Akashic

county

Carroll County, IL

Office (updates table and map)

President margin by year

Place winner margin

1892–2024 · D minus R

Full record · 1892 → 2024

2024

Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab

People and households

Who lives here

Exact values for this place, its state, and the United States.

Race · ethnicity · ancestry

Communities and origins

German30.7%16.1%12.5%

Irish12.9%10.6%9.4%

English8.5%6.9%9.5%

American8.3%3.3%5.3%

Dutch4.1%——

Swedish2.8%1.5%—

Italian2.6%5.4%4.8%

Polish2.4%6.0%2.2%

Mexican2.6%14.4%11.3%

Puerto Rican0.4%1.7%1.8%

African American†3.9%12.1%9.9%

Hispanic or Latino counts residents of any race; the race groups count only their non-Hispanic residents, so the groups are mutually exclusive and sum to 100%. Expand a row to see ancestries reported within that group.

Age and life stage

Measure	Carroll County	Illinois	United States
Median age	45.4	39.1	39.1
Age 18–24	7.9%	9.1%	9.2%
Age 65 and older	24.2%	16.9%	17.2%

Household economy

Measure	Carroll County	Illinois	United States
Median household income	$60,758	$83,390	$84,427
Poverty rate	14.2%	11.8%	12.5%
Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)	17.8%	37.9%	35.6%

Languages at home

Measure	Carroll County	Illinois	United States
Speaks a non-English language at home	6.0%	24.1%	22.3%
Spanish	3.2%	14.0%	13.6%
German or other West Germanic	1.6%	0.3%	0.5%

Religious landscape

Measure	Carroll County	Illinois	United States
Catholic	20.7%	24.2%	18.6%
Evangelical Protestant	4.6%	11.7%	16.5%
Unclaimed / not counted	50.0%	49.2%	51.5%
Mainline Protestant	23.2%	5.3%	5.2%

American Community Survey 2024 5-year (CVAP, income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents; unclaimed is the residual not counted by congregations.

President results by year

2024 turnout 62.9% of 12,586 citizens 18+

HarrisDemocratic33.2%2,600TrumpRepublican64.8%5,082KennedyIndependent2.0%154

R+31.7

Lead: 2,482
Total: 7,840
vs nation: R+30.2
Turnout: 62.9%

BidenDemocratic34.2%2,748TrumpRepublican63.5%5,105JorgensenLibertarian1.4%111

R+29.3

Lead: 2,357
Total: 8,037
vs nation: R+33.8
Turnout: 69.8%

ClintonDemocratic32.9%2,447TrumpRepublican59.6%4,434JohnsonLibertarian5.3%395

R+26.7

Lead: 1,987
Total: 7,445
vs nation: R+28.8
Turnout: 63.6%

ObamaDemocratic49.5%3,665RomneyRepublican48.0%3,555JOHNSONLibertarian1.6%117

D+1.5

Lead: 110
Total: 7,406
vs nation: R+2.4
Turnout: —

ObamaDemocratic51.7%3,965McCainRepublican46.9%3,596OtherAll other candidates1.5%113

D+4.8

Lead: 369
Total: 7,674
vs nation: R+2.5
Turnout: —

KerryDemocratic43.5%3,537BushRepublican55.7%4,534OtherAll other candidates0.8%64

R+12.3

Lead: 997
Total: 8,135
vs nation: R+9.8
Turnout: —

GoreDemocratic43.4%3,113BushRepublican53.4%3,835NaderGreen2.1%154

R+10.1

Lead: 722
Total: 7,177
vs nation: R+10.6
Turnout: —

ClintonDemocratic43.0%2,926DoleRepublican44.6%3,029PerotReform11.6%792

R+1.5

Lead: 103
Total: 6,799
vs nation: R+10.0
Turnout: —

Key facts

2024 presidential margin: R+31.7MIT Election Lab
Population: 15,5762024 5-year
Median household income: $60,7582024 5-year
White (non-Hispanic): 87.8%2024 5-year
Black: 3.9%2024 5-year
Hispanic / Latino: 5.3%2024 5-year
Peak Democratic margin: D+4.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab
Peak Republican margin: R+76.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab
Most similar: Clayton County, IA · twin score 87.1

Participation

Midterm durability

Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.

2024 total turnout: 62.9%7,922 participants ÷ 12,586 CVAP
2020→2022 drop-off: +21.8 ptsPresidential-dependent
Drop-off versus state: -0.2 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
Mechanical 2026 scenario: 41.1%–46.4%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast

Election	Participants	CVAP	Turnout	Quality
2016 · Presidential	7,445	11,708	63.6%	C/A
2018 · Midterm	6,076	11,614	52.3%	A/A
2020 · Presidential	8,096	11,604	69.8%	A/A
2022 · Midterm	6,070	12,661	47.9%	A/A
2024 · Presidential	7,922	12,586	62.9%	A/A

Sources and methods

2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
2022: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 306/183.
2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.

Precinct data

Results by precinct

44 precincts · 7,800 votes

Election

Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.

