HarrisDemocratic24.1%2,183TrumpRepublican74.0%6,708KennedyIndependent1.8%167
R+49.9- Lead
- 4,525
- Total
- 9,065
- vs nation
- R+48.4
- Turnout
- 68.0%
Akashiccounty
Hancock County, IL
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
Boundary by 2024 margin · Precinct returns · VEST · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
2024 turnout 68.0% of 13,487 citizens 18+
BidenDemocratic24.6%2,315TrumpRepublican73.4%6,906JorgensenLibertarian1.2%114
R+48.8- Lead
- 4,591
- Total
- 9,403
- vs nation
- R+53.3
- Turnout
- 67.4%
ClintonDemocratic23.5%2,139TrumpRepublican70.5%6,430JohnsonLibertarian3.8%348
R+47.0- Lead
- 4,291
- Total
- 9,121
- vs nation
- R+49.1
- Turnout
- 62.2%
ObamaDemocratic40.1%3,650RomneyRepublican57.9%5,271JOHNSONLibertarian1.4%130
R+17.8- Lead
- 1,621
- Total
- 9,111
- vs nation
- R+21.6
- Turnout
- —
ObamaDemocratic43.7%4,141McCainRepublican54.5%5,161OtherAll other candidates1.8%167
R+10.8- Lead
- 1,020
- Total
- 9,469
- vs nation
- R+18.0
- Turnout
- —
KerryDemocratic40.2%3,975BushRepublican59.0%5,837OtherAll other candidates0.9%87
R+18.8- Lead
- 1,862
- Total
- 9,899
- vs nation
- R+16.4
- Turnout
- —
GoreDemocratic43.9%4,256BushRepublican53.0%5,134NaderGreen1.7%161
R+9.1- Lead
- 878
- Total
- 9,691
- vs nation
- R+9.6
- Turnout
- —
ClintonDemocratic43.6%4,001DoleRepublican43.2%3,961PerotReform12.5%1,148
D+0.4- Lead
- 40
- Total
- 9,178
- vs nation
- R+8.1
- Turnout
- —
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+49.9MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 17,2812024 5-year
- Median household income
- $65,8652024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 94.0%2024 5-year
- Black
- 0.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 2.3%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+29.3 in 1932MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.9 in 2024MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Adams County, IA · twin score 87.3
Midterm durability
Total general-election participants divided by same-year citizen voting-age population. These are total ballots or participating voters—not presidential candidate votes.
- 2024 total turnout
- 68.0%9,166 participants ÷ 13,487 CVAP
- 2020→2022 drop-off
- +14.0 ptsVolatile
- Drop-off versus state
- -8.1 ptsPositive means a larger decline than the statewide pattern
- Mechanical 2026 scenario
- 54.0%–55.1%Recent-cycle and two-cycle persistence scenarios; not a forecast
| Election | Participants | CVAP | Turnout | Quality |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 · Presidential | 9,121 | 14,674 | 62.2% | C/A |
| 2018 · Midterm | 7,195 | 14,261 | 50.5% | A/A |
| 2020 · Presidential | 9,467 | 14,051 | 67.4% | A/A |
| 2022 · Midterm | 7,372 | 13,800 | 53.4% | C/A |
| 2024 · Presidential | 9,166 | 13,487 | 68.0% | A/A |
Sources and methods
- 2016: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 148/111.
- 2018: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 297/138.
- 2020: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 301/2.
- 2022: numerator source 159, denominator source 157; top ticket votes; canonical-complete-contest-floor-v1; allocation share 0.0%; series 154/183.
- 2024: numerator source 158, denominator source 157; total voters participating; eavs-f1a-v1:observed:native; allocation share 0.0%; series 311/228.
Precinct data
Results by precinct
68 precincts · 9,166 votes
Precinct boundaries and identifiers are cycle-specific. This table does not join rows across years without a validated crosswalk.
