HarrisDemocratic34.4%8,883TrumpRepublican63.8%16,450KennedyIndependent1.6%416
R+29.3- Lead
- 7,567
- Total
- 25,799
- vs nation
- R+27.9
- Turnout
- 67.0%
Akashiccounty
Ogle County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 67.0% of 38,924 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic35.8%9,428TrumpRepublican61.7%16,248JorgensenLibertarian1.5%389
R+25.9- Lead
- 6,820
- Total
- 26,340
- vs nation
- R+30.3
- Turnout
- 68.7%
ClintonDemocratic33.3%8,050TrumpRepublican59.3%14,352JohnsonLibertarian4.8%1,159
R+26.0- Lead
- 6,302
- Total
- 24,193
- vs nation
- R+28.1
- Turnout
- 64.2%
ObamaDemocratic40.7%9,514RomneyRepublican57.4%13,422JOHNSONLibertarian1.3%313
R+16.7- Lead
- 3,908
- Total
- 23,367
- vs nation
- R+20.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic45.3%11,253McCainRepublican52.9%13,144OtherAll other candidates1.8%453
R+7.6- Lead
- 1,891
- Total
- 24,850
- vs nation
- R+14.9
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic37.4%9,018BushRepublican61.9%14,918OtherAll other candidates0.6%155
R+24.5- Lead
- 5,900
- Total
- 24,091
- vs nation
- R+22.0
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic37.2%7,673BushRepublican59.8%12,325NaderGreen2.3%467
R+22.6- Lead
- 4,652
- Total
- 20,601
- vs nation
- R+23.1
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic36.9%6,765DoleRepublican52.1%9,558PerotReform10.2%1,876
R+15.2- Lead
- 2,793
- Total
- 18,335
- vs nation
- R+23.8
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+29.3MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 51,4952024 5-year
- Median household income
- $82,1322024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 83.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 1.2%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 11.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Republican margin
- R+67.7 in 1920MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Boone County, IL · twin score 83.4
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 67.0%26,097 participants ÷ 38,924 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +18.1 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -3.9 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 48.9%–51.2%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 24,771 | 38,578 | 64.2% | A/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 19,368 | 38,295 | 50.6% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 26,340 | 38,349 | 68.7% | C/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 19,805 | 39,179 | 50.6% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 26,097 | 38,924 | 67.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 293/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 152/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
103 precincts · 26,094 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -Scott 1Scott 1 | 480 | 1,031 | 43 | 1,554 | 30.9% | 66.3% | R+35.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -Marion 2Marion 2 | 350 | 713 | 29 | 1,092 | 32.1% | 65.3% | R+33.2 |
| Precinct -Byron 2Byron 2 | 333 | 577 | 25 | 935 | 35.6% | 61.7% | R+26.1 |
| Precinct -Byron 4Byron 4 | 271 | 613 | 27 | 911 | 29.7% | 67.3% | R+37.5 |
| Precinct -Monroe 1Monroe 1 | 249 | 616 | 23 | 888 | 28.0% | 69.4% | R+41.3 |
| Precinct -Byron 1Byron 1 | 320 | 533 | 27 | 880 | 36.4% | 60.6% | R+24.2 |
| Precinct -Flagg 4Flagg 4 | 265 | 560 | 21 | 846 | 31.3% | 66.2% | R+34.9 |
| Precinct -Byron 3Byron 3 | 300 | 441 | 25 | 766 | 39.2% | 57.6% | R+18.4 |
| Precinct -Flagg 5Flagg 5 | 284 | 393 | 33 | 710 | 40.0% | 55.4% | R+15.4 |
| Precinct -Marion 1Marion 1 | 209 | 471 | 25 | 705 | 29.6% | 66.8% | R+37.2 |
| Precinct -Rockvale 1Rockvale 1 | 248 | 392 | 13 | 653 | 38.0% | 60.0% | R+22.1 |
| Precinct -Flagg 8Flagg 8 | 267 | 352 | 33 | 652 | 41.0% | 54.0% | R+13.0 |
| Precinct -Taylor 1Taylor 1 | 262 | 340 | 22 | 624 | 42.0% | 54.5% | R+12.5 |
| Precinct -Leaf River 1Leaf River 1 | 172 | 415 | 16 | 603 | 28.5% | 68.8% | R+40.3 |
| Precinct -Mt. Morris 4Mt. Morris 4 | 230 | 356 | 14 | 600 | 38.3% | 59.3% | R+21.0 |
| Precinct -Pine Rock 1Pine Rock 1 | 143 | 443 | 10 | 596 | 24.0% | 74.3% | R+50.3 |
| Precinct -Marion 3Marion 3 | 198 | 367 | 13 | 578 | 34.3% | 63.5% | R+29.2 |
| Precinct -Flagg 3Flagg 3 | 262 | 290 | 23 | 575 | 45.6% | 50.4% | R+4.9 |
| Precinct -Oregon-Nashua 6Oregon-Nashua 6 | 190 | 346 | 23 | 559 | 34.0% | 61.9% | R+27.9 |
| Precinct -Forreston 1Forreston 1 | 116 | 385 | 10 | 511 | 22.7% | 75.3% | R+52.6 |
| Precinct -Oregon-Nashua 4Oregon-Nashua 4 | 178 | 306 | 11 | 495 | 36.0% | 61.8% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -Buffalo 1Buffalo 1 | 141 | 320 | 18 | 479 | 29.4% | 66.8% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -Buffalo 3Buffalo 3 | 165 | 298 | 10 | 473 | 34.9% | 63.0% | R+28.1 |
| Precinct -Forreston 2Forreston 2 | 134 | 308 | 15 | 457 | 29.3% | 67.4% | R+38.1 |
| Precinct -Rockvale 2Rockvale 2 | 133 | 310 | 10 | 453 | 29.4% | 68.4% | R+39.1 |
| Precinct -Flagg 6Flagg 6 | 183 | 243 | 19 | 445 | 41.1% | 54.6% | R+13.5 |
| Precinct -Dement 1Dement 1 | 153 | 267 | 21 | 441 | 34.7% | 60.5% | R+25.9 |