Carroll County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -YORKYORK	305	616	28	949	32.1%	64.9%	R+32.8
Precinct -FREEDOMFREEDOM	185	401	23	609	30.4%	65.8%	R+35.5
Precinct -ROCK CREEK/LIMA 2ROCK CREEK/LIMA 2	171	364	16	551	31.0%	66.1%	R+35.0
Precinct -MT CARROLL 2MT CARROLL 2	200	334	11	545	36.7%	61.3%	R+24.6
Precinct -CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 2CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 2	115	377	18	510	22.5%	73.9%	R+51.4
Precinct -ROCK CREEK/LIMA 1ROCK CREEK/LIMA 1	169	315	9	493	34.3%	63.9%	R+29.6
Precinct -FAIR HAVENFAIR HAVEN	130	296	21	447	29.1%	66.2%	R+37.1
Precinct -WYSOX 1WYSOX 1	123	263	13	399	30.8%	65.9%	R+35.1
Precinct -SAVANNA 6SAVANNA 6	137	232	15	384	35.7%	60.4%	R+24.7
Precinct -CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 1CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 1	92	281	8	381	24.1%	73.8%	R+49.6
Precinct -SAVANNA 4SAVANNA 4	140	176	5	321	43.6%	54.8%	R+11.2
Precinct -MT CARROLL 1MT CARROLL 1	113	190	10	313	36.1%	60.7%	R+24.6
Precinct -MT CARROLL 3MT CARROLL 3	101	175	17	293	34.5%	59.7%	R+25.3
Precinct -SAVANNA 5SAVANNA 5	116	160	5	281	41.3%	56.9%	R+15.7
Precinct -WYSOX 2WYSOX 2	72	197	1	270	26.7%	73.0%	R+46.3
Precinct -SALEMSALEM	55	138	4	197	27.9%	70.1%	R+42.1
Precinct -SAVANNA 1SAVANNA 1	76	103	10	189	40.2%	54.5%	R+14.3
Precinct -WASHINGTONWASHINGTON	66	113	6	185	35.7%	61.1%	R+25.4
Precinct -SAVANNA 2SAVANNA 2	69	93	5	167	41.3%	55.7%	R+14.4
Precinct -WOODLANDWOODLAND	49	110	4	163	30.1%	67.5%	R+37.4
Precinct -SAVANNA 3SAVANNA 3	79	68	6	153	51.6%	44.4%	D+7.2
CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 1 Voting District17_17015CS01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 2 Voting District17_17015CS02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ELKHORN GROVE Voting District17_17015EK00	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FAIR HAVEN Voting District17_17015FH00	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
FREEDOM Voting District17_17015FD00	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MT CARROLL 1 Voting District17_17015MC01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MT CARROLL 2 Voting District17_17015MC02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
MT CARROLL 3 Voting District17_17015MC03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
Precinct -ELKHORNELKHORN	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCK CREEK/LIMA 1 Voting District17_17015RL01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
ROCK CREEK/LIMA 2 Voting District17_17015RL02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SALEM Voting District17_17015SM00	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SAVANNA 1 Voting District17_17015SA01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SAVANNA 2 Voting District17_17015SA02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SAVANNA 3 Voting District17_17015SA03	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SAVANNA 4 Voting District17_17015SA04	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SAVANNA 5 Voting District17_17015SA05	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
SAVANNA 6 Voting District17_17015SA06	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WASHINGTON Voting District17_17015WN00	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WOODLAND Voting District17_17015WD00	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WYSOX 1 Voting District17_17015WY01	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
WYSOX 2 Voting District17_17015WY02	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes
YORK Voting District17_17015YK00	0	0	0	0	—	—	No votes

presidential history

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−24.2%
1896	−37.6%
1900	−45.1%
1904	−59.6%
1908	−40.5%
1912	−11.7%
1916	−37.5%
1920	−76.5%
1924	−52.9%
1928	−53.2%
1932	−8.9%
1936	−5.6%
1940	−28.0%
1944	−36.4%
1948	−30.6%
1952	−45.9%
1956	−41.4%
1960	−33.8%
1964	−5.0%
1968	−32.8%
1972	−40.2%
1976	−19.8%
1980	−36.5%
1984	−37.1%
1988	−19.6%
1992	−5.8%
1996	−1.5%
2000	−10.1%
2004	−12.3%
2008	+4.8%
2012	+1.5%
2016	−26.7%
2020	−29.3%
2024	−31.7%

