Akashic
1892–2024
Akashic
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
presidential margin
2008R+3.22012R+5.82016R+11.42020R+8.92024R+10.7
full record · 1892 → 2024
R+10.7
2024
median income$71,984U.S. $80,734 · OH $71,389
median age39.1U.S. 39.1 · OH 39.8
poverty rate13.2%U.S. 12.5% · OH 13.3%
bachelor’s+ (25+)32.9%U.S. 35.6% · OH 31.6%
non-english6.4%U.S. 22.3% · OH 8.0%
race · ethnicity · ancestry
German21.9%
English12.8%
Irish12.1%
African American†14.0%
African0.5%
Mexican1.7%
Puerto Rican0.7%
Salvadoran0.2%
Asian Indian0.8%
Chinese0.4%
Filipino0.3%
religion
other traditions
Mainline5.9%
Black Protestant5.0%
Muslim1.0%
Latter-day Saints0.9%
American Community Survey 2024 5-year (income, age, poverty, education, language, race, ancestry) · presidential returns from MIT Election Lab through 2024 · 2020 U.S. Religion Census (ASARB) — congregational adherents, unaffiliated is the unclaimed remainder.

Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio

Akashic
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OHTrumpR+10.7
—
2024 presidential margin by county for Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, OHA map of the constituent counties of Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, OH, each outlined and filled by its 2024 presidential margin from deep red (Republican) through neutral to deep blue (Democratic), seated within the faint outlines of the surrounding states.Greene County, OH · R+19.8Miami County, OH · R+45.1Montgomery County, OH · D+0.5
How it voted
Share of the 2024 vote
Donald Trump ✓Republican54.9%221,642
Kamala HarrisDemocratic44.1%178,311
Chase OliverLibertarian1.0%4,113
D+60
R+60
3 counties, each filled by 2024 D-vs-R margin. Hover any county for its result.
County-level results (3 counties) — table
2024 presidential result by county for Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, OH — winner and D-vs-R margin.
CountyWinnerMargin
Greene County, OHRepublicanR+19.8
Miami County, OHRepublicanR+45.1
Montgomery County, OHDemocraticD+0.5
34 presidential elections
Third column names the leading third-party or independent finisher. Source · MIT Election Lab · ICPSR · VEST (precinct-level 2024).
YearWonDemocraticRepublicanOtherMarginTotal
R
44.1%Harris178,311
54.9%Trump221,642
1.0%Oliver4,113
−10.7%
404,066
R
44.7%Biden185,525
53.6%Trump222,477
1.7%Jorgensen7,118
−8.9%
415,120
R
41.1%Clinton164,079
52.5%Trump209,528
6.4%Stein25,650
−11.4%
399,257
R
46.0%Obama185,778
51.8%Romney209,266
2.3%Johnson9,222
−5.8%
404,266
R
47.6%Obama197,909
50.8%McCain211,032
1.6%Nader6,734
−3.2%
415,675
R
46.2%Kerry191,134
53.4%Bush220,751
0.4%Other1,741
−7.2%
413,626
R
45.8%Gore155,240
51.3%Bush173,775
3.0%Designated10,017
−5.5%
339,032
D
46.9%Clinton156,091
43.8%Dole145,577
9.3%Perot31,076
+3.2%
332,744
R
38.6%Clinton140,703
41.8%Bush152,143
19.6%Perot71,382
−3.1%
364,228
R
39.2%Dukakis124,900
60.0%Bush190,943
0.8%Fulani2,390
−20.8%
318,233
R
37.7%Mondale120,840
61.7%Reagan197,620
0.6%Serrette1,969
−24.0%
320,429
R
44.9%Carter138,071
47.6%Reagan146,293
7.6%Anderson23,295
−2.7%
307,659
R
48.5%Carter139,787
49.1%Ford141,507
2.3%McCarthy6,632
−0.6%
287,926
R
37.4%McGovern104,088
60.2%Nixon167,573
2.4%Schmitz6,812
−22.8%
278,473
D
44.5%Humphrey124,488
42.7%Nixon119,352
12.7%Wallace35,632
+1.8%
279,472
D
62.7%Johnson167,288
37.3%Goldwater99,535
0.0%
+25.4%
266,823
R
45.1%Kennedy124,250
54.9%Nixon151,395
0.0%
−9.8%
275,645
R
40.0%Stevenson95,360
60.0%Eisenhower142,884
0.0%
−19.9%
238,244
R
44.4%Stevenson99,445
55.6%Eisenhower124,330
0.0%
−11.1%
223,775
D
53.4%Truman95,915
45.8%Dewey82,334
0.8%Thurmond1,420
+7.6%
179,669
D
53.5%Roosevelt100,780
46.5%Dewey87,767
0.0%
+6.9%
188,547
D
56.6%Roosevelt106,764
43.4%Willkie81,864
0.0%
+13.2%
