Kettering, Ohio
Presidential margin, 2004–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
| Year | Margin (D minus R) |
|---|---|
| 2004 | −16.4% |
| 2008 | −11.6% |
| 2012 | −14.4% |
| 2016 | −12.5% |
| 2020 | −2.4% |
| 2024 | −0.6% |
| Year | Won | Democratic | Republican | Other | Margin | Swing | vs U.S. | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R | 49.2%Harris15,697 | 49.8%Trump15,889 | 1.0% | R+0.6 | D+1.8 | D+0.9 | 31,911 | |
| R | 47.9%Biden15,682 | 50.3%Trump16,469 | 1.7% | R+2.4 | D+10.1 | R+6.9 | 32,717 | |
| R | 40.9%Clinton12,446 | 53.5%Trump16,262 | 5.6% | R+12.5 | D+1.9 | R+14.6 | 30,417 | |
| R | 41.7%Obama12,877 | 56.1%Romney17,332 | 2.2% | R+14.4 | R+2.8 | R+18.3 | 30,886 | |
| R | 43.4%Obama13,937 | 55.1%McCain17,666 | 1.5% | R+11.6 | D+4.8 | R+18.9 | 32,086 | |
| R | 41.7%Kerry13,659 | 58.1%Bush19,024 | 0.1% | R+16.4 | — | R+13.9 | 32,732 |
Kettering's post-industrial identity shapes its competitive lean: once a reliable Republican anchor in Montgomery County, it has trended closer in presidential cycles as blue-collar aerospace and auto-supply employment has contracted.
Across the recorded series it reached a Republican high of 16.4 points in 2004. Between 2020 and 2024 the city moved 1.8 points toward the Democratic candidate; the 2024 margin was 0.6 points.
A population of 57,206, a 84% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $74,681 describe the city. The city's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Lee's Summit and Liberty.
The cities whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
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Kettering, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/city/3940040/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.