DemocraticRepublican

38 presidential elections

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.
Year	Won	Democratic	Republican	Other	Margin	Swing	vs U.S.	Total
2024	R	33.2%Harris2,600	64.8%Trump5,082	2.0%Kennedy154	R+31.7	R+2.3	R+30.2	7,840
2020	R	34.2%Biden2,748	63.5%Trump5,105	1.4%Jorgensen111	R+29.3	R+2.6	R+33.8	8,037
2016	R	32.9%Clinton2,447	59.6%Trump4,434	5.3%Johnson395	R+26.7	R+28.2	R+28.8	7,445
2012	D	49.5%Obama3,665	48.0%Romney3,555	1.6%JOHNSON117	D+1.5	R+3.3	R+2.4	7,406
2008	D	51.7%Obama3,965	46.9%McCain3,596	1.5%	D+4.8	D+17.1	R+2.5	7,674
2004	R	43.5%Kerry3,537	55.7%Bush4,534	0.8%	R+12.3	R+2.2	R+9.8	8,135
2000	R	43.4%Gore3,113	53.4%Bush3,835	2.1%Nader154	R+10.1	R+8.5	R+10.6	7,177
1996	R	43.0%Clinton2,926	44.6%Dole3,029	11.6%Perot792	R+1.5	D+4.3	R+10.0	6,799
1992	R	37.2%Clinton2,854	42.9%Bush3,297	19.6%Perot1,502	R+5.8	D+13.9	R+11.3	7,679
1988	R	39.8%Dukakis2,990	59.4%Bush4,464	0.8%	R+19.6	D+17.5	R+11.9	7,512
1984	R	31.3%Mondale2,398	68.4%Reagan5,237	0.3%	R+37.1	R+0.6	R+18.9	7,658
1980	R	26.8%Carter2,154	63.4%Reagan5,084	9.8%	R+36.5	R+16.7	R+26.8	8,023
1976	R	39.5%Carter3,372	59.3%Ford5,059	1.1%	R+19.8	D+20.4	R+21.9	8,526
1972	R	29.8%McGovern2,571	70.0%Nixon6,041	0.2%	R+40.2	R+7.4	R+17.1	8,631
1968	R	30.9%Humphrey2,558	63.7%Nixon5,275	5.4%	R+32.8	R+27.8	R+32.1	8,282
1964	R	47.5%Johnson4,062	52.5%Goldwater4,487	0.0%	R+5.0	D+28.8	R+27.6	8,549
1960	R	32.9%Kennedy3,097	66.7%Nixon6,282	0.4%	R+33.8	D+7.5	R+34.0	9,418
1956	R	29.2%Stevenson2,693	70.6%Eisenhower6,503	0.2%	R+41.4	D+4.5	R+26.0	9,211
1952	R	27.0%Stevenson2,584	72.9%Eisenhower6,978	0.1%	R+45.9	R+15.2	R+35.1	9,576
1948	R	34.3%Truman2,809	64.9%Dewey5,318	0.8%	R+30.6	D+5.7	R+35.1	8,189
1944	R	31.7%Roosevelt2,843	68.1%Dewey6,101	0.2%	R+36.4	R+8.3	R+43.8	8,962
1940	R	35.9%Roosevelt3,592	63.9%Willkie6,398	0.2%	R+28.0	R+22.5	R+38.0	10,013
1936	R	46.8%Roosevelt4,368	52.4%Landon4,886	0.8%	R+5.6	D+3.4	R+29.8	9,328
1932	R	44.9%Roosevelt3,812	53.8%Hoover4,571	1.3%	R+8.9	D+44.3	R+26.7	8,495
1928	R	23.1%Smith1,876	76.3%Hoover6,197	0.6%	R+53.2	R+0.4	R+35.8	8,118
1924	R	8.1%Davis603	60.9%Coolidge4,559	30.8%La Follette2,301	R+52.9	D+23.7	R+27.7	7,482
1920	R	10.1%Cox606	86.7%Harding5,194	3.2%	R+76.5	R+39.0	R+50.4	5,994
1916	R	29.5%Wilson1,980	67.0%Hughes4,496	3.4%	R+37.5	R+25.9	R+40.7	6,707
1912	R	26.7%Wilson1,098	38.4%Taft1,577	34.9%	R+11.7	D+28.9	R+31.2	4,111
1908	R	26.2%Bryan1,129	66.7%Taft2,875	7.1%	R+40.5	D+19.0	R+31.0	4,310
1904	R	16.9%Parker691	76.4%Roosevelt3,128	6.7%	R+59.6	R+14.5	R+39.9	4,092
1900	R	26.4%Bryan1,266	71.5%McKinley3,425	2.0%	R+45.1	R+7.5	R+37.5	4,788
1896	R	30.3%Bryan1,480	67.9%McKinley3,314	1.8%	R+37.6	R+13.4	R+31.5	4,880
1892	R	34.6%Cleveland1,444	58.8%Harrison2,456	6.6%	R+24.2	—	R+25.9	4,177
1888	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1884	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1880	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—
1876	—	—	—	—	No data	—	—	—

Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor

U.S. House

Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2024	R	37.7%2,926	62.3%4,831	7,757
2020	R	41.3%3,300	58.7%4,682	7,982
2018	D	54.8%371	45.2%306	677

