs nation
- R+52.8
- Turnout
- 71.8%
Camden County, MO
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 71.8% of 35,728 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 13,198
- Total
- 24,812
- vs nation
- R+57.6
- Turnout
- 67.1%
- Lead
- 12,176
- Total
- 22,680
- vs nation
- R+55.8
- Turnout
- 64.1%
- Lead
- 8,634
- Total
- 22,015
- vs nation
- R+43.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,301
- Total
- 22,133
- vs nation
- R+35.7
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 6,826
- Total
- 19,519
- vs nation
- R+32.5
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 4,035
- Total
- 17,099
- vs nation
- R+24.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,624
- Total
- 14,694
- vs nation
- R+19.6
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+54.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 43,6672024 5-year
- Population density
- 67 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 656 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,3872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 92.1%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+9.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+54.9 in 1928MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Stone County, MO · twin score 90.6
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 71.8%25,664 participants ÷ 35,728 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +3.9 ptsHigh-turnout, durable
- Drop-off versus state
- -15.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 65.5%–68.0%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 22,680 | 35,401 | 64.1% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 20,149 | 36,463 | 55.3% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 24,998 | 37,247 | 67.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 22,281 | 35,233 | 63.2% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 25,664 | 35,728 | 71.8% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Camden County, MO · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
54.4%
1,801 votes · D+9.2
Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 49.2%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
77.4%
2,085 votes · R+54.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 76.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
7,773votes
35.1% of the vote · R+28.5
Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 6,458 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
19,597votes
76.7% of the vote · R+54.3
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 18,850 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+7.5pts D vs U.S.
Place R+17.7 · U.S. R+25.2
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +4.6 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+57.6pts R vs U.S.
Place R+53.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +55.8 pts
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | R | 22.7%4,424 | 77.3%15,031 | 19,455 |
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 31,860 |
| 2018 | 31,800 |
| 2020 | 33,448 |
| 2022 | 33,704 |
| 2024 | 34,368 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+47 net domestic migration · 2025
Net +5,213 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $92,477 in average income, against $85,439 for residents who stayed — 8% higher. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+31.7 on average — 23 points more Democratic-leaning than Camden County, MO itself (R+54.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Miller County, MO164R+67.3
- Laclede County, MO78R+66.8
- Morgan County, MO78R+59.7
- St. Louis County, MO67D+23.4
- Jackson County, MO62D+19.3
- Pulaski County, MO57R+50.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Miller County, MO217
- Morgan County, MO79
- Laclede County, MO73
- Jackson County, MO67
- Boone County, MO66
- Greene County, MO59
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −273 |
| 2012 | +411 |
| 2013 | +121 |
| 2014 | +327 |
| 2015 | +227 |
| 2016 | +273 |
| 2017 | +665 |
| 2018 | +545 |
| 2019 | +558 |
| 2021 | +1,102 |
| 2022 | +527 |
| 2023 | +499 |
| 2024 | +184 |
| 2025 | +47 |
Camden County's resort economy around Lake of the Ozarks draws retirees and seasonal residents who have steadily deepened its Republican tilt, producing a 2024 presidential margin of R+54.3 in a county of just 37,000 people.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 54.9 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 54.3 points.
A population of 43,667, a 92% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,387 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Stone County and Benton County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Camden County, Missouri. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/29029/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.