| Precinct -NAUVOONAUVOO | 148 | 310 | 24 | 482 | 30.7% | 64.3% | R+33.6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Precinct -MONTEBELLO 3MONTEBELLO 3 | 169 | 294 | 12 | 475 | 35.6% | 61.9% | R+26.3 |
| Precinct -DALLAS CITYDALLAS CITY | 115 | 318 | 21 | 454 | 25.3% | 70.0% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -MONTEBELLO 2MONTEBELLO 2 | 164 | 258 | 7 | 429 | 38.2% | 60.1% | R+21.9 |
| Precinct -CARTHAGE 1CARTHAGE 1 | 97 | 312 | 19 | 428 | 22.7% | 72.9% | R+50.2 |
| Precinct -MONTEBELLO 1MONTEBELLO 1 | 126 | 286 | 16 | 428 | 29.4% | 66.8% | R+37.4 |
| Precinct -CARTHAGE 2CARTHAGE 2 | 105 | 280 | 6 | 391 | 26.9% | 71.6% | R+44.8 |
| Precinct -LAHARPE 1LAHARPE 1 | 57 | 305 | 9 | 371 | 15.4% | 82.2% | R+66.8 |
| Precinct -CARTHAGE 3CARTHAGE 3 | 100 | 247 | 15 | 362 | 27.6% | 68.2% | R+40.6 |
| Precinct -MONTEBELLO 4MONTEBELLO 4 | 82 | 255 | 14 | 351 | 23.4% | 72.6% | R+49.3 |
| Precinct -AUGUSTAAUGUSTA | 52 | 282 | 9 | 343 | 15.2% | 82.2% | R+67.1 |
| Precinct -WARSAW 3WARSAW 3 | 111 | 213 | 12 | 336 | 33.0% | 63.4% | R+30.4 |
| Precinct -CHILICHILI | 47 | 268 | 4 | 319 | 14.7% | 84.0% | R+69.3 |
| Precinct -LAHARPE 2LAHARPE 2 | 71 | 232 | 5 | 308 | 23.1% | 75.3% | R+52.3 |
| Precinct -CARTHAGE 4CARTHAGE 4 | 58 | 219 | 8 | 285 | 20.4% | 76.8% | R+56.5 |
| Precinct -SONORASONORA | 65 | 183 | 16 | 264 | 24.6% | 69.3% | R+44.7 |
| Precinct -ST MARYSST MARYS | 57 | 199 | 4 | 260 | 21.9% | 76.5% | R+54.6 |
| Precinct -WARSAW 2WARSAW 2 | 81 | 169 | 4 | 254 | 31.9% | 66.5% | R+34.6 |
| Precinct -APPANOOSEAPPANOOSE | 37 | 192 | 9 | 238 | 15.5% | 80.7% | R+65.1 |
| Precinct -PRAIRIEPRAIRIE | 39 | 172 | 3 | 214 | 18.2% | 80.4% | R+62.1 |
| Precinct -ROCK CREEKROCK CREEK | 29 | 161 | 4 | 194 | 14.9% | 83.0% | R+68.0 |
| Precinct -BEAR CREEKBEAR CREEK | 32 | 152 | 8 | 192 | 16.7% | 79.2% | R+62.5 |
| Precinct -ROCKY RUN-WILCOXROCKY RUN-WILCOX | 36 | 149 | 6 | 191 | 18.8% | 78.0% | R+59.2 |
| Precinct -HARMONYHARMONY | 29 | 148 | 2 | 179 | 16.2% | 82.7% | R+66.5 |
| Precinct -WALKERWALKER | 25 | 145 | 7 | 177 | 14.1% | 81.9% | R+67.8 |
| Precinct -WARSAW 1WARSAW 1 | 55 | 112 | 4 | 171 | 32.2% | 65.5% | R+33.3 |
| Precinct -PONTOOSUCPONTOOSUC | 50 | 104 | 6 | 160 | 31.3% | 65.0% | R+33.8 |
| Precinct -ST ALBANSST ALBANS | 21 | 137 | 2 | 160 | 13.1% | 85.6% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -PILOT GROVEPILOT GROVE | 30 | 125 | 1 | 156 | 19.2% | 80.1% | R+60.9 |
| Precinct -FOUNTAIN GREENFOUNTAIN GREEN | 17 | 136 | 1 | 154 | 11.0% | 88.3% | R+77.3 |
| Precinct -DURHAMDURHAM | 26 | 113 | 10 | 149 | 17.4% | 75.8% | R+58.4 |
| Precinct -WYTHEWYTHE | 19 | 127 | 3 | 149 | 12.8% | 85.2% | R+72.5 |
| Precinct -HANCOCKHANCOCK | 33 | 105 | 4 | 142 | 23.2% | 73.9% | R+50.7 |
| APPANOOSE Voting District17_1706700201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| AUGUSTA Voting District17_1706702501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| BEAR CREEK Voting District17_1706701801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARTHAGE I Voting District17_1706701301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARTHAGE II Voting District17_1706701302 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARTHAGE III Voting District17_1706701303 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CARTHAGE IV Voting District17_1706701304 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| CHILI Voting District17_1706702401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DALLAS CITY Voting District17_1706700401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| DURHAM Voting District17_1706700501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| FOUNTAIN GREEN Voting District17_1706701001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HANCOCK Voting District17_1706701401 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| HARMONY Voting District17_1706701901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAHARPE I Voting District17_1706700601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| LAHARPE II Voting District17_1706700602 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTEBELLO I Voting District17_1706701101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTEBELLO II Voting District17_1706701102 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTEBELLO III Voting District17_1706701103 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTEBELLO IV Voting District17_1706701104 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| MONTEBELLO V Voting District17_1706701105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| NAUVOO Voting District17_1706700101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PILOT GROVE Voting District17_1706700901 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PONTOOSUC Voting District17_1706700301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| PRAIRIE Voting District17_1706701201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROCK CREEK Voting District17_1706700801 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ROCKY RUN Voting District17_1706702101 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| SONORA Voting District17_1706700701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST ALBANS Voting District17_1706702301 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| ST MARYS Voting District17_1706702001 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WALKER Voting District17_1706702201 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARSAW I Voting District17_1706701501 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARSAW II Voting District17_1706701502 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WARSAW III Voting District17_1706701503 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WILCOX Voting District17_1706701601 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
