Illinois 45th State Senate District, Illinois: Bellwether district. In 2024, voted R+9%. Republican peak: R+64 in 1920.
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+9MIT Election Lab
- Political archetype
- BellwetherAkashic typology
- Population
- 385,1982024 5-year
- Median household income
- $68,9872024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 8.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 13.5%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+9 in 2008MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+64 in 1920MIT Election Lab
| Year | Won | Margin | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 78,937 | 93,934 | 176,073 | ||
| R | 83,884 | 95,089 | 184,044 | ||
| R | 72,464 | 85,080 | 170,165 | ||
| D | 83,524 | 81,427 | 168,558 | ||
| D | 95,233 | 78,859 | 177,061 | ||
| R | 78,675 | 90,752 | 170,752 | ||
| R | 67,767 | 78,288 | 150,963 | ||
| R | 60,171 | 62,736 | 137,119 | ||
| D | 62,267 | 61,174 | 155,179 | ||
| R | 58,206 | 79,362 | 138,438 | ||
| R | 54,501 | 92,941 | 148,335 | ||
| R | 42,438 | 74,812 | 144,502 | ||
| R | 56,607 | 78,268 | 137,654 | ||
| R | 47,849 | 87,429 | 135,586 | ||
| R | 47,047 | 74,414 | 129,993 | ||
| D | 66,317 | 61,810 | 128,127 | ||
| R | 52,384 | 80,802 | 133,402 | ||
| R | 38,840 | 81,032 | 120,014 | ||
| R | 41,067 | 78,403 | 119,656 | ||
| R | 39,073 | 55,932 | 95,832 | ||
| R | 40,482 | 61,673 | 102,616 | ||
| R | 44,146 | 66,012 | 110,700 | ||
| R | 48,143 | 51,567 | 102,637 | ||
| R | 40,376 | 49,218 | 92,434 | ||
| R | 20,825 | 62,793 | 84,221 | ||
| R | 7,983 | 46,029 | 72,101 | ||
| R | 9,491 | 48,102 | 60,258 | ||
| R | 19,496 | 41,564 | 64,249 | ||
| O | 10,870 | 8,681 | 37,207 | ||
| R | 11,200 | 23,825 | 37,595 | ||
| R | 7,803 | 24,336 | 35,073 | ||
| R | 12,128 | 24,612 | 37,932 | ||
| R | 11,902 | 24,662 | 37,502 | ||
| R | 12,379 | 17,993 | 32,397 | ||
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Demographics
With a 2024 presidential margin of R+52.3, this district sits far outside the statewide Democratic baseline, reflecting a largely rural or small-city electorate whose preferences diverge sharply from Chicago-area population centers.
The Democratic margin in Illinois 45th State Senate District has rarely exceeded nine points in modern history; the Republican margin has rarely exceeded sixty-four points. 2024 delivered the district to the Republican candidate by nine points.
Its demographics resemble the country more than they resemble most districts. A 73% non-Hispanic-white share, a 14% poverty rate, and a median household income of $68,987 — all within the broad national range.
Compare two places, side by side
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State Senate District 45, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-upper/17045/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.