U.S. Senate

Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	34.3%2,039	63.9%3,804	5,953
2020Class II	R	35.8%Dick Durbin2,835	61.2%Mark Curran4,840	7,914
2016Class III	R	35.2%Tammy Duckworth2,577	59.4%Mark Kirk4,354	7,326
2014Class II	R	38.9%Dick Durbin2,161	56.4%Jim Oberweis3,131	5,552
2010Class III	R	27.8%Alex Giannoulias1,425	64.2%Mark Kirk3,290	5,121
2008Class II	D	57.2%Dick Durbin4,274	37.9%Steve Sauerberg2,828	7,468
2004Class III	D	62.5%Barack Obama4,961	34.4%Alan Keyes2,730	7,941
2002Class II	R	47.5%Dick Durbin2,771	50.6%Jim Durkin2,950	5,832
1998Class III	R	30.6%Carol Moseley-Braun1,794	66.8%Peter Fitzgerald3,922	5,868
1996Class II	R	42.9%Dick Durbin2,867	53.4%Al Salvi3,565	6,678
1992Class III	R	40.7%Carol Moseley-Braun3,064	55.0%Richard Williamson4,140	7,521
1990Class II	D	57.0%Paul Simon3,802	43.0%Lynn Martin2,873	6,675
1986Class III	D	59.3%Alan J. Dixon3,354	39.9%Judy Koehler2,256	5,658
1984Class II	R	37.2%Paul Simon2,831	61.6%Charles H. Percy4,684	7,610
1980Class III	R	44.4%Alan J. Dixon3,507	54.6%David C. O'Neal4,312	7,904
1978Class II	R	42.7%Alex Seith2,160	56.5%Charles H. Percy2,862	5,063
1974Class III	D	50.3%Adlai Stevenson III3,397	49.6%George M. Burditt3,347	6,754
1972Class II	R	26.2%Roman Pucinski2,226	73.7%Charles H. Percy6,268	8,506
1968Class III	R	28.2%William G. Clark2,256	71.7%Everett Dirksen5,747	8,013
1966Class II	R	31.0%Paul H. Douglas2,084	69.0%Charles H. Percy4,641	6,725
1962Class III	R	32.7%Sidney R. Yates2,290	67.3%Everett Dirksen4,720	7,010
1960Class II	R	38.5%Paul H. Douglas3,499	61.4%Samuel W. Witwer5,582	9,084
1956Class III	R	33.0%Richard Stengel2,921	67.0%Everett Dirksen5,929	8,850
1954Class II	R	35.0%Paul H. Douglas2,310	65.0%Joseph T. Meek4,290	6,600
1950Class III	R	29.5%Scott W. Lucas2,091	70.3%Everett Dirksen4,977	7,084
1948Class II	R	37.7%Paul H. Douglas2,931	61.9%C. Wayland Brooks4,813	7,780
1944Class III	R	32.1%Scott W. Lucas2,654	67.7%Richard J. Lyons5,608	8,279
1942Class II	R	21.4%Raymond McKeough1,213	78.3%C. Wayland Brooks4,435	5,663
1938Class III	R	38.2%Scott W. Lucas2,561	61.6%Richard J. Lyons4,133	6,711
1936Class II	R	45.7%James H. Lewis3,987	53.4%Otis F. Glenn4,657	8,720
1932Class III	R	38.3%William H. Dieterich2,898	61.2%Otis F. Glenn4,630	7,564
1930Class II	R	40.6%James H. Lewis2,014	44.1%Ruth H. McCormick2,189	4,963
1926Class III	R	18.8%George E. Brennan670	68.2%Frank L. Smith2,435	3,569
1924Class II	R	18.5%Albert A. Sprague1,133	80.9%Charles S. Deneen4,957	6,127
1920Class III	R	10.2%Peter A. Waller609	86.6%William B. McKinley5,156	5,955
1918Class II	R	20.7%James H. Lewis621	76.7%Medill McCormick2,300	3,000
1914Class III	R	20.1%Roger C. Sullivan591	61.4%Lawrence Y. Sherman1,806	2,943

U.S. Senate special elections

Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
1970Special · Class III	R	43.9%Adlai Stevenson III3,009	56.0%Ralph T. Smith3,839	6,854
1940Special · Class II	R	34.0%James M. Slattery3,168	65.9%C. Wayland Brooks6,142	9,323
1928Special · Class III	R	21.0%Anton J. Cermak1,492	78.8%Otis F. Glenn5,610	7,115

Governor

Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.
Year	Vote lead	Democratic	Republican	Total
2022	R	31.0%Jb Pritzker1,868	65.8%Darren Bailey3,966	6,023
2018	R	30.3%Jb Pritzker1,804	61.5%Bruce Rauner3,658	5,945
2014	R	28.6%Pat Quinn1,582	65.5%Bruce Rauner3,621	5,527
2010	R	27.9%Pat Quinn1,445	64.8%Bill Brady3,361	5,186
2006	R	39.8%Rod Blagojevich2,372	50.2%Judy Baar Topinka2,997	5,966
2002	R	43.6%Rod Blagojevich2,560	52.1%Jim Ryan3,054	5,865
1998	R	34.9%Glenn Poshard2,068	63.6%George Ryan3,772	5,932
1994	R	21.5%Dawn Clark Netsch1,254	76.5%Jim Edgar4,463	5,836
1990	R	38.6%Neil Hartigan2,566	60.3%Jim Edgar4,015	6,655
1986	R	6.9%''No nominee''397	61.3%Jim Thompson3,506	5,719
1982	R	37.6%Adlai Stevenson III2,263	60.7%Jim Thompson3,649	6,016
1978	R	28.5%Michael Bakalis1,450	71.0%Jim Thompson3,611	5,083
1976	R	21.8%Michael Howlett1,850	78.0%Jim Thompson6,619	8,486

voter registration

Registered voters

Total registered voters, over time

Registered voters

Voter registration in Carroll County, IL
Year	Total registered
2016	11,687
2018	11,776
2020	11,165
2022	10,888
2024	11,356

domestic migration

Who moves in and out

Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote

+26 net domestic migration · 2025

20112025

Net −494 over 2011–2025 · gain loss

Arrivals reported $70,663 in average income, against $74,147 for residents who stayed — 5% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)

The places arrivals came from lean R+19.3 on average — 12 points more Democratic-leaning than Carroll County, IL itself (R+31.7).