| Precinct -Flagg 7Flagg 7 | 186 | 238 | 11 | 435 | 42.8% | 54.7% | R+12.0 |
| Precinct -Grand Detour 1Grand Detour 1 | 127 | 286 | 16 | 429 | 29.6% | 66.7% | R+37.1 |
| Precinct -Mt. Morris 3Mt. Morris 3 | 151 | 250 | 16 | 417 | 36.2% | 60.0% | R+23.7 |
| Precinct -Buffalo 2Buffalo 2 | 126 | 273 | 13 | 412 | 30.6% | 66.3% | R+35.7 |
| Precinct -Pine Creek 1Pine Creek 1 | 114 | 277 | 12 | 403 | 28.3% | 68.7% | R+40.4 |
| Precinct -Oregon-Nashua 1Oregon-Nashua 1 | 182 | 212 | 8 | 402 | 45.3% | 52.7% | R+7.5 |
| Precinct -Mt. Morris 1Mt. Morris 1 | 153 | 227 | 4 | 384 | 39.8% | 59.1% | R+19.3 |
| Precinct -White Rock 1White Rock 1 | 102 | 263 | 13 | 378 | 27.0% | 69.6% | R+42.6 |
| Precinct -Flagg 11Flagg 11 | 156 | 211 | 10 | 377 | 41.4% | 56.0% | R+14.6 |
| Precinct -Flagg 9Flagg 9 | 151 | 201 | 16 | 368 | 41.0% | 54.6% | R+13.6 |
| Precinct -Flagg 2Flagg 2 | 161 | 191 | 10 | 362 | 44.5% | 52.8% | R+8.3 |
| Precinct -Flagg 1Flagg 1 | 132 | 208 | 9 | 349 | 37.8% | 59.6% | R+21.8 |
| Precinct -Oregon-Nashua 3Oregon-Nashua 3 | 135 | 200 | 9 | 344 | 39.2% | 58.1% | R+18.9 |
| Precinct -Oregon-Nashua 2Oregon-Nashua 2 | 156 | 168 | 8 | 332 | 47.0% | 50.6% | R+3.6 |
| Precinct -Lynnville 1Lynnville 1 | 81 | 224 | 9 | 314 | 25.8% | 71.3% | R+45.5 |
| Precinct -Oregon-Nashua 5Oregon-Nashua 5 | 112 | 176 | 10 | 298 | 37.6% | 59.1% | R+21.5 |
| Precinct -Maryland 1Maryland 1 | 67 | 224 | 3 | 294 | 22.8% | 76.2% | R+53.4 |
| Precinct -Mt. Morris 2Mt. Morris 2 | 75 | 189 | 2 | 266 | 28.2% | 71.1% | R+42.9 |
| Precinct -Flagg 10Flagg 10 | 94 | 142 | 7 | 243 | 38.7% | 58.4% | R+19.8 |
| Precinct -Lincoln 1Lincoln 1 | 54 | 176 | 7 | 237 | 22.8% | 74.3% | R+51.5 |
| Precinct -Woosung 1Woosung 1 | 56 | 151 | 5 | 212 | 26.4% | 71.2% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -Brookville 1Brookville 1 | 35 | 106 | 1 | 142 | 24.6% | 74.6% | R+50.0 |
| Precinct -Eagle Point 1Eagle Point 1 | 26 | 99 | 3 | 128 | 20.3% | 77.3% | R+57.0 |
| Precinct -Lafayette 1Lafayette 1 | 15 | 72 | 0 | 87 | 17.2% | 82.8% | R+65.5 |
| BROOKVILLE Voting District17_1714100001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO 1 Voting District17_1714100002 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO 2 Voting District17_1714100003 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BUFFALO 3 Voting District17_1714100004 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BYRON 1 Voting District17_1714100005 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BYRON 2 Voting District17_1714100006 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BYRON 3 Voting District17_1714100007 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BYRON 4 Voting District17_1714100008 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DEMENT Voting District17_1714100009 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| EAGLE POINT Voting District17_1714100010 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 1 Voting District17_1714100011 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 10 Voting District17_1714100020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 11 Voting District17_1714100021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 2 Voting District17_1714100012 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 3 Voting District17_1714100013 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 4 Voting District17_1714100014 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 5 Voting District17_1714100015 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 6 Voting District17_1714100016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 7 Voting District17_1714100017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 8 Voting District17_1714100018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FLAGG 9 Voting District17_1714100019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FORRESTON 1 Voting District17_1714100022 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FORRESTON 2 Voting District17_1714100023 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FORRESTON 3 Voting District17_1714100024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| GRAND DETOUR Voting District17_1714100025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAFAYETTE Voting District17_1714100026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LEAF RIVER Voting District17_1714100027 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LINCOLN Voting District17_1714100028 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LYNNVILLE Voting District17_1714100029 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 1 Voting District17_1714100030 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 2 Voting District17_1714100031 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARION 3 Voting District17_1714100032 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MARYLAND Voting District17_1714100033 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONROE Voting District17_1714100034 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT MORRIS 1 Voting District17_1714100035 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT MORRIS 2 Voting District17_1714100036 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT