Celina, Texas
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −63.6% |
| 2008 | −52.8% |
| 2012 | −61.4% |
| 2016 | −59.7% |
| 2020 | −38.6% |
| 2024 | −41.0% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 28.7%Harris3,660 | 69.6%Trump8,886 | 1.7% | R+41.0 | R+2.4 | R+39.5 | 12,760 | |
| R | 30.0%Biden2,821 | 68.6%Trump6,453 | 1.5% | R+38.6 | D+21.1 | R+43.0 | 9,412 | |
| R | 17.7%Clinton681 | 77.3%Trump2,982 | 5.0% | R+59.7 | D+1.8 | R+61.7 | 3,857 | |
| R | 18.4%Obama534 | 79.9%Romney2,316 | 1.7% | R+61.4 | R+8.7 | R+65.3 | 2,900 | |
| R | 22.6%Obama646 | 75.4%McCain2,152 | 1.9% | R+52.8 | D+10.8 | R+60.1 | 2,853 | |
| R | 18.2%Kerry338 | 81.8%Bush1,519 | 0.0% | R+63.6 | — | R+61.1 | 1,857 |
Celina's population has surged more than tenfold since 2010 as master-planned subdivisions pushed Collin County's suburban frontier north, reshaping a once-rural electorate into a fast-expanding, younger exurban voting bloc.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 63.6 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 2.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 41.0 points.
A population of 34,268, a 53% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $170,894 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Prosper and Melissa.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Browse places by community — income, education, race & ethnicity, language — all community cuts →
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Celina, Texas. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/4813684/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.