Where arrivals came from lean of each source

Whiteside County, IL51R+14.7
Stephenson County, IL43R+19.4
Clinton County, IA27R+18.8
Ogle County, IL24R+29.3

Where departures went households, 2022–23

Whiteside County, IL56
Clinton County, IA42
Stephenson County, IL33

Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.

Domestic migration in Carroll County, IL in Carroll County, IL: net domestic migration by year
Year	Net domestic migration
2011	−129
2012	−68
2013	−94
2014	−128
2015	−118
2016	−11
2017	−67
2018	−112
2019	+51
2021	+126
2022	−19
2023	+48
2024	+1
2025	+26

Carroll County's economy centers on agriculture and small manufacturing along the Mississippi River bluffs. Its Republican presidential margin has grown steadily over two decades, reflecting a broader rural realignment across the upper Midwest.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 4.8 points in 2008 and a Republican high of 76.5 points in 1920. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 2.3 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.7 points.

A population of 15,576, a 88% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $60,758 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Clayton County and Fayette County.

Political twins — counties

The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Clayton County

Iowa

87.1twin score

12-yr trendelasticity2012 margin≠ Norwegian ancestry

Fayette County

Iowa

87.1twin score

12-yr trendelasticity2012 margin≠ Norwegian ancestry

Jackson County

Iowa

86.5twin score

elasticity2008–2012 trajectory% Evangelical≠ 12-yr trend

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page

All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.

Carroll County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17015/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.

License: CC BY 4.0

Embed this page

A live widget for your site — no API key, attribution built in, CC BY 4.0. All widgets & sizes →

<iframe src="https://akashic.app/embed/county/17015/stat-card/" width="100%" height="200" style="border:0;border-radius:12px;max-width:560px" title="Carroll County, IL — Akashic" loading="lazy"></iframe>

Cities & towns in Carroll County

Savanna

R+13

2.8K residents

Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →

Presidentcounty detail2024 US Senatestatewide2022 Governorstate + county2022 US Houseall districts2024

Frequently asked questions

How did Carroll County, Illinois vote in 2024?

In 2024, Carroll County, Illinois voted Republican by 31.7 points (R+31.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,840 votes cast, 2,600 went Democratic and 5,082 went Republican.

When did Carroll County, Illinois last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Illinois voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Carroll County, Illinois?

Carroll County, Illinois has a population of 15,576 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Carroll County, Illinois?

Median household income in Carroll County, Illinois is $60,758 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.

What is the political history of Carroll County, Illinois?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.

Measure

Carroll County

Illinois

United States

Median age

45.4

39.1

Age 18–24

7.9%

9.1%

9.2%

Age 65 and older

24.2%

16.9%

17.2%

Measure

Carroll County

Illinois

United States

Median household income

$60,758

$83,390

$84,427

Poverty rate

14.2%

11.8%

12.5%

Bachelor's degree or higher (25+)

17.8%

37.9%

35.6%

Measure

Carroll County

Illinois

United States

Speaks a non-English language at home

6.0%

24.1%

22.3%

Spanish

3.2%

14.0%

13.6%

German or other West Germanic

1.6%

0.3%

0.5%

Measure

Carroll County

Illinois

United States

Catholic

20.7%

24.2%

18.6%

Evangelical Protestant

4.6%

11.7%

16.5%

Unclaimed / not counted

50.0%

49.2%

51.5%

Mainline Protestant

23.2%

5.3%

5.2%

Key facts

2024 presidential margin

R+31.7MIT Election Lab

Population

15,5762024 5-year

Median household income

$60,7582024 5-year

White (non-Hispanic)

87.8%2024 5-year

Black

3.9%2024 5-year

Hispanic / Latino

5.3%2024 5-year

Peak Democratic margin

D+4.8 in 2008MIT Election Lab

Peak Republican margin

R+76.5 in 1920MIT Election Lab

Most similar

Clayton County, IA · twin score 87.1

Election

Participants

CVAP

Turnout

Quality

2016 · Presidential

7,445

11,708

63.6%

C/A

2018 · Midterm

6,076

11,614

52.3%

A/A

2020 · Presidential

8,096

11,604

69.8%

A/A

2022 · Midterm

6,070

12,661

47.9%

A/A

2024 · Presidential

7,922

12,586

62.9%

A/A

Carroll County precinct-level presidential election results for 2024

Precinct -YORKYORK

305

616

949

32.1%

64.9%

R+32.8

Precinct -FREEDOMFREEDOM

185

401

609

30.4%

65.8%

R+35.5

Precinct -ROCK CREEK/LIMA 2ROCK CREEK/LIMA 2

171

364

551

31.0%

66.1%

R+35.0

Precinct -MT CARROLL 2MT CARROLL 2

200

334

545

36.7%

61.3%

R+24.6

Precinct -CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 2CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 2

115

377

510

22.5%

73.9%

R+51.4

Precinct -ROCK CREEK/LIMA 1ROCK CREEK/LIMA 1

169

315

493

34.3%

63.9%

R+29.6

Precinct -FAIR HAVENFAIR HAVEN

130

296

447

29.1%

66.2%

R+37.1

Precinct -WYSOX 1WYSOX 1

123

263

399

30.8%

65.9%

R+35.1

Precinct -SAVANNA 6SAVANNA 6

137

232

384

35.7%

60.4%

R+24.7

Precinct -CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 1CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 1

