- Lead
- 30,913
- Total
- 99,557
- vs nation
- R+29.6
Texas 10th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 29,152
- Total
- 85,493
- vs nation
- R+38.6
- Lead
- 28,688
- Total
- 64,110
- vs nation
- R+46.8
- Lead
- 25,693
- Total
- 54,254
- vs nation
- R+51.2
- Lead
- 22,745
- Total
- 53,853
- vs nation
- R+49.5
- Lead
- 22,962
- Total
- 46,444
- vs nation
- R+47.0
- Lead
- 15,462
- Total
- 37,307
- vs nation
- R+42.0
- Lead
- 5,214
- Total
- 29,766
- vs nation
- R+26.0
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+31.1MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 192,4552024 5-year
- Population density
- 206 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 936 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $99,5952024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 55.3%2024 5-year
- Black
- 12.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 27.0%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+99.7 in 1876MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+49.4 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 4, TX · twin score 95.7
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 10th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Samuel J. Tilden1876
99.8%
1,784 votes · D+99.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 94.4%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
74.5%
34,602 votes · R+49.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 72.9%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Kamala Harris2024
33,850votes
34.0% of the vote · R+31.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 27,565 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
64,763votes
65.1% of the vote · R+31.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 56,717 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+97.0pts D vs U.S.
Place D+77.4 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John W. Davis, 1924 · +96.6 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+51.2pts R vs U.S.
Place R+47.4 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +49.5 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
In 2024 it voted Republican by R+31.0, against R+42.2 in 2008. About 213,000 residents lived here, with White alone at 59.6% in the 2024 ACS 5-year.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 99.7 points in 1876 and a Republican high of 49.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 3.0 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 31.1 points.
A population of 192,455, a 55% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $99,595 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 4 and State House District 130.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 10th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48010/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.