| WYTHE Voting District17_1706701701 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | No votes |
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 1892 | +9.1% |
| 1896 | +3.7% |
| 1900 | +8.6% |
| 1904 | −5.5% |
| 1908 | +5.8% |
| 1912 | +28.0% |
| 1916 | +8.4% |
| 1920 | −17.6% |
| 1924 | −11.6% |
| 1928 | −17.7% |
| 1932 | +29.3% |
| 1936 | +2.2% |
| 1940 | −15.2% |
| 1944 | −19.7% |
| 1948 | −12.0% |
| 1952 | −32.4% |
| 1956 | −26.9% |
| 1960 | −23.8% |
| 1964 | +5.5% |
| 1968 | −27.6% |
| 1972 | −35.3% |
| 1976 | −12.1% |
| 1980 | −29.1% |
| 1984 | −25.4% |
| 1988 | +1.8% |
| 1992 | +5.0% |
| 1996 | +0.4% |
| 2000 | −9.1% |
| 2004 | −18.8% |
| 2008 | −10.8% |
| 2012 | −17.8% |
| 2016 | −47.0% |
| 2020 | −48.8% |
| 2024 | −49.9% |
DemocraticRepublican
Federal and statewide elections · 3 House · 37 Senate · 3 Senate special · 13 governor
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate
Each row shows U.S. Senate votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
U.S. Senate special elections
Each row shows U.S. Senate special votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Governor
Each row shows Governor votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 13,272 |
| 2018 | 12,903 |
| 2020 | 13,108 |
| 2022 | 12,324 |
| 2024 | 12,804 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net migration over time, and who arrivals are — where they came from and what those places vote
−63 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −1,711 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
Arrivals reported $48,023 in average income, against $78,526 for residents who stayed — 39% lower. (IRS SOI, 2022–23)
The places arrivals came from lean R+30.0 on average — 20 points more Democratic-leaning than Hancock County, IL itself (R+49.9).
Where arrivals came from lean of each source
- Lee County, IA68R+27.7
- McDonough County, IL40R+18.8
- Adams County, IL35R+47.4
Where departures went households, 2022–23
- Lee County, IA80
- McDonough County, IL58
- Adams County, IL43
Migration is one input to a place’s political change, not its cause — a shift can also come from residents changing their minds, generational turnover, or turnout. These figures describe the places people moved between; they do not measure how any mover voted.
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −109 |
| 2012 | −153 |
| 2013 | −271 |
| 2014 | −212 |
| 2015 | −132 |
| 2016 | −6 |
| 2017 | −203 |
| 2018 | −105 |
| 2019 | −102 |
| 2021 | −77 |
| 2022 | −61 |
| 2023 | −25 |
| 2024 | −192 |
| 2025 | −63 |
Hancock County's 2024 presidential margin of nearly 50 points Republican reflects a broader shift in Illinois's western Mississippi River bluffs, where small-town and agricultural communities have moved sharply away from statewide Democratic voting patterns over the past two decades.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 29.3 points in 1932 and a Republican high of 49.9 points in 2024. Between 2020 and 2024 the county moved 1.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.9 points.
A population of 17,281, a 94% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $65,865 describe the county. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Adams County and Van Buren County.
Political twins — counties
The counties whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Adams County
Iowa
87.3twin score
12-yr trend% Whitemedian age≠ population scale
Van Buren County
Iowa
86.9twin score
12-yr trend% White2016–2020 trajectory
Keokuk County
Iowa
86.1twin score
12-yr trend% White2020–2024 trajectory≠ English ancestry
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Hancock County, Illinois. Akashic. https://akashic.app/county/17067/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Cities & towns in Hancock County
Illinois at the ballot boxAll elections →
Frequently asked questions
How did Hancock County, Illinois vote in 2024?
In 2024, Hancock County, Illinois voted Republican by 49.9 points (R+49.9), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 9,065 votes cast, 2,183 went Democratic and 6,708 went Republican.
When did Hancock County, Illinois last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Hancock County, Illinois voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Hancock County, Illinois?
Hancock County, Illinois has a population of 17,281 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Hancock County, Illinois?
Median household income in Hancock County, Illinois is $65,865 — below the national median of $80,734. The Illinois state median is $83,390.
What is the political history of Hancock County, Illinois?
Akashic tracks 38 presidential elections in Hancock County, Illinois from 1876 to 2024. Of those, 12 went Democratic and 22 went Republican.