- Lead
- 4,784
- Total
- 7,509
- vs nation
- R+62.2
- Turnout
- 68.7%
Pike County, IL
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.7% of 11,026 citizens 18+
- Lead
- 4,848
- Total
- 7,965
- vs nation
- R+65.3
- Turnout
- 66.5%
- Lead
- 4,341
- Total
- 7,530
- vs nation
- R+59.7
- Turnout
- 70.6%
- Lead
- 2,582
- Total
- 7,302
- vs nation
- R+39.2
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,433
- Total
- 7,616
- vs nation
- R+26.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 2,183
- Total
- 7,980
- vs nation
- R+24.9
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 1,508
- Total
- 8,112
- vs nation
- R+19.1
- Turnout
- —
- Lead
- 379
- Total
- 7,952
- vs nation
- R+3.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+63.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 14,4692024 5-year
- Median household income
- $59,7772024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.7%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.1%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+30.8 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+63.7 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Fayette County, IL · twin score 93.2
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.7%7,580 participants ÷ 11,026 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +12.5 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -9.6 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 55.0%–56.3%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 8,792 | 12,446 | 70.6% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 6,769 | 12,187 | 55.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 8,006 | 12,040 | 66.5% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 6,139 | 11,363 | 54.0% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 7,580 | 11,026 | 68.7% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
65 precincts · 7,560 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -PITTSFIELD 3PITTSFIELD 3 | 127 | 499 | 20 | 646 | 19.7% | 77.2% | R+57.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -PITTSFIELD 1PITTSFIELD 1 | 106 | 521 | 13 | 640 | 16.6% | 81.4% | R+64.8 |
| Precinct -NEWBURGNEWBURG | 92 | 469 | 16 | 577 | 15.9% | 81.3% | R+65.3 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT HILLPLEASANT HILL | 104 | 442 | 13 | 559 | 18.6% | 79.1% | R+60.5 |
| Precinct -PITTSFIELD 4PITTSFIELD 4 | 87 | 375 | 9 | 471 | 18.5% | 79.6% | R+61.1 |
| Precinct -BARRY 2BARRY 2 | 88 | 328 | 15 | 431 | 20.4% | 76.1% | R+55.7 |
| Precinct -BARRY 1BARRY 1 | 40 | 260 | 2 | 302 | 13.2% | 86.1% | R+72.8 |
| Precinct -GRIGGSVILLE 1GRIGGSVILLE 1 | 63 | 223 | 4 | 290 | 21.7% | 76.9% | R+55.2 |
| Precinct -GRIGGSVILLE 2GRIGGSVILLE 2 | 51 | 225 | 4 | 280 | 18.2% | 80.4% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -PERRYPERRY | 52 | 215 | 8 | 275 | 18.9% | 78.2% | R+59.3 |
| Precinct -PITTSFIELD 2PITTSFIELD 2 | 65 | 188 | 12 | 265 | 24.5% | 70.9% | R+46.4 |
| Precinct -ATLASATLAS | 30 | 219 | 6 | 255 | 11.8% | 85.9% | R+74.1 |
| Precinct -MONTEZUMAMONTEZUMA | 30 | 218 | 5 | 253 | 11.9% | 86.2% | R+74.3 |
| Precinct -KINDERHOOK 2KINDERHOOK 2 | 49 | 197 | 4 | 250 | 19.6% | 78.8% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -PLEASANT VALEPLEASANT VALE | 40 | 198 | 7 | 245 | 16.3% | 80.8% | R+64.5 |
| Precinct -MARTINSBURGMARTINSBURG | 29 | 196 | 1 | 226 | 12.8% | 86.7% | R+73.9 |
| Precinct -SPRING CREEKSPRING CREEK | 20 | 204 | 2 | 226 | 8.8% | 90.3% | R+81.4 |
| Precinct -NEW SALEM 1NEW SALEM 1 | 34 | 129 | 7 | 170 | 20.0% | 75.9% | R+55.9 |
| Precinct -DETROITDETROIT | 29 | 130 | 6 | 165 | 17.6% | 78.8% | R+61.2 |
| Precinct -KINDERHOOK 1KINDERHOOK 1 | 24 | 133 | 1 | 158 | 15.2% | 84.2% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -HADLEYHADLEY | 17 | 122 | 1 | 140 | 12.1% | 87.1% | R+75.0 |
| Precinct -DERRYDERRY | 19 | 108 | 2 | 129 | 14.7% | 83.7% | R+69.0 |
| Precinct -HARDINHARDIN | 18 | 94 | 4 | 116 | 15.5% | 81.0% | R+65.5 |
| Precinct -FAIRMOUNTFAIRMOUNT | 9 | 88 | 3 | 100 | 9.0% | 88.0% | R+79.0 |
| Precinct -PEARLPEARL | 14 | 82 | 4 | 100 | 14.0% | 82.0% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -NEW SALEM 2NEW SALEM 2 | 22 | 75 | 1 | 98 | 22.4% | 76.5% | R+54.1 |
| Precinct -CHAMBERSBURGCHAMBERSBURG | 32 | 58 | 1 | 91 | 35.2% | 63.7% | R+28.6 |
| Precinct -FLINTFLINT | 7 | 32 | 1 | 40 | 17.5% | 80.0% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -LEVEELEVEE | 2 | 24 | 0 | 26 | 7.7% | 92.3% | R+84.6 |
| Precinct -ROSSROSS | 0 | 23 | 0 | 23 | 0.0% | 100.0% | R+100.0 |
| Precinct -CINCINNATICINCINNATI | 2 | 11 | 0 | 13 | 15.4% | 84.6% | R+69.2 |
