HarrisDemocratic18.9%488TrumpRepublican80.1%2,071KennedyIndependent1.1%28
R+61.2- Lead
- 1,583
- Total
- 2,587
- vs nation
- R+59.7
- Turnout
- 67.0%
Akashiccounty
Scott County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
The precinct map shows the 2024 presidential vote; the timeline scrubs the county’s overall result across 1892–2024.
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.0% of 3,887 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic20.9%572TrumpRepublican77.1%2,114JorgensenLibertarian1.1%31
R+56.2- Lead
- 1,542
- Total
- 2,743
- vs nation
- R+60.7
- Turnout
- 72.1%
ClintonDemocratic20.5%535TrumpRepublican75.4%1,966JohnsonLibertarian2.6%68
R+54.9- Lead
- 1,431
- Total
- 2,608
- vs nation
- R+57.0
- Turnout
- 65.4%
ObamaDemocratic35.4%910RomneyRepublican61.8%1,587JOHNSONLibertarian1.2%32
R+26.4- Lead
- 677
- Total
- 2,568
- vs nation
- R+30.2
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic41.9%1,090McCainRepublican56.0%1,455OtherAll other candidates2.1%55
R+14.0- Lead
- 365
- Total
- 2,600
- vs nation
- R+21.3
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic35.2%927BushRepublican64.3%1,696OtherAll other candidates0.5%13
R+29.2- Lead
- 769
- Total
- 2,636
- vs nation
- R+26.7
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic38.6%954BushRepublican59.1%1,458NaderGreen1.3%31
R+20.4- Lead
- 504
- Total
- 2,469
- vs nation
- R+20.9
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic39.9%1,012DoleRepublican43.8%1,112PerotReform15.6%396
R+3.9- Lead
- 100
- Total
- 2,538
- vs nation
- R+12.5
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 4,9372024 5-year
- Population density
- 20 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 251 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $66,7052024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 95.4%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.0%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 1.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+26.6 in 1912MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+61.2 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Greene County, IL · twin score 93.7
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.0%2,603 participants ÷ 3,887 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +16.3 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -5.7 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 50.6%–53.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 2,608 | 3,987 | 65.4% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 2,109 | 3,889 | 54.2% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 2,803 | 3,885 | 72.1% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 2,139 | 3,833 | 55.8% | A/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 2,603 | 3,887 | 67.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
presidential history
Party record book
Scott County, IL · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
62.7%
3,012 votes · D+26.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.3%
Republican
Donald Trump2024
80.1%
2,071 votes · R+61.2
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 77.1%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1932
3,012votes
62.7% of the vote · D+26.5
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 2,945 votes
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
2,601votes
60.0% of the vote · R+20.1
Runner-up · Wendell Willkie, 1940 · 2,585 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+22.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+2.9 · U.S. R+19.7
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1900 · +21.0 pts
Republican
Donald Trump2020
+60.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+56.2 · U.S. D+4.5
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · +59.7 pts
U.S. House elections · 3 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 5,386 |
| 2018 | 3,772 |
| 2020 | 3,740 |
| 2022 | 6,255 |
| 2024 | 3,492 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−13 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −427 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,174 in average income, against $73,436 for residents who stayed — 34% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+32.4 on average — 29 points more Democratic-leaning than Scott County, IL itself (R+61.2).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Morgan County, IL41R+32.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Morgan County, IL37
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −85 |
| 2012 | +58 |
| 2013 | −51 |
| 2014 | −34 |
| 2015 | −47 |
| 2016 | −65 |
| 2017 | −63 |
| 2018 | −47 |
| 2019 | +21 |
| 2021 | −64 |
| 2022 | −40 |
| 2023 | −28 |
| 2024 | +31 |
| 2025 | −13 |
Scott County's rural west-central Illinois landscape and small population make it a consistent outlier within a state that leans Democratic statewide, with 2024 presidential results showing a 61-point Republican margin.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 26.6 points in 1912 and a Republican high of 61.2 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 5.0 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.2 points.
A population of 4,937, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $66,705 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Greene County and Jasper County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Greene County
Illinois
93.7twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2020–2024 trajectory
Jasper County
Illinois
88.9twin score
elasticity2016–2024 trajectory
Fayette County
Indiana
88.7twin score
12-yr trendelasticity2020–2024 trajectory≠ population scale
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Scott County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17171/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Scott County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Scott County, Illinois voted Republican by 61.2 points (R+61.2), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 2,587 votes cast, 488 went Democratic and 2,071 went Republican.
When did Scott County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Scott County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1964.
How many people live in Scott County, Illinois?
Scott County, Illinois has a population of 4,937 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Scott County, Illinois?
Median household income in Scott County, Illinois is $66,705 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Scott County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Scott County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 10 went Democratic and 24 went Republican.