281

381

24.1%

73.8%

R+49.6

Precinct -SAVANNA 4SAVANNA 4

140

176

321

43.6%

54.8%

R+11.2

Precinct -MT CARROLL 1MT CARROLL 1

113

190

313

36.1%

60.7%

R+24.6

Precinct -MT CARROLL 3MT CARROLL 3

101

175

293

34.5%

59.7%

R+25.3

Precinct -SAVANNA 5SAVANNA 5

116

160

281

41.3%

56.9%

R+15.7

Precinct -WYSOX 2WYSOX 2

197

270

26.7%

73.0%

R+46.3

Precinct -SALEMSALEM

138

197

27.9%

70.1%

R+42.1

Precinct -SAVANNA 1SAVANNA 1

103

189

40.2%

54.5%

R+14.3

Precinct -WASHINGTONWASHINGTON

113

185

35.7%

61.1%

R+25.4

Precinct -SAVANNA 2SAVANNA 2

167

41.3%

55.7%

R+14.4

Precinct -WOODLANDWOODLAND

110

163

30.1%

67.5%

R+37.4

Precinct -SAVANNA 3SAVANNA 3

153

51.6%

44.4%

D+7.2

CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 1 Voting District17_17015CS01

—

No votes

CHERRY GROVE/SHANNON 2 Voting District17_17015CS02

—

No votes

ELKHORN GROVE Voting District17_17015EK00

—

No votes

FAIR HAVEN Voting District17_17015FH00

—

No votes

FREEDOM Voting District17_17015FD00

—

No votes

MT CARROLL 1 Voting District17_17015MC01

—

No votes

MT CARROLL 2 Voting District17_17015MC02

—

No votes

MT CARROLL 3 Voting District17_17015MC03

—

No votes

Precinct -ELKHORNELKHORN

—

No votes

ROCK CREEK/LIMA 1 Voting District17_17015RL01

—

No votes

ROCK CREEK/LIMA 2 Voting District17_17015RL02

—

No votes

SALEM Voting District17_17015SM00

—

No votes

SAVANNA 1 Voting District17_17015SA01

—

No votes

SAVANNA 2 Voting District17_17015SA02

—

No votes

SAVANNA 3 Voting District17_17015SA03

—

No votes

SAVANNA 4 Voting District17_17015SA04

—

No votes

SAVANNA 5 Voting District17_17015SA05

—

No votes

SAVANNA 6 Voting District17_17015SA06

—

No votes

WASHINGTON Voting District17_17015WN00

—

No votes

WOODLAND Voting District17_17015WD00

—

No votes

WYSOX 1 Voting District17_17015WY01

—

No votes

WYSOX 2 Voting District17_17015WY02

—

No votes

YORK Voting District17_17015YK00

—

No votes

Presidential margin, 1892–2024

Democratic minus Republican, by election

Presidential margin over time
Year	Margin (D minus R)
1892	−24.2%
1896	−37.6%
1900	−45.1%
1904	−59.6%
1908	−40.5%
1912	−11.7%
1916	−37.5%
1920	−76.5%
1924	−52.9%
1928	−53.2%
1932	−8.9%
1936	−5.6%
1940	−28.0%
1944	−36.4%
1948	−30.6%
1952	−45.9%
1956	−41.4%
1960	−33.8%
1964	−5.0%
1968	−32.8%
1972	−40.2%
1976	−19.8%
1980	−36.5%
1984	−37.1%
1988	−19.6%
1992	−5.8%
1996	−1.5%
2000	−10.1%
2004	−12.3%
2008	+4.8%
2012	+1.5%
2016	−26.7%
2020	−29.3%
2024	−31.7%

DemocraticRepublican

Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024). Swing · margin change from the prior cycle; not shown when either cycle is estimated or under source review. vs U.S. · margin relative to the national result that year.

Year

Won

Democratic

Republican

Other

Margin

Swing

vs U.S.

