Marlin, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +14.4% |
| 2008 | +20.5% |
| 2012 | +17.0% |
| 2016 | +15.5% |
| 2020 | +19.2% |
| 2024 | +5.4% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 52.2%Harris730 | 46.9%Trump655 | 0.9% | D+5.4 | R+13.8 | D+6.8 | 1,398 | |
| D | 59.4%Biden882 | 40.2%Trump597 | 0.5% | D+19.2 | D+3.7 | D+14.7 | 1,486 | |
| D | 56.7%Clinton757 | 41.2%Trump550 | 2.0% | D+15.5 | R+1.5 | D+13.4 | 1,334 | |
| D | 58.1%Obama1,020 | 41.1%Romney721 | 0.9% | D+17.0 | R+3.4 | D+13.2 | 1,756 | |
| D | 59.3%Obama959 | 38.8%McCain628 | 1.9% | D+20.5 | D+6.1 | D+13.2 | 1,617 | |
| D | 57.2%Kerry1,037 | 42.8%Bush776 | 0.1% | D+14.4 | — | D+16.8 | 1,814 |
Marlin, the Falls County seat, has shed more than half its population since the mid-20th century, leaving a majority-Black electorate in a rural Central Texas county that has shifted steadily toward Republican margins at the statewide level.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 20.5 points in 2008. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 13.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 5.4 points.
A population of 5,516, a 23% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $36,426 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Franklin and Live Oak.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Marlin, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4846740/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.