| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 4,970 | 14,915 | 20,166 | |
| 2020 | R | 4,769 | 13,222 | 18,416 | |
| 2016 | R | 3,915 | 11,111 | 15,784 | |
| 2012 | R | 5,219 | 9,150 | 14,676 | |
| 2008 | R | 6,705 | 8,675 | 15,576 | |
| 2004 | R | 5,461 | 7,883 | 13,432 | |
| 2000 | R | 4,524 | 5,979 | 10,740 | |
| 1996 | R | 3,443 | 3,768 | 8,607 | |
| 1992 | D | 3,213 | 2,953 | 8,659 | |
| 1988 | R | 2,935 | 4,452 | 7,411 | |
| 1984 | R | 1,964 | 5,150 | 7,114 | |
| 1980 | R | 2,132 | 4,366 | 6,743 | |
| 1976 | R | 2,164 | 3,214 | 5,430 | |
| 1972 | R | 1,225 | 3,530 | 4,755 | |
| 1968 | R | 1,033 | 2,669 | 4,267 | |
| 1964 | R | 1,903 | 2,323 | 4,226 | |
| 1960 | R | 1,407 | 2,946 | 4,353 | |
| 1956 | R | 1,211 | 2,852 | 4,063 | |
| 1952 | R | 1,112 | 2,977 | 4,097 | |
| 1948 | R | 1,071 | 2,380 | 3,468 | |
| 1944 | R | 815 | 3,017 | 3,847 | |
| 1940 | R | 914 | 3,403 | 4,344 | |
| 1936 | R | 1,277 | 2,639 | 3,941 | |
| 1932 | R | 1,513 | 1,974 | 3,516 | |
| 1928 | R | 999 | 2,610 | 3,620 | |
| 1924 | R | 644 | 2,667 | 3,508 | |
| 1920 | R | 545 | 3,512 | 4,133 | |
| 1916 | R | 487 | 1,752 | 2,285 | |
| 1912 | R | 431 | 1,067 | 2,044 | |
| 1908 | R | 484 | 1,714 | 2,251 | |
| 1904 | R | 435 | 1,537 | 2,041 | |
| 1900 | R | 579 | 1,599 | 2,238 | |
| 1896 | R | 691 | 1,680 | 2,378 | |
| 1892 | R | 685 | 1,360 | 2,097 | |
| 1888 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1884 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1880 | — | — | — | — | |
| 1876 | — | — | — | — |
Warren County's R+49.5 presidential margin in 2024 places it among Missouri's most lopsided exurban counties, reflecting the broad rural and small-town realignment that has reshaped the state's political map over the past decade.
The Republican margin in Warren County reached its widest at seventy-two points in 1920. The margin in 2024 was forty-nine points, in line with the county's deep historical pattern.
Warren County's loyalty is rooted in its place. Median household income of $81,209, a 90% non-Hispanic-white share, and a population of 37,177 together describe a community whose political habits are deeply settled. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin County and Morgan County.
