HarrisDemocratic44.1%178,311TrumpRepublican54.9%221,642OliverNonpartisan0.5%2,192
R+10.7- Lead
- 43,331
- Total
- 404,066
- vs nation
- R+9.3
Akashicmetro area
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH
Office (updates table and map)
President margin by year
Place winner margin
3 counties by 2024 margin · County returns · MIT Election Lab
President results by year
Vote totals, margins, and source status
BidenDemocratic44.7%185,525TrumpRepublican53.6%222,477OtherAll other candidates1.7%7,118
R+8.9- Lead
- 36,952
- Total
- 415,120
- vs nation
- R+13.4
ClintonDemocratic41.1%164,079TrumpRepublican52.5%209,528OtherAll other candidates6.4%25,650
R+11.4- Lead
- 45,449
- Total
- 399,257
- vs nation
- R+13.5
ObamaDemocratic46.0%185,778RomneyRepublican51.8%209,266OtherAll other candidates2.3%9,222
R+5.8- Lead
- 23,488
- Total
- 404,266
- vs nation
- R+9.7
ObamaDemocratic47.6%197,909McCainRepublican50.8%211,032OtherAll other candidates1.6%6,734
R+3.2- Lead
- 13,123
- Total
- 415,675
- vs nation
- R+10.4
KerryDemocratic46.2%191,134BushRepublican53.4%220,751OtherAll other candidates0.4%1,741
R+7.2- Lead
- 29,617
- Total
- 413,626
- vs nation
- R+4.7
GoreDemocratic45.8%155,240BushRepublican51.3%173,775OtherAll other candidates3.0%10,017
R+5.5- Lead
- 18,535
- Total
- 339,032
- vs nation
- R+6.0
ClintonDemocratic46.9%156,091DoleRepublican43.8%145,577OtherAll other candidates9.3%31,076
D+3.2- Lead
- 10,514
- Total
- 332,744
- vs nation
- R+5.4
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- R+10.7MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 816,0802024 5-year
- Population density
- 637 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 1,282 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $71,9842024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 73.5%2024 5-year
- Black
- 14.9%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.7%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+25.4 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Peak Republican margin
- R+37.2 in 1924MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN · twin score 86.9
presidential history
Party record book
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 · 34 presidential cycles
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
62.7%
167,288 votes · D+25.4
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1936 · 57.8%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
66.7%
97,372 votes · R+34.0
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 63.7%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
197,909votes
47.6% of the vote · R+3.2
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 191,134 votes
Republican
Donald Trump2020
222,477votes
53.6% of the vote · R+8.9
Runner-up · Donald Trump, 2024 · 221,642 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+12.0pts D vs U.S.
Place R+14.2 · U.S. R+26.2
Runner-up · Jimmy Carter, 1980 · +7.1 pts
Republican
Herbert Hoover1932
+18.7pts R vs U.S.
Place R+0.9 · U.S. D+17.8
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1928 · +16.5 pts
U.S. House elections · 2 House
Senate and governor results are in the Office selector at the top of this page.
U.S. House
Each row shows U.S. House votes counted inside this Place. “Vote lead” is the local lead here, not necessarily the winner of the full contest.
| Year | Vote lead | Democratic | Republican | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | R | 38.4%147,725 | 61.6%237,094 | 384,819 |
| 2020 | R | 39.8%163,602 | 60.2%247,660 | 411,262 |
voter registration
Registered voters
Total registered voters, over time
Registered voters
| Year | Total registered |
|---|---|
| 2016 | 559,452 |
| 2018 | 574,033 |
| 2020 | 566,547 |
| 2022 | 563,213 |
| 2024 | 574,504 |
domestic migration
Who moves in and out
Net domestic migration over time
+4,272 net domestic migration · 2025
20112025
Net −8,342 over 2011–2025 · gain loss
| Year | Net domestic migration |
|---|---|
| 2011 | −1,387 |
| 2012 | −2,496 |
| 2013 | −3,559 |
| 2014 | −3,413 |
| 2015 | −3,870 |
| 2016 | −1,260 |
| 2017 | −438 |
| 2018 | +442 |
| 2019 | +896 |
| 2021 | −8 |
| 2022 | −245 |
| 2023 | +568 |
| 2024 | +2,156 |
| 2025 | +4,272 |
Wright-Patterson Air Force Base anchors a defense economy that complicates the area's traditional manufacturing identity, and the metro's mix of urban Dayton precincts and fast-growing suburban Warren County townships has kept countywide margins competitive across recent cycles.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 25.4 points in 1964 and a Republican high of 37.2 points in 1924. Between 2020 and 2024 the metro moved 1.8 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 10.7 points.
A population of 816,080, a 74% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $71,984 describe the metro. The metro's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN and Columbus, OH.
Political twins — metros
The metros whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
86.9twin score
population scale2000–2024 trajectory12-yr trend
Columbus, OH
84.8twin score
population scale2004 margin12-yr trend
Little Rock-North Little Rock-Conway, AR
82.9twin score
population scale2004–2024 trajectory≠ elasticity
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
Compare two places, side by side
Twelve curated comparisons line up election history, demographics, and the divergence story for two places at a glance. Browse all comparisons →
Cite this page
All citations released under CC BY 4.0. Attribution: Akashic Intelligence.
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio. Akashic. https://akashic.app/cbsa/19430/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.
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Frequently asked questions
How did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio vote in 2024?
In 2024, Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Republican by 10.7 points (R+10.7), carried by the Republican candidate. Out of 404,066 votes cast, 178,311 went Democratic and 221,642 went Republican.
When did Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio last vote Democratic?
The most recent presidential election in which Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio voted Democratic was 1996.
How many people live in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio has a population of 816,080 according to the 2024 American Community Survey 5-year estimates from the US Census Bureau.
What is the median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Median household income in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio is $71,984 — below the national median of $80,734. The Ohio state median is $71,389.
What is the political history of Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio?
Akashic tracks 34 presidential elections in Dayton-Kettering-Beavercreek, OH, Ohio from 1892 to 2024. Of those, 9 went Democratic and 25 went Republican.