Hornsby Bend, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | +41.4% |
| 2008 | +61.1% |
| 2012 | +60.6% |
| 2016 | +62.0% |
| 2020 | +64.7% |
| 2024 | +47.5% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D | 72.6%Harris3,112 | 25.1%Trump1,075 | 2.3% | D+47.5 | R+17.1 | D+49.0 | 4,285 | |
| D | 81.5%Biden3,060 | 16.8%Trump631 | 1.7% | D+64.7 | D+2.7 | D+60.2 | 3,756 | |
| D | 78.2%Clinton1,739 | 16.2%Trump360 | 5.7% | D+62.0 | D+1.4 | D+59.9 | 2,225 | |
| D | 78.5%Obama1,294 | 17.9%Romney295 | 3.6% | D+60.6 | R+0.5 | D+56.7 | 1,649 | |
| D | 80.1%Obama1,197 | 19.0%McCain284 | 0.9% | D+61.1 | D+19.7 | D+53.8 | 1,495 | |
| D | 69.2%Kerry761 | 27.8%Bush306 | 2.9% | D+41.4 | — | D+43.9 | 1,099 |
Hornsby Bend sits along the Colorado River southeast of Austin, where rapid surrounding growth has brought demographic shifts typical of the city's expanding exurban edge. Its CDP status reflects an unincorporated community still being absorbed into the metro's political orbit.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 64.7 points in 2020. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 17.1 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 47.5 points.
A population of 12,367, a 21% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $89,614 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of East Palo Alto and Manor.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Hornsby Bend, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4834856/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.