- Lead
- 48,934
- Total
- 79,237
- vs nation
- R+60.3
Texas 86th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 46,332
- Total
- 77,742
- vs nation
- R+64.1
- Lead
- 42,473
- Total
- 66,457
- vs nation
- R+66.0
- Lead
- 41,126
- Total
- 61,810
- vs nation
- R+70.4
- Lead
- 40,816
- Total
- 65,773
- vs nation
- R+69.3
- Lead
- 41,537
- Total
- 62,339
- vs nation
- R+64.2
- Lead
- 34,489
- Total
- 55,005
- vs nation
- R+63.2
- Lead
- 23,797
- Total
- 52,823
- vs nation
- R+53.6
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+61.8MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 185,3082024 5-year
- Population density
- 21 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 8,665 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $79,3252024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.6%2024 5-year
- Black
- 2.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 31.2%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+100.0 in 1884MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+66.6 in 2004MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 83, TX · twin score 97.6
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 86th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1884) · 36 presidential cycles · 36 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Grover Cleveland1884
100.0%
159 votes · D+100.0 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 89.5%
Republican
George W. Bush2004
83.1%
51,806 votes · R+66.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Mitt Romney, 2012 · 82.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Jimmy Carter1976
16,471votes
40.3% of the vote · R+18.4 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Joe Biden, 2020 · 15,102 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2024
63,722votes
80.4% of the vote · R+61.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2020 · 61,434 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
Alton B. Parker1904
+90.2pts D vs U.S.
Place D+70.6 · U.S. R+19.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Grover Cleveland, 1892 · +81.4 pts
Republican
Mitt Romney2012
+70.4pts R vs U.S.
Place R+66.5 · U.S. D+3.9 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John McCain, 2008 · +69.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
District 86 recorded a 61.8-point Republican presidential margin in 2024, placing it among the state's most reliably one-sided constituencies. Its West Texas geography and sparse population density have long anchored that pattern.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 100.0 points in 1884 and a Republican high of 66.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.2 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 61.8 points.
A population of 185,308, a 61% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $79,325 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 83 and State House District 71.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 86th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48086/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.