| ATLAS 1 Voting District17_1714901801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATLAS 2 Voting District17_1714901802 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ATLAS 3 Voting District17_1714901803 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BARRY 1 Voting District17_1714902001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BARRY 2 Voting District17_1714902002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHAMBERSBURG 1 Voting District17_1714900101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CINCINNATI 1 Voting District17_1714902301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DERRY 1 Voting District17_1714901701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DETROIT 1 Voting District17_1714900301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FAIRMOUNT 1 Voting District17_1714901101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLINT 1 Voting District17_1714900201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRIGGSVILLE 1 Voting District17_1714900701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRIGGSVILLE 2 Voting District17_1714900702 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HADLEY 1 Voting District17_1714901601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARDIN 1 Voting District17_1714900901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KINDERHOOK 1 Voting District17_1714902201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| KINDERHOOK 2 Voting District17_1714902202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEVEE 1 Voting District17_1714902401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARTINSBURG 1 Voting District17_1714901401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARTINSBURG 2 Voting District17_1714901402 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTEZUMA 1 Voting District17_1714900401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW SALEM 1 Voting District17_1714901201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEW SALEM 2 Voting District17_1714901202 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NEWBURG 1 Voting District17_1714900801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PEARL 1 Voting District17_1714900501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PERRY 1 Voting District17_1714900601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PITTSFIELD 1 Voting District17_1714901301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PITTSFIELD 2 Voting District17_1714901302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PITTSFIELD 3 Voting District17_1714901303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PITTSFIELD 4 Voting District17_1714901304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT HILL 1 Voting District17_1714901501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PLEASANT VALE 1 Voting District17_1714902101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROSS 1 Voting District17_1714901901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SPRING CREEK 1 Voting District17_1714901001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +9.9% |
| 1896 | +25.9% |
| 1900 | +20.8% |
| 1904 | +1.6% |
| 1908 | +12.8% |
| 1912 | +25.7% |
| 1916 | +13.4% |
| 1920 | −12.5% |
| 1924 | +4.0% |
| 1928 | −24.9% |
| 1932 | +30.8% |
| 1936 | +18.6% |
| 1940 | +7.3% |
| 1944 | +1.7% |
| 1948 | +9.1% |
| 1952 | −10.0% |
| 1956 | −4.8% |
| 1960 | −4.4% |
| 1964 | +23.0% |
| 1968 | −8.5% |
| 1972 | −20.9% |
| 1976 | +0.3% |
| 1980 | −17.2% |
| 1984 | −14.3% |
| 1988 | +7.5% |
| 1992 | +7.5% |
| 1996 | +4.8% |
| 2000 | −18.6% |
| 2004 | −27.4% |
| 2008 | −18.8% |
| 2012 | −35.4% |
| 2016 | −57.6% |
| 2020 | −60.9% |
| 2024 | −63.7% |
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 16,444 |
| 2018 | 17,201 |
| 2020 | 10,692 |
| 2022 | 9,685 |
| 2024 | 10,443 |
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−10 net domestic migration · 2025
Net −812 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $47,016 in average income, against $67,661 for residents who stayed — 31% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+47.4 on average — 16 points more Democratic-leaning than Pike County, IL itself (R+63.7).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Adams County, IL47R+47.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Adams County, IL58
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −21 |
| 2012 | −77 |
| 2013 | −149 |
| 2014 | −87 |
| 2015 | −141 |
| 2016 | −25 |
| 2017 | −56 |
| 2018 | −71 |
| 2019 | −50 |
| 2021 | +28 |
| 2022 | +25 |
| 2023 | −149 |
| 2024 | −29 |
| 2025 | −10 |
Pike County, tucked along the Mississippi River in western Illinois, has shifted decisively rightward over the past two decades — its 2024 presidential margin of R+63.7 points places it among the state's most one-sided counties by raw spread.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 30.8 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 63.7 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 63.7 points.
A population of 14,469, a 95% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $59,777 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Fayette County and Morgan County.
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Pike County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17149/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.