- Lead
- 43,201
- Total
- 106,535
- vs nation
- D+42.0
Texas 48th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 49,403
- Total
- 114,661
- vs nation
- D+38.6
- Lead
- 31,879
- Total
- 93,298
- vs nation
- D+32.1
- Lead
- 12,664
- Total
- 82,597
- vs nation
- D+11.5
- Lead
- 17,920
- Total
- 84,732
- vs nation
- D+13.9
- Lead
- 2,664
- Total
- 80,534
- vs nation
- D+5.8
- Lead
- 10,321
- Total
- 69,656
- vs nation
- R+15.3
- Lead
- 1,290
- Total
- 56,198
- vs nation
- R+6.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+40.6MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 202,5862024 5-year
- Population density
- 2,406 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 84.2 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $109,3682024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 60.2%2024 5-year
- Black
- 3.6%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 24.6%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+75.6 in 1936MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+24.5 in 1984MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 11, CO · twin score 93.3
presidential history
Party record book
Texas 48th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Franklin D. Roosevelt1936
86.7%
2,577 votes · D+75.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1932 · 84.0%
Republican
Ronald Reagan1984
62.0%
32,198 votes · R+24.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Richard Nixon, 1972 · 61.6%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Joe Biden2020
80,650votes
70.3% of the vote · D+43.1 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Kamala Harris, 2024 · 73,820 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
38,191votes
47.4% of the vote · D+3.3 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · George W. Bush, 2000 · 36,325 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
John W. Davis1924
+72.5pts D vs U.S.
Place D+47.3 · U.S. R+25.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · James M. Cox, 1920 · +57.5 pts
Republican
George W. Bush2000
+15.3pts R vs U.S.
Place R+14.8 · U.S. D+0.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William McKinley, 1896 · +12.3 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row is a county-allocated estimate of U.S. House votes for this district — county returns apportioned onto its boundary, not precinct-counted. “Vote lead” is the estimated local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
Anchored in a heavily urban corridor, this Austin-area district delivered a 40.6-point Democratic presidential margin in 2024, making it among the most lopsided legislative seats in the state.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 75.6 points in 1936 and a Republican high of 24.5 points in 1984. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 2.5 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 40.6 points.
A population of 202,586, a 60% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $109,368 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 11 and State House District 3.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Texas 48th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/48048/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.