Red Oak, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −47.2% |
| 2008 | −28.3% |
| 2012 | −25.1% |
| 2016 | −13.1% |
| 2020 | +5.2% |
| 2024 | +9.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 53.8%Harris3,682 | 44.8%Trump3,064 | 1.4% | D+9.0 | D+3.9 | D+10.5 | 6,842 | |
| D | 52.1%Biden3,161 | 46.9%Trump2,847 | 0.9% | D+5.2 | D+18.2 | D+0.7 | 6,064 | |
| R | 41.1%Clinton1,868 | 54.2%Trump2,461 | 4.7% | R+13.1 | D+12.1 | R+15.1 | 4,544 | |
| R | 36.7%Obama1,389 | 61.8%Romney2,339 | 1.5% | R+25.1 | D+3.2 | R+29.0 | 3,784 | |
| R | 35.6%Obama1,312 | 63.9%McCain2,353 | 0.5% | R+28.3 | D+18.9 | R+35.5 | 3,684 | |
| R | 26.4%Kerry748 | 73.5%Bush2,087 | 0.1% | R+47.2 | — | R+44.7 | 2,838 |
Red Oak has nearly doubled in population since 2000 as Dallas-Fort Worth sprawl pushes south into Ellis County, shifting its electorate toward the younger, more transient profile typical of exurban boomtowns.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 9.0 points in 2024 and a Republican high of 47.2 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 3.9 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 9.0 points.
A population of 17,077, a 36% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $104,561 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Heartland and Manvel.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Red Oak, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4861196/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.