Total

2024

33.2%Harris2,600

64.8%Trump5,082

2.0%Kennedy154

R+31.7

R+2.3

R+30.2

7,840

2020

34.2%Biden2,748

63.5%Trump5,105

1.4%Jorgensen111

R+29.3

R+2.6

R+33.8

8,037

2016

32.9%Clinton2,447

59.6%Trump4,434

5.3%Johnson395

R+26.7

R+28.2

R+28.8

7,445

2012

49.5%Obama3,665

48.0%Romney3,555

1.6%JOHNSON117

D+1.5

R+3.3

R+2.4

7,406

2008

51.7%Obama3,965

46.9%McCain3,596

1.5%

D+4.8

D+17.1

R+2.5

7,674

2004

43.5%Kerry3,537

55.7%Bush4,534

0.8%

R+12.3

R+2.2

R+9.8

8,135

2000

43.4%Gore3,113

53.4%Bush3,835

2.1%Nader154

R+10.1

R+8.5

R+10.6

7,177

1996

43.0%Clinton2,926

44.6%Dole3,029

11.6%Perot792

R+1.5

D+4.3

R+10.0

6,799

1992

37.2%Clinton2,854

42.9%Bush3,297

19.6%Perot1,502

R+5.8

D+13.9

R+11.3

7,679

1988

39.8%Dukakis2,990

59.4%Bush4,464

0.8%

R+19.6

D+17.5

R+11.9

7,512

1984

31.3%Mondale2,398

68.4%Reagan5,237

0.3%

R+37.1

R+0.6

R+18.9

7,658

1980

26.8%Carter2,154

63.4%Reagan5,084

9.8%

R+36.5

R+16.7

R+26.8

8,023

1976

39.5%Carter3,372

59.3%Ford5,059

1.1%

R+19.8

D+20.4

R+21.9

8,526

1972

29.8%McGovern2,571

70.0%Nixon6,041

0.2%

R+40.2

R+7.4

R+17.1

8,631

1968

30.9%Humphrey2,558

63.7%Nixon5,275

5.4%

R+32.8

R+27.8

R+32.1

8,282

1964

47.5%Johnson4,062

52.5%Goldwater4,487

0.0%

R+5.0

D+28.8

R+27.6

8,549

1960

32.9%Kennedy3,097

66.7%Nixon6,282

0.4%

R+33.8

D+7.5

R+34.0

9,418

1956

29.2%Stevenson2,693

70.6%Eisenhower6,503

0.2%

R+41.4

D+4.5

R+26.0

9,211

1952

27.0%Stevenson2,584

72.9%Eisenhower6,978

0.1%

R+45.9

R+15.2

R+35.1

9,576

1948

34.3%Truman2,809

64.9%Dewey5,318

0.8%

R+30.6

D+5.7

R+35.1

8,189

1944

31.7%Roosevelt2,843

68.1%Dewey6,101

0.2%

R+36.4

R+8.3

R+43.8

8,962

1940

35.9%Roosevelt3,592

63.9%Willkie6,398

0.2%

R+28.0

R+22.5

R+38.0

10,013

1936

46.8%Roosevelt4,368

52.4%Landon4,886

0.8%

R+5.6

D+3.4

R+29.8

9,328

1932

44.9%Roosevelt3,812

53.8%Hoover4,571

1.3%

R+8.9

D+44.3

R+26.7

8,495

1928

23.1%Smith1,876

76.3%Hoover6,197

0.6%

R+53.2

R+0.4

R+35.8

8,118

1924

8.1%Davis603

60.9%Coolidge4,559

30.8%La Follette2,301

R+52.9

D+23.7

R+27.7

7,482

1920

10.1%Cox606

86.7%Harding5,194

3.2%

R+76.5

R+39.0

R+50.4

5,994

1916

29.5%Wilson1,980

67.0%Hughes4,496

3.4%

R+37.5

R+25.9

R+40.7

6,707

1912

26.7%Wilson1,098

38.4%Taft1,577

34.9%

R+11.7

D+28.9

R+31.2

4,111

1908

26.2%Bryan1,129

66.7%Taft2,875

7.1%

R+40.5

D+19.0

R+31.0

4,310

1904

16.9%Parker691

76.4%Roosevelt3,128

6.7%

R+59.6

R+14.5

R+39.9

4,092

1900

26.4%Bryan1,266

71.5%McKinley3,425

2.0%

R+45.1

R+7.5

R+37.5

4,788

1896

30.3%Bryan1,480

67.9%McKinley3,314

1.8%

R+37.6

R+13.4

R+31.5

4,880

1892

34.6%Cleveland1,444

58.8%Harrison2,456

6.6%

R+24.2

—

R+25.9

4,177

1888

—

No data

—

1884

—

No data

—

1880

—

No data

—

1876

—

No data

—

Source · Akashic actual-race rollup from certified returns, House; geographic aggregation.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2024