188,628
D
57.8%Roosevelt98,130
37.4%Landon63,534
4.8%Lemke8,112
+20.4%
169,776
R
47.4%Roosevelt68,547
48.3%Hoover69,879
4.3%Thomas6,174
−0.9%
144,600
R
32.7%Smith47,769
66.7%Hoover97,372
0.6%Thomas914
−34.0%
146,055
R
26.5%Davis29,627
63.7%Coolidge71,106
9.8%La Follette10,901
−37.2%
111,634
R
40.6%Cox50,525
54.8%Harding68,215
4.7%Debs5,793
−14.2%
124,533
D
49.4%Wilson32,834
45.0%Hughes29,913
5.6%Benson3,696
+4.4%
66,443
D
38.1%Wilson21,961
29.8%Taft17,198
32.1%Roosevelt18,547
+8.3%
57,706
R
45.8%Bryan28,817
50.1%Taft31,529
4.2%Debs2,635
−4.3%
62,981
R
34.9%Parker19,583
60.6%Roosevelt33,980
4.5%Debs2,525
−25.7%
56,088
R
42.9%Bryan24,106
55.0%McKinley30,903
2.2%Woolley1,212
−12.1%
56,221
R
44.1%Bryan23,930
54.8%McKinley29,680
1.1%Palmer597
−10.6%
54,207
R
45.9%Cleveland20,780
49.8%Harrison22,517
4.3%Weaver1,951
−3.8%
45,248
presidential history
Presidential margin, 1892–2024
Democratic minus Republican, by election
Presidential margin over timeDemocratic-minus-Republican presidential margin from 1892 to 2024. Most recent: −10.7% in 2024.flipped R · 2000−10.7%DR18922024
Presidential margin over time
YearMargin (D minus R)
1892−3.8%
1896−10.6%
1900−12.1%
1904−25.7%
1908−4.3%
1912+8.3%
1916+4.4%
1920−14.2%
1924−37.2%
1928−34.0%
1932−0.9%
1936+20.4%
1940+13.2%
1944+6.9%
1948+7.6%
1952−11.1%
1956−19.9%
1960−9.8%
1964+25.4%
1968+1.8%
1972−22.8%
1976−0.6%
1980−2.7%
1984−24.0%
1988−20.8%
1992−3.1%
1996+3.2%
2000−5.5%
2004−7.2%
2008−3.2%
2012−5.8%
2016−11.4%
2020−8.9%
2024−10.7%
DemocraticRepublican
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Voter registration in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OHTotal registered voters, 2016–2024. Latest 574,504 in 2024.143.6K287.3K430.9K574.5K574.5K20162024
Registered voters
Voter registration in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
YearTotal registered
2016559,452
2018574,033
2020566,547
2022563,213
2024574,504
Source: U.S. Election Assistance Commission (EAVS)

Wright-Patterson Air Force Base anchors a defense economy that complicates the area's traditional manufacturing identity, and the metro's mix of urban Dayton precincts and fast-growing suburban Warren County townships has kept countywide margins competitive across recent cycles.

Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.7 points.

A population of 816,080, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,984 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN and Columbus, OH.

Political twins — metros

The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.

Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
86.9twin score
population scale2000–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Columbus, OH
84.8twin score
population scale2004 margin12-yr trend
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
82.9twin score
population scale2004–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity

Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.

Compare two places, side by side

Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →

Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19430/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Places within Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH

counties3
Greene CountyMiami CountyMontgomery County

Frequently asked questions

How did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 10.7 points (R+10.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 404,066 votes cast, 178,311 went Democratic and 221,642 went Republican.
When did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio has a population of 816,080 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio is $71,984 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.