Bristol, Virginia
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −27.9% |
| 2008 | −25.9% |
| 2012 | −30.9% |
| 2016 | −43.5% |
| 2020 | −38.9% |
| 2024 | −39.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 29.8%Harris2,231 | 69.4%Trump5,198 | 0.8% | R+39.6 | R+0.7 | R+38.1 | 7,491 | |
| R | 29.6%Biden2,313 | 68.5%Trump5,347 | 1.9% | R+38.9 | D+4.6 | R+43.3 | 7,806 | |
| R | 26.1%Clinton1,835 | 69.6%Trump4,892 | 4.3% | R+43.5 | R+12.6 | R+45.6 | 7,027 | |
| R | 33.8%Obama2,493 | 64.7%Romney4,772 | 1.6% | R+30.9 | R+4.9 | R+34.7 | 7,380 | |
| R | 36.1%Obama2,662 | 62.1%McCain4,572 | 1.8% | R+25.9 | D+1.9 | R+33.2 | 7,364 | |
| R | 35.7%Kerry2,400 | 63.6%Bush4,275 | 0.7% | R+27.9 | — | R+25.4 | 6,724 |
Bristol sits on the Tennessee border in Virginia's far southwest, a region where economic shifts away from extraction industries have reshaped voter coalitions over recent cycles, with Republican margins in surrounding Scott and Washington counties running above 70 percent.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 43.5 points in 2016. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 0.7 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 39.6 points.
A population of 16,849, a 85% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $50,404 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Elizabethton and Greeneville.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Bristol, Virginia. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/5109816/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.