37.7%2,926

62.3%4,831

7,757

2020

41.3%3,300

58.7%4,682

7,982

2018

54.8%371

45.2%306

677

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

34.3%2,039

63.9%3,804

5,953

2020Class II

35.8%Dick Durbin2,835

61.2%Mark Curran4,840

7,914

2016Class III

35.2%Tammy Duckworth2,577

59.4%Mark Kirk4,354

7,326

2014Class II

38.9%Dick Durbin2,161

56.4%Jim Oberweis3,131

5,552

2010Class III

27.8%Alex Giannoulias1,425

64.2%Mark Kirk3,290

5,121

2008Class II

57.2%Dick Durbin4,274

37.9%Steve Sauerberg2,828

7,468

2004Class III

62.5%Barack Obama4,961

34.4%Alan Keyes2,730

7,941

2002Class II

47.5%Dick Durbin2,771

50.6%Jim Durkin2,950

5,832

1998Class III

30.6%Carol Moseley-Braun1,794

66.8%Peter Fitzgerald3,922

5,868

1996Class II

42.9%Dick Durbin2,867

53.4%Al Salvi3,565

6,678

1992Class III

40.7%Carol Moseley-Braun3,064

55.0%Richard Williamson4,140

7,521

1990Class II

57.0%Paul Simon3,802

43.0%Lynn Martin2,873

6,675

1986Class III

59.3%Alan J. Dixon3,354

39.9%Judy Koehler2,256

5,658

1984Class II

37.2%Paul Simon2,831

61.6%Charles H. Percy4,684

7,610

1980Class III

44.4%Alan J. Dixon3,507

54.6%David C. O'Neal4,312

7,904

1978Class II

42.7%Alex Seith2,160

56.5%Charles H. Percy2,862

5,063

1974Class III

50.3%Adlai Stevenson III3,397

49.6%George M. Burditt3,347

6,754

1972Class II

26.2%Roman Pucinski2,226

73.7%Charles H. Percy6,268

8,506

1968Class III

28.2%William G. Clark2,256

71.7%Everett Dirksen5,747

8,013

1966Class II

31.0%Paul H. Douglas2,084

69.0%Charles H. Percy4,641

6,725

1962Class III

32.7%Sidney R. Yates2,290

67.3%Everett Dirksen4,720

7,010

1960Class II

38.5%Paul H. Douglas3,499

61.4%Samuel W. Witwer5,582

9,084

1956Class III

33.0%Richard Stengel2,921

67.0%Everett Dirksen5,929

8,850

1954Class II

35.0%Paul H. Douglas2,310

65.0%Joseph T. Meek4,290

6,600

1950Class III

29.5%Scott W. Lucas2,091

70.3%Everett Dirksen4,977

7,084

1948Class II

37.7%Paul H. Douglas2,931

61.9%C. Wayland Brooks4,813

7,780

1944Class III

32.1%Scott W. Lucas2,654

67.7%Richard J. Lyons5,608

8,279

1942Class II

21.4%Raymond McKeough1,213

78.3%C. Wayland Brooks4,435

5,663

1938Class III

38.2%Scott W. Lucas2,561

61.6%Richard J. Lyons4,133

6,711

1936Class II

45.7%James H. Lewis3,987

53.4%Otis F. Glenn4,657

8,720

1932Class III

38.3%William H. Dieterich2,898

61.2%Otis F. Glenn4,630

7,564

1930Class II

40.6%James H. Lewis2,014

44.1%Ruth H. McCormick2,189

4,963

1926Class III

18.8%George E. Brennan670

68.2%Frank L. Smith2,435

3,569

1924Class II

18.5%Albert A. Sprague1,133

80.9%Charles S. Deneen4,957

6,127

1920Class III

10.2%Peter A. Waller609

86.6%William B. McKinley5,156

5,955

1918Class II

20.7%James H. Lewis621

76.7%Medill McCormick2,300

3,000

1914Class III

20.1%Roger C. Sullivan591

61.4%Lawrence Y. Sherman1,806

2,943

Source · Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

1970Special · Class III

43.9%Adlai Stevenson III3,009

56.0%Ralph T. Smith3,839

6,854

1940Special · Class II

34.0%James M. Slattery3,168

65.9%C. Wayland Brooks6,142

9,323

1928Special · Class III

21.0%Anton J. Cermak1,492

78.8%Otis F. Glenn5,610

7,115

Sources · MIT Election Data and Science Lab (MEDSL); Amlani & Algara 2021 (Harvard Dataverse doi:10.7910/DVN/DGUMFI); upstream CQ Press + ICPSR · CC BY 4.0 / CC0 1.0.

Year

Vote lead

Democratic

Republican

Total

2022

31.0%Jb Pritzker1,868

65.8%Darren Bailey3,966

6,023

2018

30.3%Jb Pritzker1,804

61.5%Bruce Rauner3,658

5,945

2014

28.6%Pat Quinn1,582

65.5%Bruce Rauner3,621

5,527

2010

27.9%Pat Quinn1,445

64.8%Bill Brady3,361

5,186

2006

39.8%Rod Blagojevich2,372

50.2%Judy Baar Topinka2,997

5,966

2002

43.6%Rod Blagojevich2,560

52.1%Jim Ryan3,054

5,865

1998

34.9%Glenn Poshard2,068

63.6%George Ryan3,772

5,932

1994

21.5%Dawn Clark Netsch1,254

76.5%Jim Edgar4,463

5,836

1990

38.6%Neil Hartigan2,566

60.3%Jim Edgar4,015

6,655

1986

6.9%''No nominee''397

61.3%Jim Thompson3,506

5,719

1982

37.6%Adlai Stevenson III2,263

60.7%Jim Thompson3,649

6,016

1978

28.5%Michael Bakalis1,450

71.0%Jim Thompson3,611

5,083

1976

21.8%Michael Howlett1,850

78.0%Jim Thompson6,619

8,486

Frequently asked questions

Voter registration in Carroll County, IL
Year	Total registered
2016	11,687
2018	11,776
2020	11,165
2022	10,888
2024	11,356

How did Carroll County, Illinois vote in 2024?

In 2024, Carroll County, Illinois voted Republican by 31.7 points (R+31.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 7,840 votes cast, 2,600 went Democratic and 5,082 went Republican.

When did Carroll County, Illinois last vote Democratic?

The most recent presidential election in which Carroll County, Illinois voted Democratic was 2012.

How many people live in Carroll County, Illinois?

Carroll County, Illinois has a population of 15,576 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.

What is the median household income in Carroll County, Illinois?

Median household income in Carroll County, Illinois is $60,758 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.

What is the political history of Carroll County, Illinois?

Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Carroll County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 2 went Democratic and 32 went Republican.