- Lead
- 21,773
- Total
- 44,298
- vs nation
- D+50.6
Ohio 38th State House District
President margin by year
Place winner margin
President results by year
Modeled candidate-vote estimate on current district boundaries
- Lead
- 27,165
- Total
- 50,759
- vs nation
- D+49.1
- Lead
- 29,501
- Total
- 54,839
- vs nation
- D+51.7
- Lead
- 34,527
- Total
- 58,149
- vs nation
- D+55.5
- Lead
- 37,171
- Total
- 61,128
- vs nation
- D+53.5
- Lead
- 35,309
- Total
- 60,232
- vs nation
- D+61.1
- Lead
- 28,135
- Total
- 49,554
- vs nation
- D+56.3
- Lead
- 29,739
- Total
- 50,629
- vs nation
- D+50.2
Key facts
- 2024 presidential margin
- D+49.2MIT Election Lab
- Population
- 124,3032024 5-year
- Population density
- 1,901 / sq mi2024 5-year · TIGER/Line
- Land area
- 65.4 sq miTIGER/Line
- Median household income
- $45,6642024 5-year
- White (non-Hispanic)
- 37.8%2024 5-year
- Black
- 51.7%2024 5-year
- Hispanic / Latino
- 3.9%2024 5-year
- Peak Democratic margin
- D+72.7 in 1964MIT Election Lab
- Most similar
- State House District 91, TN · twin score 96.3
presidential history
Party record book
Ohio 38th State House District · the strongest Democratic and Republican presidential performances recorded here, measured three ways.
1892–2024 (partial returns from 1876) · 38 presidential cycles · 38 with a vote-share denominator · 34 with a national benchmark
Highest vote share
Largest share of the presidential candidate vote cast here.
Democratic
Lyndon B. Johnson1964
86.3%
42,300 votes · D+72.7 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Franklin D. Roosevelt, 1944 · 84.8%
Republican
Herbert Hoover1928
33.9%
6,625 votes · D+31.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Calvin Coolidge, 1924 · 33.2%
Most votes
Largest number of votes cast for the party’s presidential nominee here.
Democratic
Barack Obama2008
48,663votes
79.6% of the vote · D+60.8 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · John Kerry, 2004 · 47,699 votes
Republican
George W. Bush2004
12,390votes
20.6% of the vote · D+58.6 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Ronald Reagan, 1984 · 12,221 votes
Best relative to the U.S.
This Place’s margin against the national margin in the same election — positive when it leaned toward the party more than the country did.
Democratic
James M. Cox1920
+74.4pts D vs U.S.
Place D+48.3 · U.S. R+26.2 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · William J. Bryan, 1908 · +67.2 pts
Republican
William H. Taft1912
−33.8pts R vs U.S.
Place D+53.4 · U.S. D+19.5 · modeled estimate
Runner-up · Herbert Hoover, 1932 · −39.0 pts
Current officeholders
State legislative officeholder from OpenStates nightly current-legislator data.
Ohio 38th State House District sits in the Industrial Midwest. In 2024 it voted Democratic.
Across the recorded series it reached a Democratic high of 72.7 points in 1964. Between 2020 and 2024 the district moved 4.4 points toward the Republican candidate; the 2024 margin was 49.2 points.
A population of 124,303, a 38% non-Hispanic-white share, and a median household income of $45,664 describe the district. The district's voting pattern over the last decade is most similar to that of State House District 91 and State House District 20.
The state-house districts whose fingerprint — 2000–2024 trajectory, demographics, ancestry, religion — sits closest to this one, and why.
Twin score (0–100) = weighted cosine between tier-standardized fingerprints: presidential margins 2000–2024 with 12-yr trend and elasticity, ACS income, age, education, population and race, top reported ancestries, and religious adherence — chips name the closest-shared dimensions and the widest gap. Re-weight the groups in the twins explorer.
District research tools
Open the source-auditable district brief for electoral baseline, electorate, current-cycle coverage, geography, official dates, and methodology. Open campaign intelligence report → · Browse all comparisons →
Ohio 38th State House District. Akashic. https://akashic.app/sld-lower/39038/. Accessed May 20, 2026. License: CC BY 4.0.