MORRIS 3 Voting District17_1714100037 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MT MORRIS 4 Voting District17_1714100038 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON-Nashua 1 Voting District17_1714100039 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON-Nashua 2 Voting District17_1714100040 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON-Nashua 3 Voting District17_1714100041 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON-Nashua 4 Voting District17_1714100042 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON-Nashua 5 Voting District17_1714100043 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| OREGON-Nashua 6 Voting District17_1714100044 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINE CREEK Voting District17_1714100045 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PINE ROCK Voting District17_1714100046 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROCKVALE 1 Voting District17_1714100047 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROCKVALE 2 Voting District17_1714100048 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SCOTT Voting District17_1714100049 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| TAYLOR Voting District17_1714100050 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WHITE ROCK Voting District17_1714100051 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WOOSUNG Voting District17_1714100052 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | −26.1% |
| 1896 | −40.7% |
| 1900 | −40.5% |
| 1904 | −57.4% |
| 1908 | −44.1% |
| 1912 | −3.9% |
| 1916 | −44.2% |
| 1920 | −67.7% |
| 1924 | −58.1% |
| 1928 | −56.7% |
| 1932 | −20.2% |
| 1936 | −24.4% |
| 1940 | −41.8% |
| 1944 | −45.7% |
| 1948 | −42.8% |
| 1952 | −55.7% |
| 1956 | −56.5% |
| 1960 | −46.8% |
| 1964 | −20.3% |
| 1968 | −44.0% |
| 1972 | −47.9% |
| 1976 | −25.9% |
| 1980 | −44.9% |
| 1984 | −47.3% |
| 1988 | −34.5% |
| 1992 | −12.4% |
| 1996 | −15.2% |
| 2000 | −22.6% |
| 2004 | −24.5% |
| 2008 | −7.6% |
| 2012 | −16.7% |
| 2016 | −26.0% |
| 2020 | −25.9% |
| 2024 | −29.3% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 34,029 |
| 2018 | 32,882 |
| 2020 | 34,202 |
| 2022 | 34,724 |
| 2024 | 37,669 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
+167 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −3,380 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $57,591 in average income, against $81,190 for residents who stayed — 29% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+2.7 on average — 27 points more Democratic-leaning than Ogle County, IL itself (R+29.3).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Winnebago County, IL215D+0.6
- DeKalb County, IL137D+2.0
- Lee County, IL131R+22.2
- Cook County, IL51D+41.6
- Stephenson County, IL47R+19.4
- Kane County, IL44D+9.3
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Winnebago County, IL228
- Lee County, IL118
- DeKalb County, IL103
- Stephenson County, IL58
- Whiteside County, IL57
- Cook County, IL53
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −431 |
| 2012 | −349 |
| 2013 | −587 |
| 2014 | −402 |
| 2015 | −406 |
| 2016 | −486 |
| 2017 | −182 |
| 2018 | −185 |
| 2019 | −172 |
| 2021 | −142 |
| 2022 | −32 |
| 2023 | −60 |
| 2024 | −113 |
| 2025 | +167 |
Ogle County's mix of small manufacturing towns and agricultural townships has trended steadily more Republican over the past four presidential cycles, reaching a 29-point margin in 2024 despite modest population decline.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 67.7 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 3.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 29.3 points.
A population of 51,495, a 83% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $82,132 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Boone County and Walworth County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Boone County
Illinois
83.4twin score
elasticitySwedish ancestry% Catholic≠ Italian ancestry
Walworth County
Wisconsin
83.2twin score
elasticitymedian income% Black≠ Polish ancestry
Lee County
Illinois
82.0twin score
elasticity% Catholic% Evangelical≠ Swedish ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Ogle County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17141/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Ogle County
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Frequently asked questions
How did Ogle County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Ogle County, Illinois voted Republican by 29.3 points (R+29.3), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 25,799 votes cast, 8,883 went Democratic and 16,450 went Republican.
How many people live in Ogle County, Illinois?
Ogle County, Illinois has a population of 51,495 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Ogle County, Illinois?
Median household income in Ogle County, Illinois is $82,132 — above the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Ogle County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Ogle County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 0 went Democratic and 33 went Republican.