HarrisDemocratic19.6%2,797TrumpRepublican78.8%11,259OtherAll other candidates1.7%241
R+59.2- Lead
- 8,462
- Total
- 14,297
- vs nation
- R+57.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Akashicstate house district
Arkansas 4th State House District
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the district’s overall result across 1892–2024, on its current boundaries.
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
BidenDemocratic20.5%2,825TrumpRepublican77.0%10,611OtherAll other candidates2.4%336
R+56.5- Lead
- 7,786
- Total
- 13,772
- vs nation
- R+61.0
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic20.8%2,649TrumpRepublican77.0%9,787OtherAll other candidates2.2%281
R+56.1- Lead
- 7,138
- Total
- 12,717
- vs nation
- R+58.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic27.5%3,515RomneyRepublican69.7%8,930OtherAll other candidates2.8%360
R+42.3- Lead
- 5,415
- Total
- 12,805
- vs nation
- R+46.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ObamaDemocratic32.7%4,291McCainRepublican64.2%8,416OtherAll other candidates3.1%410
R+31.4- Lead
- 4,125
- Total
- 13,117
- vs nation
- R+38.7
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
KerryDemocratic37.9%4,687BushRepublican60.5%7,485OtherAll other candidates1.6%201
R+22.6- Lead
- 2,798
- Total
- 12,373
- vs nation
- R+20.2
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
GoreDemocratic37.7%4,139BushRepublican57.3%6,289OtherAll other candidates4.9%539
R+19.6- Lead
- 2,150
- Total
- 10,967
- vs nation
- R+20.1
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
ClintonDemocratic43.7%4,677DoleRepublican41.0%4,386OtherAll other candidates15.3%1,643
D+2.7- Lead
- 291
- Total
- 10,706
- vs nation
- R+5.8
modeled Census-place estimatemodeled estimate
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+59.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 29,6872024 5-year
- Population density
- 35 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 853 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $48,6412024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 91.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.1%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+74.6 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+59.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 3, AR · twin score 98.3
presidential history
Party record book
Arkansas 4th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
87.3%
679 votes · D+74.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 80.7%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
78.8%
11,259 votes · R+59.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 77.0%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Bill Clinton1992
4,779votes
44.0% of the vote · D+9.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 4,687 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
11,259votes
78.8% of the vote · R+59.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 10,611 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+64.6pts D vs U.S.
Place D+39.4 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1896 · +61.7 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+61.0pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.5 · U.S. D+4.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2016 · +58.2 pts
current representation
Current officeholders
RJason NazarenkoState House · 4
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 18.3%2,406 | 81.7%10,726 | 13,132 |
| 2020 | R | 10.2%1,296 | 89.8%11,437 | 12,733 |
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+59.2 in a district of roughly 30,000 residents, State House District 4 ranks among the most uniformly partisan constituencies in the state, leaving little competitive ground for statewide or legislative contests.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 74.6 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 59.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 59.2 points.
A population of 29,687, a 91% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $48,641 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 3 and State House District 155.
Political twins — state-house districts
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
State House District 3
Arkansas
98.3twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State House District 155
Missouri
98.1twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
State House District 123
Missouri
96.9twin score
2012–2024 trajectory
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Arkansas 4th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/05004/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
License: CC BY 4.0
Arkansas at the ballot boxAll elections →
Places within Arkansas 4th State House District
counties it covers2
Frequently asked questions
How did Arkansas 4th State House District vote in 2024?
In 2024, Arkansas 4th State House District voted Republican by 59.2 points (R+59.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 14,297 votes cast, 2,797 went Democratic and 11,259 went Republican.
When did Arkansas 4th State House District last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Arkansas 4th State House District voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Arkansas 4th State House District?
Arkansas 4th State House District has a population of 29,687 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Arkansas 4th State House District?
Median household income in Arkansas 4th State House District is $48,641 — below the national median of $80,734. The Arkansas state median is $60,773.
What is the political history of Arkansas 4th State House District?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Arkansas 4th State House District from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 25 went Democratic and 13 went Republican.