akashic
1876–2024
Keokuk County, Iowa
Keokuk County·Iowa

Keokuk County was solidly one party for decades. In the last twenty years, it flipped.

One of Iowa's most decisive rural Republican counties in 2024

18762024·38 elections
Keokuk County, Iowa · en:User:Cburnett · Wikimedia Commons
Latest
R+51
in 2024
Archetype
Populist
since the recent cycles
Population
9,924
2024 ACS
Most similar
Wayne County
IA · similarity 1.00
11 precincts · 5,150 votes cast
Trump · R+51
Margin
Turnout
Harris +50
Trump +50
Real precinct boundaries. Hover for vote totals.
YearWonMarginDemocraticRepublicanTotal
2024R
−51.5%
1,2193,8695,150
2020R
−44.9%
1,4143,7975,303
2016R
−40.7%
1,3423,3905,035
2012R
−10.3%
2,3032,8435,266
2008R
−3.6%
2,5182,7125,361
2004R
−15.1%
2,2943,1195,480
2000R
−7.9%
2,1812,5714,947
1996D
+9.1%
2,5452,0805,101
1992D
+6.2%
2,3291,9815,577
1988D
+11.9%
2,8992,2785,230
1984R
−4.7%
2,6492,9135,656
1980R
−12.6%
2,3903,1455,975
1976D
+8.6%
3,4822,9206,504
1972R
−18.5%
2,6193,8316,565
1968R
−11.6%
2,8073,5886,737
1964D
+29.6%
4,7902,5977,404
1960R
−15.9%
3,4084,6978,115
1956R
−12.4%
3,6494,6808,338
1952R
−29.0%
3,1355,7128,897
1948R
−1.0%
4,1184,2018,475
1944R
−8.6%
3,9004,6448,606
1940R
−8.4%
4,5525,3949,988
1936D
+6.8%
5,1624,4919,878
1932D
+25.6%
5,8393,4429,369
1928R
−16.8%
3,7725,3049,108
1924R
−23.9%
2,5684,7959,336
1920R
−37.3%
2,8006,2079,135
1916R
−6.2%
2,4862,8225,408
1912D
+20.6%
2,4341,3615,220
1908R
−5.0%
2,4592,7285,380
1904R
−16.4%
2,1723,0795,516
1900R
−10.9%
2,6693,3396,147
1896R
−4.4%
2,8913,1666,242
1892D
+2.7%
2,6552,5095,411
1888
No data
1884
No data
1880
No data
1876
No data
Demographics
Race, ethnicity, and ancestry
Click any group to see the ancestries typically reported within it.
American
100.0%
Italian
0.5%
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
Multiple ancestry combinations reported; no single grouping above 1%.
Sample size too small to break out by ancestry reliably.
American Indian, Alaska Native, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islander combined.
Source · American Community Survey 5-year estimates, 2024 release. Ancestry is a self-reported, multiple-response item; ancestry percentages do not sum to the parent race percentage.
Language at home
Population aged 5 and older
0.0%
speak English only
Source · ACS 5-year estimates, 2024.
Religious adherents
Adherents per capita by tradition
Methodist
21.0%
Catholic & Orthodox
13.0%
Other Christian
4.8%
Mainline Protestant
4.8%
Baptist
1.1%
Source · 2020 US Religion Census. Remaining 55.3% of residents not counted as adherents by any reporting body.

Keokuk County's small, agriculture-dependent population has shifted sharply rightward over the past decade, posting a 51.5-point Republican margin in 2024 — among the widest gaps in a state that has itself trended heavily toward the GOP.

The Democratic margin in Keokuk County peaked at thirty points in 1964. By 2000 the county had flipped, voting Republican for the first time in many years. The 2024 margin was fifty-one points, the most Republican-leaning result in the county's modern history.

The economic context is the key. Keokuk County's median household income of $62,329 sits well below state and national norms, and 12% of residents live below the federal poverty line. The shift here is part of a broader realignment of working-class places across the country. The county's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Wayne County and Murray County.