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state house district

Missouri 123rd State House District

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1876–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1876 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German22.4%21.3%12.5%

English14.7%11.9%9.5%

Irish11.8%11.8%9.4%

American10.5%6.8%5.3%

Italian3.5%3.2%4.8%

French2.8%2.2%1.6%

Scottish2.3%1.8%1.3%

Polish1.7%1.3%2.2%

Mexican2.3%3.2%11.3%

Honduran0.4%—0.3%

Spanish0.3%——

Puerto Rican0.2%0.4%1.8%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	MO HD 123	Missouri	United States
Median age	53.6	39.2	39.1
Age 18–24	5.8%	9.2%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	29.7%	17.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	MO HD 123	Missouri	United States
Median household income	$66,383	$70,702	$84,427
Poverty rate	12.5%	12.6%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	26.2%	32.4%	35.6%

Housing and tenure

Measure	MO HD 123	Missouri	United States
Owner-occupied homes	81.7%	68.1%	65.2%
Renter-occupied homes	18.3%	31.9%	34.8%
Median home value	$310,600	$230,300	$332,700
Median gross rent (monthly)	$872	$1,033	$1,413
Renters paying 30%+ of income	39.7%	45.6%	51.1%
Vacant housing units	56.2%	11.2%	10.1%

Getting to work

Measure	MO HD 123	Missouri	United States
Mean commute	21.2 min	23.5 min	26.4 min
Commutes 60 minutes or more	5.3%	5.4%	8.6%
Drives alone to work	73.7%	74.8%	68.8%
Takes public transit	0.5%	0.8%	3.2%
Works from home	10.7%	13.0%	15.1%

Languages at home

Measure	MO HD 123	Missouri	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	3.9%	6.7%	22.3%
Spanish	2.2%	2.9%	13.6%

Religious landscape

Measure	MO HD 123	Missouri	United States
Catholic	—	12.5%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	—	24.1%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	—	51.7%	51.5%

Origins and service

Measure	MO HD 123	Missouri	United States
Foreign-born residents	2.3%	4.5%	14.1%
Naturalized citizens	1.0%	2.3%	7.4%
Not U.S. citizens	1.3%	2.2%	6.8%
Veterans (18+)	9.4%	7.3%	6.2%
Income inequality (Gini)	0.461	0.465	0.483

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations · American Community Survey 2024 — housing and tenure (B25003, B25002, B25077, B25064, B25070), commuting (B08013, B08303, B08301), origins and service (B05002, B21001, B19083).

President results by year

Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries

HarrisDemocratic22.8%5,315TrumpRepublican76.3%17,765OtherAll other candidates0.9%211

R+53.5

Lead: 12,450
Total: 23,291
vs nation: R+52.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

BidenDemocratic23.0%5,171TrumpRepublican75.7%16,994OtherAll other candidates1.2%278

R+52.7

Lead: 11,823
Total: 22,443
vs nation: R+57.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic21.1%4,359TrumpRepublican74.5%15,351OtherAll other candidates4.4%909

R+53.3

Lead: 10,992
Total: 20,619
vs nation: R+55.4

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic29.5%5,911RomneyRepublican68.3%13,685OtherAll other candidates2.2%440

R+38.8

Lead: 7,774
Total: 20,036
vs nation: R+42.7

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ObamaDemocratic35.1%7,095McCainRepublican63.2%12,756OtherAll other candidates1.7%343

R+28.0

Lead: 5,661
Total: 20,194
vs nation: R+35.3

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

KerryDemocratic32.5%5,769BushRepublican66.9%11,883OtherAll other candidates0.6%99

R+34.4

Lead: 6,114
Total: 17,751
vs nation: R+32.0

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

GoreDemocratic37.2%5,796BushRepublican60.2%9,387OtherAll other candidates2.6%410

R+23.0

Lead: 3,591
Total: 15,593
vs nation: R+23.5

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

ClintonDemocratic37.9%5,095DoleRepublican48.5%6,509OtherAll other candidates13.6%1,824

R+10.5

Lead: 1,414
Total: 13,428
vs nation: R+19.1

modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+53.5MIT Election Lab
Population: 38,8722024 5-year
Population density: 80 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
Land area: 486 sq miTIGER/Line
Median household income: $66,3832024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 90.6%2024 5-year
Black: 0.6%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 3.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+10.2 in 1932MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+54.5 in 1928MIT Election Lab
Most similar: State House District 155, MO · twin score 97.1

presidential history

Party record book

Missouri 123rd State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.

1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark

Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.

Democratic

Franklin D. Roosevelt1932

54.9%

1,659 votes · D+10.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Lyndon B. Johnson, 1964 · 49.7%

Republican

Herbert Hoover1928

77.2%

1,888 votes · R+54.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 76.3%

Most votes

Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.

Democratic

Barack Obama2008

7,095votes

35.1% of the vote · R+28.0 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Barack Obama, 2012 · 5,911 votes

Republican

Donald Trump2024

17,765votes

76.3% of the vote · R+53.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 16,994 votes

Best relative to the U.S.

This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.

Democratic

John W. Davis1924

+7.9pts D vs U.S.

Place R+17.2 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +4.9 pts

Republican

Donald Trump2020

+57.1pts R vs U.S.

Place R+52.7 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate

Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +55.4 pts

current representation

Current officeholders

RJeff VernettiState House · 123

State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.

U.S. House elections · 1 House

Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.

U.S. House

Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic county-allocated estimate from certified county returns, House; not precinct-counted.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2018	R	22.7%3,938	77.3%13,380	17,318

Missouri 123rd State House District sits in the Border South. In 2024 it voted Republican.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 10.2 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 54.5 points in 1928. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 0.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 53.5 points.

A population of 38,872, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,383 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 155 and State House District 4.

Political twins — state-house districts

The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

State House District 155

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 4

2012–2024 trajectory

State House District 3

2012–2024 trajectory

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

District research tools

Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Missouri 123rd State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/29123/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

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Places within Missouri 123rd State House District

counties it covers1

Frequently asked questions

How did Missouri 123rd State House District vote in 2024?

In 2024, Missouri 123rd State House District voted Republican by 53.5 points (R+53.5), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 23,291 votes cast, 5,315 went Democratic and 17,765 went Republican.

When did Missouri 123rd State House District last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Missouri 123rd State House District voted Democratic was 1932.

How many people live in Missouri 123rd State House District?

Missouri 123rd State House District has a population of 38,872 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Missouri 123rd State House District?

Median household income in Missouri 123rd State House District is $66,383 — below the national median of $80,734. The Missouri state median is $70,702.

What is the political history of Missouri 123rd State House District?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Missouri 123rd State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 1 went Democratic and 37 went Republican.